WORLD › UEFA EUROPA LEAGUE

20.08.2026 17:00

Lech Poznan

7 - 0

FC Thun

Stadion Poznan

Referee: S. Gishamer

Lech Poznan

Match Timeline

FC Thun

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Lech Poznan vs FC Thun Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 63.1%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 62.8%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 87%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	63.1%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	62.8%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	87%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	92%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Lech Poznan Win 63.1%

Draw 5.7%

FC Thun Win 31.2%

Expected Goals (xG)

Lech Poznan2.1

FC Thun1.9

Recent Form (Last 5)

Lech Poznan

WWDLW

26 GF / 9 GA

FC Thun

WLDWL

32 GF / 24 GA

Key Stats

2.17

Average Goals Scored

2.67

0.75

Average Goals Conceded

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

7.43

Shots on Goal

3.57

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lech Poznan 12 matches

FC Thun 12 matches

Lech Poznan	Statistic	FC Thun
9	Wins	5
1	Draws	2
2	Losses	5
26	Goals For	32
9	Goals Against	24
2.17	Avg Goals Scored	2.67
0.75	Avg Goals Conceded	2
5	BTTS Yes	9
9	Over 1.5	12
9	Over 2.5	10
4	Over 3.5	8
5	Clean Sheets	2
3	Failed To Score	1
7.43	Shots On Goal	3.57
15.86	Total Shots	9.57
7.43	Corners	4.43
44.7%	Ball Possession	36.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Lech Poznan won 1 times, FC Thun won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:2 from Lech Poznan's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 5.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (94.3%)

Predicted formations: Lech Poznan 4-2-3-1 / FC Thun 4-4-2

H2H summary: Lech Poznan wins 1, draws 1, FC Thun wins 0

Standings

League Round

#	Team	G	Form
1	Anderlecht	0:0	W W W W W
2	Ararat-Armenia	0:0	W D
3	AZ Alkmaar	0:0	?
4	Benfica	0:0	W W D W W
5	Beşiktaş	0:0	L W W W W
6	Bournemouth	0:0	?
7	Celje	0:0	?
8	Celta Vigo	0:0	?
9	Celtic	0:0	?
10	Crystal Palace	0:0	?
11	Ferencvarosi TC	0:0	W W D W D
12	Dinamo Zagreb	0:0	?
13	Hapoel Beer Sheva	0:0	?
14	1899 Hoffenheim	0:0	?
15	Jagiellonia	0:0	W W D W
16	Juventus	0:0	?
17	Lech Poznan Home	0:0	D W W W
18	Bayer Leverkusen	0:0	?
19	Levski Sofia	0:0	?
20	Lillestrom	0:0	W D
21	Lyon	0:0	?
22	Marseille	0:0	?
23	AC Milan	0:0	?
24	NEC Nijmegen	0:0	?
25	OFI	0:0	W W
26	Olympiakos Piraeus	0:0	?
27	Omonia Nicosia	0:0	W L W D
28	Real Sociedad	0:0	?
29	Rennes	0:0	?
30	Red Bull Salzburg	0:0	W W D W
31	Sparta Praha	0:0	?
32	Sturm Graz	0:0	?
33	Sunderland	0:0	?
34	Torreense	0:0	?
35	Union St. Gilloise	0:0	?
36	Plzen	0:0	W L

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