WORLD UEFA EUROPA LEAGUE
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Stadion Poznan

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.1%
Odds 1.56
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds 1.65
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.1%
1.56
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.73
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
1.65
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.20
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.38
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Lech Poznan Win 63.1%
Draw 5.7%
FC Thun Win 31.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lech Poznan2.1
FC Thun1.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan
WWDLW
26 GF / 9 GA
FC Thun FC Thun
WLDWL
32 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
2.17
Average Goals Scored
2.67
0.75
Average Goals Conceded
2
5
BTTS Yes
9
9
Over 2.5
10
7.43
Shots on Goal
3.57

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 12 matches
FC Thun FC Thun 12 matches
Lech Poznan Statistic FC Thun
9 Wins 5
1 Draws 2
2 Losses 5
26 Goals For 32
9 Goals Against 24
2.17 Avg Goals Scored 2.67
0.75 Avg Goals Conceded 2
5 BTTS Yes 9
9 Over 1.5 12
9 Over 2.5 10
4 Over 3.5 8
5 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 1
7.43 Shots On Goal 3.57
15.86 Total Shots 9.57
7.43 Corners 4.43
44.7% Ball Possession 36.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.3%)
Predicted formations: Lech Poznan 4-2-3-1 / FC Thun 4-4-2
Last matches: Lech Poznan
14.08.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
KI Klaksvik
5
0
W
09.08.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Piast Gliwice
3
0
W
06.08.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
KI Klaksvik
1
0
W
01.08.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Wieczysta Kraków
2
1
W
29.07.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
Aarhus
0
3
L
25.07.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Cracovia Krakow
0
0
D
21.07.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
Aarhus
4
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Lech Poznan
Bohemians 1905
4
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Lech Poznan
Podbrezová
3
1
W
23.05.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Wisla Plock
2
2
D
16.05.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Radomiak Radom
3
1
W
08.05.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Arka Gdynia
1
1
D
02.05.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Motor Lublin
1
0
W
26.04.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Legia Warszawa
4
0
W
18.04.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Pogon Szczecin
2
1
W
12.04.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
GKS Katowice
3
3
D
04.04.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
0
0
D
22.03.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Nieciecza
4
1
W
19.03.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
1
W
15.03.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Zaglebie Lubin
1
0
W
Last matches: FC Thun
13.08.26
UEF
FC Thun
Vikingur Reykjavik
2
3
L
09.08.26
Sup
FC Thun
FC Basel 1893
2
4
L
06.08.26
UEF
FC Thun
Vikingur Reykjavik
3
0
W
01.08.26
Sup
FC Thun
BSC Young Boys
0
6
L
28.07.26
UEF
FC Thun
Dinamo Zagreb
2
3
L
25.07.26
Sup
FC Thun
FC Luzern
3
1
W
21.07.26
UEF
FC Thun
Dinamo Zagreb
1
1
D
11.07.26
Fri
FC Thun
Waldhof Mannheim
1
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
FC Thun
SV Elversberg
1
1
D
04.07.26
Fri
FC Thun
Neuchatel Xamax FC
6
2
W
17.05.26
Sup
FC Thun
FC ST. Gallen
1
1
D
14.05.26
Sup
FC Thun
BSC Young Boys
3
8
L
10.05.26
Sup
FC Thun
FC Sion
0
2
L
02.05.26
Sup
FC Thun
FC Basel 1893
1
3
L
25.04.26
Sup
FC Thun
FC Lugano
0
1
L
18.04.26
Sup
FC Thun
FC Basel 1893
3
1
W
04.04.26
Sup
FC Thun
FC Lugano
0
1
L
21.03.26
Sup
FC Thun
FC Zurich
1
2
L
14.03.26
Sup
FC Thun
Grasshoppers
5
1
W
08.03.26
Sup
FC Thun
BSC Young Boys
2
1
W
Last matches: Lech Poznan
09.08.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Piast Gliwice
3
0
W
06.08.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
KI Klaksvik
1
0
W
29.07.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
Aarhus
0
3
L
25.07.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Cracovia Krakow
0
0
D
11.07.26
Fri
Lech Poznan
Bohemians 1905
4
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Lech Poznan
Podbrezová
3
1
W
23.05.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Wisla Plock
2
2
D
08.05.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Arka Gdynia
1
1
D
26.04.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Legia Warszawa
4
0
W
12.04.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
GKS Katowice
3
3
D
22.03.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Nieciecza
4
1
W
12.03.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
3
L
01.03.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Raków Częstochowa
4
3
W
26.02.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
KuPS
1
0
W
15.02.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Piast Gliwice
3
0
W
31.01.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Lechia Gdansk
1
3
L
24.01.26
Fri
Lech Poznan
FC Noah
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
Lech Poznan
Olmaliq
2
1
W
17.01.26
Fri
Lech Poznan
Žilina
2
1
W
11.12.25
UEF
Lech Poznan
FSV Mainz 05
1
1
D
Last matches: FC Thun
13.08.26
UEF
FC Thun
Vikingur Reykjavik
2
3
L
09.08.26
Sup
FC Thun
FC Basel 1893
2
4
L
28.07.26
UEF
FC Thun
Dinamo Zagreb
2
3
L
25.07.26
Sup
FC Thun
FC Luzern
3
1
W
17.05.26
Sup
FC Thun
FC ST. Gallen
1
1
D
10.05.26
Sup
FC Thun
FC Sion
0
2
L
02.05.26
Sup
FC Thun
FC Basel 1893
1
3
L
04.04.26
Sup
FC Thun
FC Lugano
0
1
L
21.03.26
Sup
FC Thun
FC Zurich
1
2
L
08.03.26
Sup
FC Thun
BSC Young Boys
2
1
W
25.02.26
Sup
FC Thun
FC Winterthur
3
0
W
08.02.26
Sup
FC Thun
Servette FC
3
1
W
01.02.26
Sup
FC Thun
FC Basel 1893
2
1
W
18.01.26
Sup
FC Thun
Grasshoppers
3
1
W
16.12.25
Sup
FC Thun
FC Winterthur
4
1
W
30.11.25
Sup
FC Thun
Lausanne
1
2
L
08.11.25
Sup
FC Thun
Servette FC
1
0
W
25.10.25
Sup
FC Thun
FC Sion
1
0
W
04.10.25
Sup
FC Thun
FC ST. Gallen
2
1
W
28.09.25
Sup
FC Thun
BSC Young Boys
2
4
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.22
Draw 4.35
Home 1.56
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.53
Draw 2.51
Home 2.06
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.20
Over 2.0 1.38
Over 2.25 1.47
Over 2.5 1.65
Over 2.75 1.83
Over 3.0 2.07
Over 3.25 2.36
Over 3.5 2.62
Over 4.5 4.80
Under 1.5 4.41
Under 2.0 2.87
Under 2.25 2.66
Under 2.5 2.23
Under 2.75 2.00
Under 3.0 1.74
Under 3.25 1.58
Under 3.5 1.47
Under 4.5 1.17
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.25
Draw 3.90
Home 1.53
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.00
Draw 2.40
Home 2.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.50
Draw 2.75
Home 1.91
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.03
Over 1.5 1.20
Over 2.5 1.65
Over 3.5 2.50
Over 4.5 4.50
Over 5.5 8.00
Over 6.5 11.00
Over 7.5 17.00
Over 8.5 21.00
Under 0.5 10.00
Under 1.5 4.33
Under 2.5 2.20
Under 3.5 1.50
Under 4.5 1.17
Under 5.5 1.06
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.00
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.56
Draw 4.42
Home 1.60
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.15
Draw 2.40
Home 2.02
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.90
Draw 2.80
Home 1.84
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 0.75 1.01
Over 1.0 1.03
Over 1.25 1.08
Over 1.5 1.16
Over 1.75 1.21
Over 2.0 1.26
Over 2.25 1.52
Over 2.5 1.69
Over 2.75 1.85
Over 3.0 1.98
Over 3.25 2.20
Over 3.5 2.45
Over 3.75 2.87
Over 4.0 3.58
Over 4.25 3.98
Over 4.5 4.30
Over 4.75 5.29
Over 5.0 7.20
Over 5.5 7.80
Over 6.5 11.00
Over 7.5 17.00
Under 0.5 16.00
Under 0.75 8.60
Under 1.0 12.00
Under 1.25 5.70
Under 1.5 4.15
Under 1.75 3.82
Under 2.0 3.36
Under 2.25 2.69
Under 2.5 2.28
Under 2.75 2.04
Under 3.0 1.71
Under 3.25 1.54
Under 3.5 1.44
Under 3.75 1.32
Under 4.0 1.21
Under 4.25 1.17
Under 4.5 1.15
Under 4.75 1.09
Under 5.0 1.03
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.00
Draw 4.10
Home 1.55
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.80
Draw 2.43
Home 1.97
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.50
Draw 2.85
Home 1.89
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.17
Over 2.0 1.24
Over 2.25 1.40
Over 2.5 1.56
Over 2.75 1.68
Over 3.0 1.91
Over 3.25 2.16
Over 3.5 2.40
Over 3.75 2.80
Over 4.0 3.50
Over 4.25 3.80
Over 4.5 4.10
Over 4.75 5.00
Over 5.0 6.50
Over 5.25 8.00
Over 5.5 8.50
Under 1.5 4.30
Under 2.0 3.55
Under 2.25 2.65
Under 2.5 2.23
Under 2.75 2.00
Under 3.0 1.76
Under 3.25 1.58
Under 3.5 1.48
Under 3.75 1.36
Under 4.0 1.24
Under 4.25 1.21
Under 4.5 1.18
Under 4.75 1.12
Under 5.0 1.07
Under 5.25 1.05
Under 5.5 1.04