ITALY SERIE A
31.08.2026 16:30
Stadio Via del Mare
Referee: D. Chiffi
Lecce
Match Timeline
AS Roma
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
4'
D. Malen
AS Roma
🟨
9'
Donyell Malen
AS Roma
23'
D. Malen · Assist: Wesley Franca
AS Roma
25'
M. Soule
AS Roma
🔄
46'
O. Gorter ↔ Y. Maleh
Lecce
🔄
46'
Tiago Gabriel ↔ K. Ndri
Lecce
🔄
54'
W. Geubbels ↔ N. Stulic
Lecce
🔄
60'
Wesley Franca ↔ N. Molina
AS Roma
🔄
60'
M. Soule ↔ R. Mora
AS Roma
65'
R. Mora · Assist: G. Mancini
AS Roma
🔄
67'
M. Kone ↔ N. Pisilli
AS Roma
🔄
67'
D. Malen ↔ S. Castro
AS Roma
🔄
72'
O. Ngom ↔ I. Ilic
Lecce
🔄
72'
S. Pierotti ↔ A. Fatah
Lecce
🔄
84'
P. Dybala ↔ M. De Roon
AS Roma
🟨
90'
Ivan Ilić
Lecce

Lecce vs AS Roma Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.8%
Odds 7.68
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 2.05
1 agree / 0 disagree
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.8%
7.68
BTTS Yes
78.8%
2.10
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
2.05
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.83
HT / FT Home / Home
-
13.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
17.00
Probability Distribution
Lecce Win 62.8%
Draw 8.5%
AS Roma Win 28.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lecce1.81
AS Roma1.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lecce Lecce
WWDLW
11 GF / 7 GA
AS Roma AS Roma
WLDWL
14 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
2.33
1
Average Goals Conceded
2.17
2
BTTS Yes
4
2
Over 2.5
6
4.5
Shots on Goal
8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lecce Lecce 7 matches
AS Roma AS Roma 6 matches
Lecce Statistic AS Roma
4 Wins 2
1 Draws 2
2 Losses 2
11 Goals For 14
7 Goals Against 13
1.57 Avg Goals Scored 2.33
1 Avg Goals Conceded 2.17
2 BTTS Yes 4
4 Over 1.5 6
2 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 1
4.5 Shots On Goal 8
15 Total Shots 17
5.5 Corners 2
42% Ball Possession 61%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lecce won 1 times, AS Roma won 12 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:29 from Lecce's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.5%)
Predicted formations: Lecce 3-5-2 / AS Roma 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Lecce 0, AS Roma 3
H2H summary: Lecce wins 1, draws 2, AS Roma wins 12

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 3 0 0 10:1 9 9
W W W
2 3 3 0 0 8:3 5 9
W W W
3 3 2 1 0 7:3 4 7
W W D
4 3 2 1 0 5:2 3 7
D W W
5 3 2 1 0 4:1 3 7
D W W
6 2 2 0 0 2:0 2 6
W W
7 3 2 0 1 6:3 3 6
W W L
8 3 2 0 1 4:3 1 6
L W W
9 2 1 1 0 4:3 1 4
W D
10 3 1 1 1 5:5 0 4
D W L
11 2 1 0 1 1:1 0 3
L W
12
Lecce Home
2 1 0 1 2:4 -2 3
L W
13 3 1 0 2 5:5 0 3
L L W
14 3 1 0 2 4:5 -1 3
W L L
15 3 0 1 2 2:4 -2 1
D L L
16 3 0 1 2 1:4 -3 1
D L L
17 3 0 1 2 4:8 -4 1
D L L
18 3 0 0 3 2:7 -5 0
L L L
19 3 0 0 3 1:7 -6 0
L L L
20 3 0 0 3 1:9 -8 0
L L L
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