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FRANCE › LIGUE 3
03.10.2026 18:45
Stade Charles Massot
Le Puy Foot
Match Timeline
Thionville Lusitanos
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
11'
J. Atangana
Thionville Lusitanos
🔄
12'
J. Moustaid ↔ V. Siat
Thionville Lusitanos
🟨
32'
K. Bouhmidi
Thionville Lusitanos
🟨
41'
M. Carvalho
Le Puy Foot
🟨
41'
B. Labissiere
Thionville Lusitanos
⚽
43'
K. Bouhmidi · Assist: K. Bouhmidi
Thionville Lusitanos
🟨
60'
F. Gobitaka
Thionville Lusitanos
🟨
64'
E. Kouassi
Le Puy Foot
🔄
65'
F. Gobitaka ↔ S. Kalambayi Mukuta
Thionville Lusitanos
🔄
75'
E. Kouassi ↔ S. Lebouath
Le Puy Foot
🔄
76'
L. Baret ↔ R. Mroivili
Le Puy Foot
🔄
80'
B. Labissiere ↔ G. Laurens
Thionville Lusitanos
🔄
82'
M. Faty ↔ M. Emmanuel
Le Puy Foot
⚽
84'
P. Nsingi
Le Puy Foot
🟨
90+5'
M. Emmanuel
Le Puy Foot
🔄
90+1'
A. Gauthier ↔ W. Zahibo
Le Puy Foot

Le Puy Foot vs Thionville Lusitanos Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 59.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
59.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Le Puy Foot Win 36.8%
Draw 4%
Thionville Lusitanos Win 59.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Le Puy Foot1.25
Thionville Lusitanos1.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
Le Puy Foot Le Puy Foot
WWDLW
13 GF / 15 GA
Thionville Lusitanos Thionville Lusitanos
WLDWL
25 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
2.27
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
6
BTTS Yes
6
4
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Le Puy Foot Le Puy Foot 11 matches
Thionville Lusitanos Thionville Lusitanos 11 matches
Le Puy Foot Statistic Thionville Lusitanos
3 Wins 5
3 Draws 4
5 Losses 2
13 Goals For 25
15 Goals Against 15
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 2.27
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
6 BTTS Yes 6
8 Over 1.5 11
4 Over 2.5 8
2 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Thionville Lusitanos. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Thionville Lusitanos having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Le Puy Foot Analysis

So far, Le Puy Foot have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 10 points from 7 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, while the 9:7 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Thionville Lusitanos Analysis

Thionville Lusitanos come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 12 points from 7 matches. The record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 13:11 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96%)

Standings

National
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 16:10 6 21
L W W W D
2 9 6 2 1 17:5 12 20
W L W W D
3 10 6 0 4 19:13 6 18
W L W L W
4 9 4 4 1 12:8 4 16
W D W W D
5 9 5 1 3 13:12 1 16
W W D W L
6 9 4 3 2 12:3 9 15
W D W D W
7 9 3 6 0 11:4 7 15
W D D D W
8 9 4 1 4 11:9 2 13
W L W L D
9 9 3 3 3 14:14 0 12
L L D L D
10 9 3 3 3 15:12 3 12
W L D W W
11 9 3 3 3 7:9 -2 12
L W D L D
12 9 3 2 4 7:11 -4 11
D L D W L
13 9 2 4 3 8:12 -4 10
L D D W D
14 9 2 3 4 7:11 -4 9
D D L L D
15 9 2 2 5 9:14 -5 8
L W L L D
16 9 2 1 6 6:12 -6 7
L W L L D
17 9 1 2 6 5:15 -10 5
L D D L L
18 9 1 1 7 7:22 -15 4
L L L D L
Promotion - Ligue 2
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion)
Relegation