LDU de Quito vs Palmeiras Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
64.4%
|
1.50 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
2.05 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
55.6%
|
2.59 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.16 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
6.50 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
12.00 |
LDU de Quito
Palmeiras
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
LDU de Quito
42 matches
Palmeiras
36 matches
| LDU de Quito | Statistic | Palmeiras |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wins | 21 |
| 11 | Draws | 11 |
| 13 | Losses | 4 |
| 45 | Goals For | 60 |
| 34 | Goals Against | 27 |
| 1.07 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 0.81 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.75 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 25 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 16 | Clean Sheets | 14 |
| 16 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3.33 | Shots On Goal | 5.03 |
| 13.54 | Total Shots | 15.53 |
| 5.13 | Corners | 6.11 |
| 49.7% | Ball Possession | 54% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
In knockout conditions, this fixture pairs two sides with a fairly similar football identity, which should make the margins especially important. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Palmeiras. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
LDU de Quito enter this tie with a season profile built on 12 points from 6 matches, placing them 1 in their league. With 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses plus a goal ratio of 8:5, they bring good form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on Yerlin Quinonez (2 goals), Deyverson (2 goals), Michael Estrada (1 goals), with creative support from Janner Corozo (3 assists), Michael Estrada (1 assists), Jesús Pretell (1 assists), while defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which supports a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.
Palmeiras come into this tie placed 2 in their league with 11 points from 6 matches. The return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 10:5 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by José Manuel López (3 goals), Jhon Arias (3 goals), Ramón Sosa (2 goals), with creative support from José Manuel López (4 assists), Jhon Arias (2 assists), Allan (2 assists), and at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, LDU de Quito won 1 times, Palmeiras won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:4 from LDU de Quito's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
LDU de Quito
Home
|
6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
| 2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7:4 | 3 | 12 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 9 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7:9 | -2 | 3 |
L
L
W
L
L
|