Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
76.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
LDU de Quito
Libertad
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
LDU de Quito
26 matches
Libertad
17 matches
| LDU de Quito | Statistic | Libertad |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 4 |
| 5 | Draws | 5 |
| 8 | Losses | 8 |
| 32 | Goals For | 17 |
| 22 | Goals Against | 25 |
| 1.23 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 0.85 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.47 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 3.48 | Shots On Goal | 3.35 |
| 13.65 | Total Shots | 10 |
| 4.96 | Corners | 3.47 |
| 49.1% | Ball Possession | 45.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by LDU de Quito's more proactive style and Libertad's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Libertad having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Libertad. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. LDU de Quito arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 27 points compared to Libertad in 14 on 17, which underlines the gap in season consistency. LDU de Quito come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.
LDU de Quito come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 27 points after 16 matches. They have recorded 8 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a 19:13 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on Deyverson (4 goals), Rodney Redes (2 goals), Janner Corozo (2 goals), with creative support from Deyverson (1 assists), Rodney Redes (1 assists), Jesús Pretell (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Libertad approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 17 points from 17 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 8 defeats with a 17:25 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Vilinton Germán Branda Merlín (4 goals), G. Cortéz (3 goals), Ivan Zambrano (3 goals), with creative support from G. Cortéz (3 assists), J. Guisamano (2 assists), Vilinton Germán Branda Merlín (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, LDU de Quito won 6 times, Libertad won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:10 from LDU de Quito's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.9 goals per game.
LDU de Quito
3
3
11
1
5
2
Lineups
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
LDU de Quito
Barcelona SC
LDU de Quito
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
Leones del Norte
LDU de Quito
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
Macara
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
LDU de Quito
Always Ready
LDU de Quito
Deportivo Cuenca
LDU de Quito
Lanus
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
LDU de Quito
Mushuc Runa SC
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
Guayaquil City FC
LDU de Quito
Lanus
LDU de Quito
Emelec
LDU de Quito
Aucas
LDU de Quito
Independiente del Valle
Libertad
Orense SC
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
Delfin SC
Libertad
Barcelona SC
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
Leones del Norte
Libertad
Manta FC
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
Libertad
Deportivo Cuenca
Libertad
Emelec
Libertad
Aucas
Libertad
Macara
Libertad
Guayaquil City FC
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
Orense SC
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
Delfin SC
Libertad
Barcelona SC
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
LDU de Quito
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
LDU de Quito
Leones del Norte
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
LDU de Quito
Always Ready
LDU de Quito
Lanus
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
LDU de Quito
Guayaquil City FC
LDU de Quito
Aucas
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
Barcelona SC
LDU de Quito
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
Macara
LDU de Quito
Always Ready
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
Barcelona SC
Libertad
Manta FC
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
Libertad
Emelec
Libertad
Macara
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
Orense SC
Libertad
Delfin SC
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
Leones del Norte
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 56:22 | 34 | 58 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 38:19 | 19 | 39 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 30:23 | 7 | 38 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 26:25 | 1 | 38 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 35 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 6 |
LDU de Quito
Home
|
23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 23:18 | 5 | 35 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
| 7 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 24:22 | 2 | 32 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 21:28 | -7 | 31 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 9 |
Libertad
Away
|
23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 24:26 | -2 | 30 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
| 10 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 29:34 | -5 | 28 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 20:25 | -5 | 28 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 27:35 | -8 | 26 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 23 | 8 | 2 | 13 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 19:28 | -9 | 25 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 14:23 | -9 | 23 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 16 | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 9:29 | -20 | 14 |
L
L
D
L
L
|