ITALY SERIE A
30.08.2026 18:45
Stadio Olimpico
Referee: E. Feliciani
Lazio
Match Timeline
Genoa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
14'
Leo Østigård
Genoa
25'
D. Frattesi · Assist: N. Tavares
Lazio
🔄
37'
N. Rovella ↔ R. Belahyane
Lazio
🔄
58'
D. Sow ↔ Junior Messias
Genoa
🔄
63'
N. Tavares ↔ A. Pedraza
Lazio
🔄
63'
M. Cancellieri ↔ G. Isaksen
Lazio
🔄
63'
Vitinha ↔ M. Osmajic
Genoa
🔄
78'
T. Baldanzi ↔ F. Meichtry
Genoa
🔄
78'
J. Vasquez ↔ Amorim
Genoa
🔄
80'
R. Floriani ↔ M. Lazzari
Lazio
🔄
80'
B. Dia ↔ A. Pinamonti
Lazio
🟨
90+5'
Mattia Zaccagni
Lazio
🟨
90+5'
Alexsandro Amorim
Genoa

Lazio vs Genoa Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 75.9%
Odds 2.27
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 2.05
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 2.59
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
75.9%
2.27
BTTS Yes
75%
2.05
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
2.59
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.46
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.60
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Lazio Win 75.9%
Draw 4.9%
Genoa Win 19.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lazio2.77
Genoa1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lazio Lazio
WWDLW
21 GF / 7 GA
Genoa Genoa
WLDWL
10 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
3
Average Goals Scored
1.43
1
Average Goals Conceded
2.43
3
BTTS Yes
4
5
Over 2.5
4
3
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lazio Lazio 7 matches
Genoa Genoa 7 matches
Lazio Statistic Genoa
6 Wins 3
0 Draws 1
1 Losses 3
21 Goals For 10
7 Goals Against 17
3 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
1 Avg Goals Conceded 2.43
3 BTTS Yes 4
6 Over 1.5 5
5 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 2
3 Shots On Goal 6
15.5 Total Shots 17.5
6.5 Corners 6.5
55.5% Ball Possession 42.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lazio won 11 times, Genoa won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 34:17 from Lazio's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
Predicted formations: Lazio 4-3-3 / Genoa 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Lazio 8, Genoa 1
H2H summary: Lazio wins 11, draws 1, Genoa wins 3

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 4 1 0 14:3 11 13
D W W W W
2 5 4 1 0 15:8 7 13
D W W W W
3
Lazio Home
5 4 1 0 8:3 5 13
W D W W W
4 5 4 0 1 5:2 3 12
W W W L W
5 5 3 2 0 10:4 6 11
W D D W W
6 5 3 1 1 9:4 5 10
W D W W L
7 5 3 1 1 8:4 4 10
W L D W W
8 5 3 1 1 9:6 3 10
L W W W D
9 5 2 1 2 7:6 1 7
D W L L W
10 5 2 1 2 9:9 0 7
L W D W L
11 5 2 0 3 5:7 -2 6
L L L W W
12 5 2 0 3 5:10 -5 6
L W L L W
13 5 1 1 3 8:11 -3 4
L L L W D
14 5 1 1 3 5:8 -3 4
D L W L L
15 5 1 1 3 4:7 -3 4
W L D L L
16 5 1 1 3 8:12 -4 4
W L D L L
17 5 1 1 3 6:12 -6 4
D W L L L
18 5 0 2 3 3:6 -3 2
D L D L L
19
Genoa Away
5 0 1 4 3:10 -7 1
L D L L L
20 5 0 0 5 4:13 -9 0
L L L L L
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