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24.10.2026 16:30
Estadio de Gran Canaria

Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 62.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
62.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
84.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Las Palmas Win 38%
Draw 19%
Real Sociedad II Win 43.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Las Palmas1.55
Real Sociedad II1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Las Palmas Las Palmas
WWDLW
20 GF / 26 GA
Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II
WLDWL
19 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.27
1.73
Average Goals Conceded
1.87
9
BTTS Yes
9
10
Over 2.5
9
3.4
Shots on Goal
4.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Las Palmas Las Palmas 15 matches
Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 15 matches
Las Palmas Statistic Real Sociedad II
5 Wins 3
2 Draws 2
8 Losses 10
20 Goals For 19
26 Goals Against 28
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.27
1.73 Avg Goals Conceded 1.87
9 BTTS Yes 9
11 Over 1.5 12
10 Over 2.5 9
6 Over 3.5 7
3 Clean Sheets 1
4 Failed To Score 5
3.4 Shots On Goal 4.2
9.4 Total Shots 13
3.8 Corners 4.7
51.1% Ball Possession 42.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Real Sociedad II. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Las Palmas expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Real Sociedad II in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Real Sociedad II having the stronger overall control.

Las Palmas Analysis

With 11 points from 9 games and a place of 16, Las Palmas still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 13:16, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through T. Miyashiro (2 goals), Iván Jaime (2 goals), Jesé (2 goals), with creative support from T. Miyashiro (2 assists), Iván Jaime (2 assists), Elías Romero (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Real Sociedad II Analysis

Real Sociedad II approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 8 points from 9 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 12:17 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Gorka Gorosabel (3 goals), Gorka Carrera (2 goals), Dani Díaz (1 goals), with creative support from Dani Díaz (3 assists), Gorka Gorosabel (1 assists), Lander Astiazarán (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Las Palmas won 2 times, Real Sociedad II won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:2 from Las Palmas's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81%)
Predicted formations: Las Palmas 4-4-2 / Real Sociedad II 4-3-3
H2H summary: Las Palmas wins 2, draws 2, Real Sociedad II wins 0

Standings

Segunda
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 0 2 20:7 13 24
W W W W W
2 10 7 2 1 18:4 14 23
W L D W W
3 10 7 1 2 20:11 9 22
D L W W W
4 10 6 1 3 11:9 2 19
W W W L W
5 10 5 3 2 17:9 8 18
W D D W W
6 10 5 3 2 12:5 7 18
D W D L W
7 10 5 2 3 16:13 3 17
W W W L L
8 10 5 2 3 13:10 3 17
W L L W W
9 10 5 2 3 13:10 3 17
W W L W L
10 10 4 4 2 10:8 2 16
L W D D W
11 10 4 2 4 13:13 0 14
W W W L L
12 10 3 3 4 15:14 1 12
L W D W D
13 9 3 3 3 11:13 -2 12
D L D L W
14 10 4 0 6 15:20 -5 12
W L W L W
15 9 3 2 4 14:15 -1 11
W L D L L
16 10 3 2 5 13:19 -6 11
L L D L L
17 10 3 2 5 6:15 -9 11
L L L L W
18 10 3 1 6 13:17 -4 10
L W D W L
19 10 2 2 6 14:21 -7 8
L L L L L
20 10 1 4 5 11:13 -2 7
L L W D L
21 10 1 2 7 9:22 -13 5
L L D W D
22 10 0 1 9 6:22 -16 1
L L L L L
Promotion - LaLiga
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation