ARGENTINA LIGA PROFESIONAL ARGENTINA
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57%
-
BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 1-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Lanus Win 57%
Draw 8.6%
Instituto Cordoba Win 34.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lanus1.02
Instituto Cordoba1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lanus Lanus
WWDLW
27 GF / 27 GA
Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba
WLDWL
23 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.04
Average Goals Scored
1.15
1.04
Average Goals Conceded
1
8
BTTS Yes
9
9
Over 2.5
7
4.13
Shots on Goal
4.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lanus Lanus 26 matches
Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 20 matches
Lanus Statistic Instituto Cordoba
11 Wins 9
6 Draws 3
9 Losses 8
27 Goals For 23
27 Goals Against 20
1.04 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
1.04 Avg Goals Conceded 1
8 BTTS Yes 9
14 Over 1.5 15
9 Over 2.5 7
5 Over 3.5 1
11 Clean Sheets 5
10 Failed To Score 6
4.13 Shots On Goal 4.17
12.21 Total Shots 13.39
4.67 Corners 5
52.3% Ball Possession 49.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Lanus's more proactive style and Instituto Cordoba's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lanus expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Instituto Cordoba in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Instituto Cordoba having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Instituto Cordoba.

Lanus Analysis

So far, Lanus have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 24 points from 16 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 18:15 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Yoshan Valois (2 goals), with creative support from Dylan Aquino (1 assists), Lucas Besozzi (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Instituto Cordoba Analysis

Instituto Cordoba sit 9 with 21 points after 16 league matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 17:17 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Jeremías Lázaro (1 goals), Jhon Córdoba (1 goals), Nicolás Guerra (1 goals), with creative support from Jeremías Lázaro (1 assists), Gustavo Abregú (1 assists), Gastón Lodico (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Lanus won 2 times, Instituto Cordoba won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:7 from Lanus's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.83 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.4%)
Predicted formations: Lanus 4-2-3-1 / Instituto Cordoba 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Lanus wins 2, draws 2, Instituto Cordoba wins 2
Last matches: Lanus
26.07.26
Lig
Lanus
San Lorenzo
1
0
W
30.05.26
Cop
Lanus
Instituto Cordoba
1
2
L
26.05.26
CON
Lanus
Mirassol
1
0
W
21.05.26
CON
Lanus
LDU de Quito
0
2
L
10.05.26
Lig
Lanus
Argentinos JRS
0
2
L
06.05.26
CON
Lanus
Always Ready
0
4
L
02.05.26
Lig
Lanus
Deportivo Riestra
0
0
D
28.04.26
CON
Lanus
LDU de Quito
1
0
W
24.04.26
Lig
Lanus
Central Cordoba de Santiago
0
0
D
21.04.26
Lig
Lanus
Gimnasia M.
0
1
L
16.04.26
CON
Lanus
Always Ready
1
0
W
13.04.26
Lig
Lanus
Banfield
1
0
W
08.04.26
CON
Lanus
Mirassol
0
1
L
01.04.26
Lig
Lanus
Platense
0
0
D
27.03.26
Lig
Lanus
Argentinos JRS
1
2
L
21.03.26
Lig
Lanus
Velez Sarsfield
1
0
W
17.03.26
Lig
Lanus
Newells Old Boys
5
0
W
13.03.26
Lig
Lanus
Estudiantes L.P.
1
0
W
05.03.26
Lig
Lanus
Boca Juniors
0
3
L
02.03.26
Lig
Lanus
Defensa Y Justicia
1
1
D
Last matches: Instituto Cordoba
30.07.26
Lig
Instituto Cordoba
Platense
2
1
W
24.07.26
Lig
Instituto Cordoba
Velez Sarsfield
0
1
L
30.05.26
Cop
Instituto Cordoba
Lanus
2
1
W
05.05.26
Lig
Instituto Cordoba
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
2
0
W
26.04.26
Lig
Instituto Cordoba
Newells Old Boys
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lig
Instituto Cordoba
Estudiantes L.P.
0
1
L
11.04.26
Lig
Instituto Cordoba
Deportivo Riestra
1
0
W
07.04.26
Lig
Instituto Cordoba
Defensa Y Justicia
2
0
W
02.04.26
Cop
Instituto Cordoba
Atlanta
2
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Instituto Cordoba
Boca Juniors
0
2
L
17.03.26
Lig
Instituto Cordoba
Independiente
2
1
W
12.03.26
Lig
Instituto Cordoba
Talleres Cordoba
0
2
L
01.03.26
Lig
Instituto Cordoba
Union Santa Fe
1
2
L
24.02.26
Lig
Instituto Cordoba
San Lorenzo
1
1
D
20.02.26
Lig
Instituto Cordoba
Atletico Tucuman
2
1
W
16.02.26
Lig
Instituto Cordoba
Central Cordoba de Santiago
2
0
W
09.02.26
Lig
Instituto Cordoba
Gimnasia M.
0
1
L
04.02.26
Lig
Instituto Cordoba
Lanus
2
2
D
26.01.26
Lig
Instituto Cordoba
Platense
1
2
L
23.01.26
Lig
Instituto Cordoba
Velez Sarsfield
0
1
L
H2H: Lanus vs Instituto Cordoba
30.05.26
H2H
Instituto Cordoba
Lanus
2
1
L
04.02.26
H2H
Instituto Cordoba
Lanus
2
2
D
28.09.25
H2H
Instituto Cordoba
Lanus
0
0
D
17.03.25
H2H
Lanus
Instituto Cordoba
4
1
W
07.12.24
H2H
Lanus
Instituto Cordoba
2
0
W
25.07.23
H2H
Instituto Cordoba
Lanus
2
1
L
Last matches: Lanus
26.07.26
Lig
Lanus
San Lorenzo
1
0
W
26.05.26
CON
Lanus
Mirassol
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Lanus
Deportivo Riestra
0
0
D
28.04.26
CON
Lanus
LDU de Quito
1
0
W
24.04.26
Lig
Lanus
Central Cordoba de Santiago
0
0
D
16.04.26
CON
Lanus
Always Ready
1
0
W
13.04.26
Lig
Lanus
Banfield
1
0
W
01.04.26
Lig
Lanus
Platense
0
0
D
17.03.26
Lig
Lanus
Newells Old Boys
5
0
W
05.03.26
Lig
Lanus
Boca Juniors
0
3
L
09.02.26
Lig
Lanus
Talleres Cordoba
1
1
D
29.01.26
Lig
Lanus
Union Santa Fe
2
1
W
19.01.26
Cop
Lanus
Sarmiento de La Banda
4
1
W
H2H at home: Lanus
17.03.25
H2H
Lanus
Instituto Cordoba
4
1
W
07.12.24
H2H
Lanus
Instituto Cordoba
2
0
W
Last matches: Instituto Cordoba
24.07.26
Lig
Instituto Cordoba
Velez Sarsfield
0
1
L
05.05.26
Lig
Instituto Cordoba
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
2
0
W
26.04.26
Lig
Instituto Cordoba
Newells Old Boys
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lig
Instituto Cordoba
Deportivo Riestra
1
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Instituto Cordoba
Boca Juniors
0
2
L
12.03.26
Lig
Instituto Cordoba
Talleres Cordoba
0
2
L
24.02.26
Lig
Instituto Cordoba
San Lorenzo
1
1
D
09.02.26
Lig
Instituto Cordoba
Gimnasia M.
0
1
L
26.01.26
Lig
Instituto Cordoba
Platense
1
2
L
H2H away: Instituto Cordoba
17.03.25
H2H
Lanus
Instituto Cordoba
4
1
L
07.12.24
H2H
Lanus
Instituto Cordoba
2
0
L

Standings

Apertura - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 9 4 3 19:7 12 31
L L W D W
2 16 8 6 2 22:9 13 30
L L W W W
3 16 7 7 2 18:12 6 28
W L D D D
4 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
L L D D W
5 16 6 6 4 24:20 4 24
W L W L W
6
Lanus Home
16 6 6 4 18:15 3 24
W L D D L
7 16 5 7 4 14:14 0 22
W L L L W
8 16 5 6 5 24:20 4 21
D L W D D
9 16 6 3 7 17:17 0 21
L W D L W
10 16 4 7 5 18:21 -3 19
W D L L L
11 16 5 4 7 14:22 -8 19
L W W L W
12 16 3 7 6 10:15 -5 16
D L L L D
13 16 4 4 8 11:21 -10 16
L L D W L
14 16 3 6 7 15:27 -12 15
W D D W D
15 16 1 8 7 5:12 -7 11
L W D W L
Knockout Phase