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27.10.2026 18:00
Bonifika
Referee: R. Obrenovic
Koper
Match Timeline
Maribor
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
6'
N. Osterc
Maribor
🟨
36'
C. Goncalves
Maribor
🟨
41'
F. Backulja
Koper
🟥
45+2'
A. Jug
Maribor
🔄
45+4'
Z. Repas ↔ T. Handanovic
Maribor
⚽
45'
J. Ilicic
Koper
🔄
46'
D. Pejicic ↔ F. Tomek
Koper
🔄
46'
L. Zahovic ↔ Z. Jevsenak
Maribor
⚽
55'
B. Irabor · Assist: F. Tomek
Koper
🟨
58'
G. Agyemang
Koper
🔄
59'
C. Goncalves ↔ N. Viher
Maribor
🔄
59'
N. Osterc ↔ B. Feta
Maribor
⚽
67'
F. Tomek · Assist: J. Ilicic
Koper
🔄
68'
J. Ilicic ↔ C. Diakite
Koper
🔄
74'
K. Manseri ↔ B. Ndiaye
Koper
🔄
74'
T. Cipot ↔ A. Reghba
Maribor
🟨
76'
F. Backulja
Koper
🟥
76'
F. Backulja
Koper
🔄
80'
B. Irabor ↔ L. Gucek
Koper
🔄
80'
I. Matondo ↔ L. Oluwaseun
Koper
⚽
89'
B. Ndiaye · Assist: C. Diakite
Koper

Koper vs Maribor Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 76.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 56.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
76.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
56.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Koper Win 51.3%
Draw 24.8%
Maribor Win 23.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Koper1.49
Maribor1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Koper Koper
W D W W W
13 GF / 4 GA
Maribor Maribor
D W D D W
8 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.74
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.11
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
14
BTTS Yes
13
13
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Koper Koper 27 matches
Maribor Maribor 18 matches
Koper Statistic Maribor
16 Wins 6
5 Draws 10
6 Losses 2
47 Goals For 30
30 Goals Against 20
1.74 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.11 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
14 BTTS Yes 13
21 Over 1.5 16
13 Over 2.5 9
9 Over 3.5 5
11 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Maribor. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Maribor having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Koper Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 22 points from 12 games, Koper bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 6 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with a 19:11 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Maribor Analysis

Maribor arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 24 points after 12 matches. The record of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 0 defeats, together with a 21:9 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Koper won 3 times, Maribor won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:26 from Koper's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (76.1%)
H2H summary: Koper wins 3, draws 5, Maribor wins 7

Standings

1. SNL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Koper Home
14 8 4 2 25:12 13 28
W W W D W
2 14 6 6 2 21:14 7 24
L L D W D
3 14 6 4 4 16:12 4 22
W D W D L
4 13 5 5 3 17:12 5 20
W D D W D
5 14 5 5 4 15:15 0 20
L D D L W
6 14 5 3 6 18:20 -2 18
L D D W L
7 14 4 5 5 21:13 8 17
W D L L D
8 14 3 4 7 15:25 -10 13
D D L L W
9 14 2 7 5 14:25 -11 13
D D D D D
10 13 1 5 7 15:29 -14 8
L D D D L
Qualifying
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation