ARGENTINA LIGA PROFESIONAL ARGENTINA
02.05.2026 17:30
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus
Referee: Sebastian Nicolas Martinez, Argentina
Lanus
Match Timeline
Deportivo Riestra
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
12'
Walter Bou
Lanus
🟨
18'
Dylan Aquino
Lanus
🟨
20'
Mariano Bracamonte
Deportivo Riestra
🔄
46'
F. Sanchez ↔ F. Pena Biafore
Lanus
🟨
56'
Gonzalo Flores
Deportivo Riestra
🔄
59'
W. Bou ↔ Marcelino Moreno
Lanus
🔄
59'
G. Flores ↔ G. Obredor
Deportivo Riestra
🔄
59'
M. Smarra ↔ A. Alonso
Deportivo Riestra
🟨
66'
Juan Randazzo
Deportivo Riestra
🔄
68'
M. Sepulveda ↔ E. Salvio
Lanus
🔄
68'
D. Aquino ↔ L. Besozzi
Lanus
🔄
72'
J. Herrera ↔ M. Garcia
Deportivo Riestra
🔄
83'
A. Cardozo ↔ R. Carrera
Lanus

Lanus vs Deportivo Riestra Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 75.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 97.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
100%
-
BTTS BTTS No
75.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
97.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
90.5%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Lanus Win 100%
Draw 0%
Deportivo Riestra Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lanus1.06
Deportivo Riestra0.58
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lanus Lanus
WWDLW
24 GF / 17 GA
Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra
WLDWL
6 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.26
Average Goals Scored
0.38
0.89
Average Goals Conceded
0.75
7
BTTS Yes
3
7
Over 2.5
0
3.94
Shots on Goal
3.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lanus Lanus 19 matches
Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 16 matches
Lanus Statistic Deportivo Riestra
9 Wins 2
5 Draws 7
5 Losses 7
24 Goals For 6
17 Goals Against 12
1.26 Avg Goals Scored 0.38
0.89 Avg Goals Conceded 0.75
7 BTTS Yes 3
10 Over 1.5 6
7 Over 2.5 0
4 Over 3.5 0
8 Clean Sheets 6
6 Failed To Score 11
3.94 Shots On Goal 3.33
12.06 Total Shots 10
4.56 Corners 4.13
53.2% Ball Possession 39.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Deportivo Riestra. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Deportivo Riestra arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lanus expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Deportivo Riestra in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Deportivo Riestra having the stronger overall control. Lanus arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 132 points compared to Deportivo Riestra in 17 on 110, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Lanus Analysis

Lanus sit 8 with 132 points after 88 league matches. Their overall return of - wins, - draws, and - losses with goals at 0:0 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Dylan Aquino (5 goals), Marcelino Moreno (3 goals), C. Izquierdoz (2 goals), with creative support from Ramiro Carrera (3 assists), E. Salvio (3 assists), R. Castillo (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportivo Riestra Analysis

Deportivo Riestra sit 17 with 110 points after 88 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted - wins, - draws, and - defeats, and the 0:0 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Alonso (2 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Lanus won 0 times, Deportivo Riestra won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:6 from Lanus's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1 (100%)
Predicted formations: Lanus 4-2-3-1 / Deportivo Riestra 5-3-2
H2H summary: Lanus wins 0, draws 1, Deportivo Riestra wins 3

Standings

Clausura - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 1 1 6:2 4 16
W D W W W
2 7 5 0 2 12:5 7 15
W W W L W
3 7 4 2 1 9:8 1 14
W W D W L
4 7 3 4 0 10:6 4 13
D D D D W
5 7 3 2 2 8:6 2 11
D W W L D
6 7 3 1 3 12:10 2 10
W W L L W
7 7 3 1 3 6:6 0 10
L D W L L
8 7 2 4 1 7:8 -1 10
W D D D W
9 7 2 2 3 7:6 1 8
D D L W L
10 7 2 2 3 7:11 -4 8
L W D W L
11 7 2 1 4 7:7 0 7
D L W L L
12
Lanus Home
7 2 1 4 7:8 -1 7
L D L W L
13 7 2 1 4 4:7 -3 7
D L L W W
14 7 2 1 4 2:5 -3 7
L D W L L
15 7 1 2 4 8:12 -4 5
D D L L W
Knockout Phase