BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Laguna
Match Timeline
Sousa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
78'
Matheus Bambu
Sousa

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 86.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 56.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
86.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
56.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
77.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Laguna Win 13.3%
Draw 0%
Sousa Win 86.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Laguna0.46
Sousa1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Laguna Laguna
WWDLW
1 GF / 9 GA
Sousa Sousa
WLDWL
6 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
0.2
Average Goals Scored
0.86
1.8
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
1
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Laguna Laguna 5 matches
Sousa Sousa 7 matches
Laguna Statistic Sousa
0 Wins 4
1 Draws 0
4 Losses 3
1 Goals For 6
9 Goals Against 6
0.2 Avg Goals Scored 0.86
1.8 Avg Goals Conceded 0.86
1 BTTS Yes 2
3 Over 1.5 3
1 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sousa. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Sousa having the stronger overall control. Sousa carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 6 points while Laguna sit 6 on 1, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Laguna Analysis

Laguna sit 6 with 1 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 1:9, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Erivelton (1 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sousa Analysis

Sousa approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 6 points from 5 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 3:5, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Diego Viana (1 goals), Everton Heleno (1 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Laguna won 0 times, Sousa won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:2 from Laguna's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Laguna wins 0, draws 0, Sousa wins 2
Last matches: Laguna
14.06.26
Ser
Laguna
Central SC
1
2
L
31.05.26
Ser
Laguna
ABC
0
2
L
25.05.26
Ser
Laguna
Maguary PE
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Laguna
America-RN
0
5
L
03.05.26
Ser
Laguna
Sousa
0
1
L
26.04.26
Ser
Laguna
America-RN
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Laguna
Maguary PE
0
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Laguna
ABC
0
4
L
05.04.26
Ser
Laguna
Central SC
1
1
D
Last matches: Sousa
14.06.26
Ser
Sousa
America-RN
0
2
L
01.06.26
Ser
Sousa
Maguary PE
0
2
L
23.05.26
Ser
Sousa
Central SC
0
0
D
16.05.26
Ser
Sousa
ABC
0
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Sousa
Laguna
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Sousa
ABC
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Sousa
Central SC
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Sousa
Maguary PE
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Sousa
America-RN
0
2
L
10.01.26
Fri
Sousa
Pombal
2
1
W
04.01.26
Fri
Sousa
Potiguar Mossoró
1
0
W
27.07.25
Ser
Sousa
Santa Cruz RN
1
2
L
20.07.25
Ser
Sousa
Central SC
1
1
D
12.07.25
Ser
Sousa
Treze
0
1
L
05.07.25
Ser
Sousa
Ferroviario
0
0
D
29.06.25
Ser
Sousa
Horizonte
3
1
W
15.06.25
Ser
Sousa
Santa Cruz
0
2
L
11.06.25
Ser
Sousa
America-RN
1
0
W
01.06.25
Ser
Sousa
America-RN
0
2
L
25.05.25
Ser
Sousa
Santa Cruz
0
1
L
H2H: Laguna vs Sousa
10.05.26
H2H
Laguna
Sousa
0
1
L
03.05.26
H2H
Sousa
Laguna
1
0
L
Last matches: Laguna
31.05.26
Ser
Laguna
ABC
0
2
L
25.05.26
Ser
Laguna
Maguary PE
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Laguna
America-RN
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Laguna
Central SC
1
1
D
H2H at home: Laguna
10.05.26
H2H
Laguna
Sousa
0
1
L
Last matches: Sousa
01.06.26
Ser
Sousa
Maguary PE
0
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
Sousa
ABC
0
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
Sousa
Central SC
1
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Sousa
America-RN
0
2
L
10.01.26
Fri
Sousa
Pombal
2
1
W
20.07.25
Ser
Sousa
Central SC
1
1
D
05.07.25
Ser
Sousa
Ferroviario
0
0
D
15.06.25
Ser
Sousa
Santa Cruz
0
2
L
01.06.25
Ser
Sousa
America-RN
0
2
L
18.05.25
Ser
Sousa
Horizonte
1
2
L
04.05.25
Ser
Sousa
Treze
0
1
L
19.04.25
Ser
Sousa
Santa Cruz RN
0
1
L
H2H away: Sousa
10.05.26
H2H
Laguna
Sousa
0
1
W

Standings

Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5
Sousa Away
10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)