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11.10.2026 19:00
La Luz
Match Timeline
Plaza Colonia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
58'
La Luz
La Luz
⚽
76'
Plaza Colonia
Plaza Colonia

La Luz vs Plaza Colonia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 69.6%
Odds 2.66
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.95
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 2.43
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
69.6%
2.66 ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.95 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
2.43 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
12.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
La Luz Win 19.6%
Draw 10.9%
Plaza Colonia Win 69.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
La Luz0.87
Plaza Colonia1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
La Luz La Luz
WWDLW
24 GF / 30 GA
Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia
WLDWL
35 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
0.89
Average Goals Scored
1.3
1.11
Average Goals Conceded
0.85
10
BTTS Yes
12
9
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

La Luz La Luz 27 matches
Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia 27 matches
La Luz Statistic Plaza Colonia
8 Wins 12
10 Draws 8
9 Losses 7
24 Goals For 35
30 Goals Against 23
0.89 Avg Goals Scored 1.3
1.11 Avg Goals Conceded 0.85
10 BTTS Yes 12
16 Over 1.5 19
9 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 4
12 Clean Sheets 11
12 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Plaza Colonia's more proactive style and La Luz's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Plaza Colonia having the stronger overall control. Plaza Colonia carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 12 points while La Luz sit 9 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Plaza Colonia. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

La Luz Analysis

So far, La Luz have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 7 points from 6 matches. Their overall return of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 5:6 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Plaza Colonia Analysis

Plaza Colonia come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 12 points after 6 matches. With 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 9:2, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, La Luz won 1 times, Plaza Colonia won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:6 from La Luz's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.1%)
H2H summary: La Luz wins 1, draws 2, Plaza Colonia wins 2

Standings

1st Phase
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 8:5 3 13
L W W W D
2 6 3 3 0 9:2 7 12
W D D W W
3 6 3 2 1 13:7 6 11
W L W W D
4 6 2 4 0 9:6 3 10
D W W D D
5 6 2 3 1 8:5 3 9
D W D L D
6 6 2 3 1 7:5 2 9
D W L W D
7 6 2 3 1 6:5 1 9
D L W W D
8 6 2 3 1 8:8 0 9
D D L W D
9 6 1 4 1 5:6 -1 7
D L W D D
10 6 1 2 3 3:7 -4 5
D D L W L
11 6 1 1 4 4:7 -3 4
L D L L W
12 6 1 1 4 5:11 -6 4
L W L L L
13 6 1 1 4 6:13 -7 4
W L L L D
14 6 0 3 3 5:9 -4 3
D L L L D