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COLOMBIA › PRIMERA B
11.10.2026 22:00
Estadio Sierra Nevada
Union Magdalena
Match Timeline
Leones FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
12'
F. Molina
Union Magdalena
⚽
16'
M. Ballesteros
Union Magdalena
⚽
57'
C. Rodriguez Cespedes
Leones FC
🔄
58'
S. Montoya ↔ L. Pacheco
Leones FC
🔄
58'
J. Castano ↔ J. Bonilla
Leones FC
🔄
58'
T. Soto ↔ R. Granados
Leones FC
🔄
62'
R. Rodriguez ↔ J. Giraldo
Union Magdalena
🔄
62'
O. Surmay ↔ J. Mercado
Union Magdalena
🔄
62'
J. Farias ↔ C. Iguaran
Union Magdalena
🔄
62'
M. Ballesteros ↔ J. Lerma
Union Magdalena
🔄
73'
J. Martinez ↔ T. Calle
Leones FC
🟨
75'
Union Magdalena
Union Magdalena
🔄
78'
J. Bonilla ↔ J. Echeverry
Leones FC
⚽
90+3'
L. Pacheco
Leones FC

Union Magdalena vs Leones FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.2%
Odds 1.38
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 2.15
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds 1.90
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.2%
1.38 ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
2.15 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
1.90 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.35 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.20 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
23.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Union Magdalena Win 54.2%
Draw 9.3%
Leones FC Win 36.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Union Magdalena1.47
Leones FC0.76
Recent Form (Last 5)
Union Magdalena Union Magdalena
WWDLW
46 GF / 32 GA
Leones FC Leones FC
WLDWL
16 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.39
Average Goals Scored
0.62
0.97
Average Goals Conceded
1.58
19
BTTS Yes
11
14
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 33 matches
Leones FC Leones FC 26 matches
Union Magdalena Statistic Leones FC
15 Wins 4
9 Draws 8
9 Losses 14
46 Goals For 16
32 Goals Against 41
1.39 Avg Goals Scored 0.62
0.97 Avg Goals Conceded 1.58
19 BTTS Yes 11
26 Over 1.5 17
14 Over 2.5 10
6 Over 3.5 3
9 Clean Sheets 6
8 Failed To Score 12
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Union Magdalena's more proactive style and Leones FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Leones FC. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Leones FC having the stronger overall control. Union Magdalena arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 52 points compared to Leones FC in 16 on 19, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Leones FC arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Union Magdalena Analysis

Union Magdalena come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 52 points from 31 matches. The record of 15 wins, 7 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 44:30 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Leones FC Analysis

Leones FC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 19 points from 25 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 14 defeats with a 15:40 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Union Magdalena won 3 times, Leones FC won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:7 from Union Magdalena's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.7%)
H2H summary: Union Magdalena wins 3, draws 1, Leones FC wins 1

Standings

Primera B: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 17 8 7 40:28 12 59
L W W W L
2 32 16 9 7 33:21 12 57
W W L L D
3 34 15 11 8 46:31 15 56
D D W D D
4 35 15 11 9 55:41 14 56
D L D D L
5 32 15 8 9 45:31 14 53
D W D W L
6 33 12 10 11 33:27 6 46
D W D W D
7 27 11 10 6 29:21 8 43
D W W L W
8 33 9 12 12 28:35 -7 39
D D L W D
9 27 9 9 9 33:30 3 36
L W W W W
10 27 9 8 10 30:34 -4 35
D L L L W
11 32 9 8 15 37:43 -6 35
D L L L L
12 26 7 10 9 33:34 -1 31
D W W W W
13 26 6 9 11 20:28 -8 27
L D L D L
14 27 5 9 13 27:42 -15 24
D L L L W
15 27 4 10 13 23:41 -18 22
W L D D L
16 26 4 8 14 16:41 -25 20
D L L D L
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)