ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
13.09.2026 14:00
Kuressaare Linnastaadion
Referee: K. Laane
Kuressaare
Match Timeline
Tammeka
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
16'
O. Kangaslahti · Assist: Pedro Manoel
Tammeka
19'
E. Demidov
Kuressaare
28'
P. Marin · Assist: M. Sambe
Tammeka
🟨
55'
M. Sambe
Tammeka
🔄
57'
P. Marin ↔ G. Uggeri
Tammeka
🔄
68'
T. Lang ↔ L. Ounpuu
Tammeka
🔄
68'
M. Hydara ↔ Kauan Pereira
Tammeka
69'
R. Silov · Assist: L. Ounpuu
Tammeka
🔄
72'
S. Sinilaid ↔ R. Lukas
Kuressaare
🔄
79'
Thomas Lisboa ↔ M. Vaino
Tammeka
🔄
79'
R. Silov ↔ R. Muur
Tammeka
🔄
85'
A. Visse ↔ G. Roivassepp
Kuressaare

Kuressaare vs Tammeka Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 61.9%
Odds 1.50
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.71
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
61.9%
1.50
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.71
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
4.97
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.33
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Kuressaare Win 41.7%
Draw 20.2%
Tammeka Win 38.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kuressaare1.34
Tammeka1.65
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kuressaare Kuressaare
WWDLW
41 GF / 63 GA
Tammeka Tammeka
WLDWL
46 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
1.28
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.97
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
18
BTTS Yes
15
20
Over 2.5
17
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kuressaare Kuressaare 32 matches
Tammeka Tammeka 32 matches
Kuressaare Statistic Tammeka
9 Wins 16
6 Draws 3
17 Losses 13
41 Goals For 46
63 Goals Against 46
1.28 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
1.97 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
18 BTTS Yes 15
24 Over 1.5 22
20 Over 2.5 17
14 Over 3.5 11
3 Clean Sheets 11
13 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Tammeka look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Tammeka. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Tammeka having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Kuressaare Analysis

So far, Kuressaare have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 28 points from 26 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 4 draws, and 14 losses, while the 30:42 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Tammeka Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 38 points from 24 games, Tammeka bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 12 wins, 2 draws, and 10 defeats plus a goal balance of 31:35, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Kuressaare won 5 times, Tammeka won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:15 from Kuressaare's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.8%)
Predicted formations: Kuressaare 4-2-3-1 / Tammeka -
H2H summary: Kuressaare wins 5, draws 4, Tammeka wins 6

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 21 5 1 74:20 54 68
W W W W W
2 28 17 1 10 56:37 19 52
W D W W L
3 28 14 5 9 49:26 23 47
W L L L L
4 27 13 6 8 43:35 8 45
L W L W W
5 27 14 2 11 36:38 -2 44
W L W L W
6 28 11 1 16 40:47 -7 34
W L L W W
7 27 10 4 13 37:52 -15 34
L W W D L
8 28 9 1 18 46:65 -19 28
L W L L L
9 28 8 4 16 31:49 -18 28
L L W D L
10 28 5 3 20 21:64 -43 18
L D L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga