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ESTONIA › MEISTRILIIGA
11.10.2026 13:30
Kuressaare Linnastaadion
Referee: G. Osomkov
Kuressaare
Match Timeline
Flora Tallinn
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
8'
M. Lukka
Kuressaare
🟨
20'
O. Pihela
Flora Tallinn
🟨
30'
M. Jekimov
Flora Tallinn
⚽
32'
A. Svedovski
Kuressaare
⚽
40'
T. Jurisoo · Assist: D. Andreas
Kuressaare
🔄
46'
M. Jekimov ↔ T. Teevali
Flora Tallinn
🟨
52'
R. Piil
Kuressaare
🔄
54'
M. Kukkonen ↔ T. Varjund
Flora Tallinn
🔄
54'
T. Usta ↔ E. Sorga
Flora Tallinn
🔄
62'
D. Kuraksin ↔ R. Alliku
Flora Tallinn
🟨
67'
R. Veering
Flora Tallinn
🔄
71'
R. Tarkmeel ↔ A. Kivi
Kuressaare
🔄
71'
A. Svedovski ↔ R. Talu
Kuressaare
🟨
73'
E. Demidov
Kuressaare
🔄
78'
R. Valdmets ↔ D. Zotov
Flora Tallinn

Kuressaare vs Flora Tallinn Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 49.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
49.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Kuressaare Win 34.6%
Draw 16.1%
Flora Tallinn Win 49.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kuressaare1.3
Flora Tallinn1.85
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kuressaare Kuressaare
D L L W D
6 GF / 10 GA
Flora Tallinn Flora Tallinn
W W D W W
13 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
1.79
1.94
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
19
BTTS Yes
21
21
Over 2.5
31
0
Shots on Goal
2.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kuressaare Kuressaare 34 matches
Flora Tallinn Flora Tallinn 42 matches
Kuressaare Statistic Flora Tallinn
9 Wins 23
7 Draws 3
18 Losses 16
42 Goals For 75
66 Goals Against 58
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.79
1.94 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
19 BTTS Yes 21
25 Over 1.5 34
21 Over 2.5 31
15 Over 3.5 18
4 Clean Sheets 13
14 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 2.33
0 Total Shots 1.5
0 Corners 3.67
0% Ball Possession 30%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Flora Tallinn's more proactive style and Kuressaare's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Flora Tallinn. Flora Tallinn carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 55 points while Kuressaare sit 8 on 29, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Flora Tallinn look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Flora Tallinn having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Kuressaare Analysis

So far, Kuressaare have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 29 points from 29 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 5 draws, and 16 losses, while the 31:49 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Flora Tallinn Analysis

Flora Tallinn approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 55 points after 29 outings. The return of 18 wins, 1 draws, and 10 defeats, together with goals at 59:39, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 9 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Kuressaare won 1 times, Flora Tallinn won 12 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:40 from Kuressaare's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.47 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.9%)
H2H summary: Kuressaare wins 1, draws 2, Flora Tallinn wins 12

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 25 6 1 87:22 65 81
W W W D W
2 33 19 1 13 63:47 16 58
L W L L W
3 32 17 6 9 52:39 13 57
W W L W W
4 32 15 6 11 54:33 21 51
L D L W W
5 32 15 2 15 42:51 -9 47
L L W L L
6 33 15 2 16 48:48 0 47
W W W W D
7 32 10 6 16 43:63 -20 36
L D D L L
8 32 10 5 17 34:51 -17 35
L W W D L
9 32 10 1 21 50:74 -24 31
W L L L L
10 32 5 5 22 25:70 -45 20
L L D D L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga