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GERMANY › 2. BUNDESLIGA
23.10.2026 16:30
Vonovia Ruhrstadion

VfL Bochum vs VfL Wolfsburg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
72.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
VfL Bochum Win 22.7%
Draw 4.5%
VfL Wolfsburg Win 72.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
VfL Bochum1.21
VfL Wolfsburg2.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
VfL Bochum VfL Bochum
WWDLW
18 GF / 20 GA
VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg
WLDWL
41 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.06
Average Goals Scored
2.93
1.18
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
7
BTTS Yes
9
6
Over 2.5
9
4.13
Shots on Goal
7.13

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 17 matches
VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 14 matches
VfL Bochum Statistic VfL Wolfsburg
7 Wins 8
3 Draws 4
7 Losses 2
18 Goals For 41
20 Goals Against 20
1.06 Avg Goals Scored 2.93
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1.43
7 BTTS Yes 9
11 Over 1.5 11
6 Over 2.5 9
3 Over 3.5 8
4 Clean Sheets 3
7 Failed To Score 3
4.13 Shots On Goal 7.13
15.38 Total Shots 19.38
5.75 Corners 6.63
55.3% Ball Possession 56.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by VfL Wolfsburg's more proactive style and VfL Bochum's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors VfL Wolfsburg. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with VfL Bochum expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and VfL Wolfsburg in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward VfL Wolfsburg having the stronger overall control. VfL Bochum have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. VfL Wolfsburg carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 12 points while VfL Bochum sit 12 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

VfL Bochum Analysis

VfL Bochum sit 12 with 7 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 5:7 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on K. Miyoshi (2 goals), T. Meyer (1 goals), P. Hofmann (1 goals), with creative support from T. Meyer (1 assists), M. Wittek (1 assists), E. Çokaj (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

VfL Wolfsburg Analysis

VfL Wolfsburg come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 12 points from 7 matches. The record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 19:12 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through R. Glatzel (4 goals), M. Damar (2 goals), A. Besio (2 goals), with creative support from F. Reese (4 assists), Vinicius Souza (1 assists), J. Mæhle (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, VfL Bochum won 2 times, VfL Wolfsburg won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:16 from VfL Bochum's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.88 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.5%)
Predicted formations: VfL Bochum 4-2-3-1 / VfL Wolfsburg 4-3-3
H2H summary: VfL Bochum wins 2, draws 1, VfL Wolfsburg wins 5

Standings

2. Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 1 0 19:8 11 22
D W W W W
2 8 5 3 0 21:11 10 18
D D W W D
3 8 4 3 1 22:13 9 15
W D W L D
4 8 4 3 1 8:4 4 15
W D W L W
5 8 4 2 2 15:15 0 14
L D D W W
6 8 4 1 3 14:11 3 13
L W D W L
7 8 2 5 1 11:9 2 11
D W D W D
8 8 3 2 3 13:13 0 11
W W D L D
9 8 2 3 3 16:17 -1 9
D L D W D
10 8 2 3 3 12:13 -1 9
W L D D L
11 8 2 2 4 11:15 -4 8
W D L D L
12 8 2 2 4 11:15 -4 8
L D D L W
13 8 2 2 4 10:14 -4 8
W L L L D
14 8 2 2 4 8:13 -5 8
D L W L D
15 8 2 1 5 13:15 -2 7
L W L D L
16 8 2 1 5 5:9 -4 7
L L L D W
17 8 2 1 5 8:18 -10 7
L W L W L
18 8 0 5 3 7:11 -4 5
D L D L D
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