Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
70.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
87%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
KuPS
Ilves
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
KuPS
16 matches
Ilves
16 matches
| KuPS | Statistic | Ilves |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 7 |
| 7 | Draws | 3 |
| 1 | Losses | 6 |
| 22 | Goals For | 32 |
| 12 | Goals Against | 23 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 0.75 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.44 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 3.15 | Shots On Goal | 2.67 |
| 7.69 | Total Shots | 6 |
| 3.15 | Corners | 2.08 |
| 28.4% | Ball Possession | 23.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by KuPS's more proactive style and Ilves's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Ilves. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. KuPS arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 21 points compared to Ilves in 8 on 12, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with KuPS expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Ilves in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ilves having the stronger overall control.
KuPS come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 21 points from 12 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 6 draws, and 1 losses, while the 17:11 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. J. Moreno Ciorciari (6 goals), B. Armah (4 goals), O. Ruoppi (3 goals), with creative support from O. Ruoppi (3 assists), P. Pennanen (2 assists), S. Savolainen (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Ilves sit 8 with 12 points after 11 league matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 14:21 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by T. Hytonen (4 goals), Jardell Kanga (3 goals), M. Stjopin (3 goals), with creative support from J. Kilo (4 assists), T. Hytonen (1 assists), M. Rale (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, KuPS won 5 times, Ilves won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:26 from KuPS's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.
KuPS
Turku PS
KuPS
VPS
KuPS
Inter Turku
KuPS
Lahti
KuPS
FF Jaro
KuPS
Mariehamn
KuPS
SJK
KuPS
AC Oulu
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
AC Oulu
KuPS
FF Jaro
KuPS
Gnistan
KuPS
Ilves
KuPS
SJK
KuPS
JIPPO
KuPS
Mariehamn
KuPS
Lech Poznan
KuPS
Lech Poznan
KuPS
Crystal Palace
KuPS
Lausanne
Ilves
FF Jaro
Ilves
Turku PS
Ilves
Lahti
Ilves
Gnistan
Ilves
Inter Turku
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
Ilves
AC Oulu
Ilves
SJK
Ilves
VPS
Ilves
Mariehamn
Ilves
Inter Turku
Ilves
KuPS
Ilves
MP
Ilves
Haka
Ilves
Gnistan
Ilves
Ilves II
Ilves
AZ Alkmaar
Ilves
AZ Alkmaar
Ilves
Shakhtar Donetsk
Ilves
Shakhtar Donetsk
KuPS
Inter Turku
KuPS
Lahti
KuPS
FF Jaro
KuPS
SJK
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
AC Oulu
KuPS
Gnistan
KuPS
JIPPO
KuPS
Mariehamn
KuPS
Lech Poznan
KuPS
Lausanne
KuPS
Slovan Bratislava
KuPS
Drita
KuPS
FC Midtjylland
KuPS
Rīgas FS
KuPS
Kairat Almaty
KuPS
Milsami Orhei
Ilves
Lahti
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
Ilves
SJK
Ilves
VPS
Ilves
Mariehamn
Ilves
Inter Turku
Ilves
AZ Alkmaar
Ilves
Shakhtar Donetsk
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 20:11 | 9 | 26 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 18:9 | 9 | 25 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 |
KuPS
Home
|
13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 19:12 | 7 | 24 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
| 4 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 21:13 | 8 | 19 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 17 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 17 |
W
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 8 |
Ilves
Away
|
12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19:21 | -2 | 15 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
| 9 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14:14 | 0 | 11 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 9 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10:27 | -17 | 7 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 6:19 | -13 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
D
|