NORWAY ELITESERIEN
--.--.---- --:--
Kristiansund Stadion
Referee: R. Saggi

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.5%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
79.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Kristiansund BK Win 63.5%
Draw 23.4%
Start Win 13%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kristiansund BK1.4
Start1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK
WWDLW
21 GF / 30 GA
Start Start
WLDWL
25 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
0.91
Average Goals Scored
1.09
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
2.13
10
BTTS Yes
13
10
Over 2.5
13
3.67
Shots on Goal
3.54

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 23 matches
Start Start 23 matches
Kristiansund BK Statistic Start
6 Wins 4
7 Draws 5
10 Losses 14
21 Goals For 25
30 Goals Against 49
0.91 Avg Goals Scored 1.09
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 2.13
10 BTTS Yes 13
17 Over 1.5 22
10 Over 2.5 13
3 Over 3.5 8
5 Clean Sheets 4
11 Failed To Score 6
3.67 Shots On Goal 3.54
11.75 Total Shots 11.38
4.33 Corners 3.23
41.4% Ball Possession 39.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Start. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Kristiansund BK expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Start in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Start having the stronger overall control.

Kristiansund BK Analysis

With 11 points from 12 games and a place of 15, Kristiansund BK still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 11:21 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Leander Alvheim (5 goals), Wilfred George Igor (1 goals), Adrian Kurd Rønning (1 goals), with creative support from Alexander Munksgaard (1 assists), Mustapha Isah (1 assists), Sander Hestetun Kilen (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Start Analysis

Start approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 7 points from 13 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 14:30, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Jesper Cornelius (4 goals), Hakon Lorentzen (2 goals), Ousmane Diallo Toure (2 goals), with creative support from Tom Strannegård (3 assists), Hakon Lorentzen (2 assists), Erlend Segberg (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Kristiansund BK won 2 times, Start won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:13 from Kristiansund BK's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (87%)
Predicted formations: Kristiansund BK 4-2-3-1 / Start 5-3-2
Missing players: Kristiansund BK 1, Start 5
H2H summary: Kristiansund BK wins 2, draws 2, Start wins 3
Last matches: Kristiansund BK
02.08.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
KFUM Oslo
1
2
L
18.07.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
0
D
12.07.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Rosenborg
0
3
L
03.07.26
Fri
Kristiansund BK
Brann
2
1
W
27.06.26
Fri
Kristiansund BK
Aalesund
0
3
L
29.05.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Valerenga
1
3
L
24.05.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Viking
1
2
L
20.05.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Lillestrom
2
1
W
16.05.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Molde
0
1
L
10.05.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Sandefjord
0
2
L
03.05.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Ham-Kam
1
1
D
26.04.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Aalesund
1
1
D
19.04.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Fredrikstad
2
0
W
11.04.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Tromso
0
2
L
06.04.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Bodo/Glimt
0
3
L
28.03.26
Fri
Kristiansund BK
Brattvåg
4
0
W
15.03.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Brann
3
2
W
08.03.26
Fri
Kristiansund BK
Ranheim
1
1
D
25.02.26
Fri
Kristiansund BK
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
1
L
18.02.26
Fri
Kristiansund BK
Ham-Kam
2
1
W
Last matches: Start
01.08.26
Eli
Start
Viking
0
3
L
18.07.26
Eli
Start
Rosenborg
0
3
L
12.07.26
Eli
Start
Brann
1
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Start
Bodo/Glimt
0
4
L
29.05.26
Eli
Start
Fredrikstad
1
2
L
25.05.26
Eli
Start
Valerenga
2
0
W
20.05.26
Eli
Start
Bodo/Glimt
1
4
L
16.05.26
Eli
Start
Viking
3
6
L
03.05.26
Eli
Start
Tromso
1
1
D
30.04.26
Eli
Start
Bodo/Glimt
0
5
L
26.04.26
Eli
Start
Ham-Kam
1
2
L
19.04.26
Eli
Start
Molde
1
1
D
11.04.26
Eli
Start
Lillestrom
1
3
L
06.04.26
Eli
Start
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
1
D
27.03.26
Fri
Start
Tromso
0
1
L
21.03.26
Eli
Start
Aalesund
1
1
D
15.03.26
Eli
Start
KFUM Oslo
0
2
L
08.03.26
Fri
Start
Sandefjord
2
3
L
28.02.26
Fri
Start
Bryne
2
2
D
24.02.26
Fri
Start
Rosenborg
1
2
L
H2H: Kristiansund BK vs Start
25.07.26
H2H
Kristiansund BK
Start
1
2
L
05.08.23
H2H
Kristiansund BK
Start
1
1
D
16.04.23
H2H
Start
Kristiansund BK
4
0
L
20.09.20
H2H
Start
Kristiansund BK
1
2
W
09.08.20
H2H
Kristiansund BK
Start
3
2
W
02.09.18
H2H
Kristiansund BK
Start
1
1
D
24.06.18
H2H
Start
Kristiansund BK
2
0
L
Last matches: Kristiansund BK
18.07.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
0
D
27.06.26
Fri
Kristiansund BK
Aalesund
0
3
L
24.05.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Viking
1
2
L
03.05.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Ham-Kam
1
1
D
19.04.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Fredrikstad
2
0
W
06.04.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Bodo/Glimt
0
3
L
28.03.26
Fri
Kristiansund BK
Brattvåg
4
0
W
15.03.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Brann
3
2
W
08.03.26
Fri
Kristiansund BK
Ranheim
1
1
D
25.02.26
Fri
Kristiansund BK
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
1
L
18.02.26
Fri
Kristiansund BK
Ham-Kam
2
1
W
15.02.26
Fri
Kristiansund BK
Egersund
1
1
D
23.01.26
Fri
Kristiansund BK
hodd
0
0
D
H2H at home: Kristiansund BK
25.07.26
H2H
Kristiansund BK
Start
1
2
L
05.08.23
H2H
Kristiansund BK
Start
1
1
D
09.08.20
H2H
Kristiansund BK
Start
3
2
W
02.09.18
H2H
Kristiansund BK
Start
1
1
D
Last matches: Start
12.07.26
Eli
Start
Brann
1
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Start
Bodo/Glimt
0
4
L
29.05.26
Eli
Start
Fredrikstad
1
2
L
16.05.26
Eli
Start
Viking
3
6
L
30.04.26
Eli
Start
Bodo/Glimt
0
5
L
26.04.26
Eli
Start
Ham-Kam
1
2
L
11.04.26
Eli
Start
Lillestrom
1
3
L
06.04.26
Eli
Start
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
1
D
27.03.26
Fri
Start
Tromso
0
1
L
15.03.26
Eli
Start
KFUM Oslo
0
2
L
08.03.26
Fri
Start
Sandefjord
2
3
L
28.02.26
Fri
Start
Bryne
2
2
D
24.02.26
Fri
Start
Rosenborg
1
2
L
13.02.26
Fri
Start
Lyn
2
0
W
06.02.26
Fri
Start
Viking
0
4
L
H2H away: Start
25.07.26
H2H
Kristiansund BK
Start
1
2
W
05.08.23
H2H
Kristiansund BK
Start
1
1
D
09.08.20
H2H
Kristiansund BK
Start
3
2
L
02.09.18
H2H
Kristiansund BK
Start
1
1
D

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 12 2 2 41:11 30 38
W W W W W
2 15 12 1 2 37:14 23 37
W D W W L
3 16 10 4 2 32:17 15 34
W W W D D
4 15 8 1 6 22:18 4 25
L L W W L
5 15 7 3 5 28:22 6 24
D W L D W
6 16 7 1 8 33:27 6 22
W L W W L
7 15 6 4 5 18:19 -1 22
D W D W W
8 15 6 3 6 23:26 -3 21
W L L L D
9 15 6 2 7 22:27 -5 20
L W W L W
10 15 5 3 7 21:21 0 18
L W W W D
11 15 5 2 8 16:27 -11 17
W L L L W
12 15 4 3 8 13:21 -8 15
L L L D L
13 15 4 3 8 17:26 -9 15
W L L L D
14 15 2 7 6 21:35 -14 13
L D L D D
15 15 3 3 9 13:25 -12 12
L L D L L
16
Start Away
16 2 4 10 16:37 -21 10
L W L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen

Missing Players

Kristiansund BK 1 missing
-
D. Tufekcic
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
Start 5 missing
-
J. Torkildsen
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
J. Meyer
Questionable Groin Injury
OUT
-
K. Tonnesen
Missing Fixture Leg Injury
OUT
-
F. Lien
Missing Fixture Foot Injury
OUT
-
M. Nordal
Questionable Illness
OUT