NORWAY ELITESERIEN
09.08.2026 17:15
Kristiansund Stadion
Referee: S. T. Sinnes
Kristiansund BK
Match Timeline
Molde
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
25'
S. Kilen · Assist: S. Svendsen
Kristiansund BK
🟨
61'
Eirik Hestad
Molde
VAR
65'
Eirik Hestad
Molde
🔄
69'
S. Svendsen ↔ S. Skeide
Kristiansund BK
🔄
69'
H. Haugen ↔ F. Flex
Kristiansund BK
🔄
69'
T. Svendsen ↔ A. Ronning
Kristiansund BK
🔄
73'
J. Isaksen ↔ M. Williamsen
Kristiansund BK
🔄
73'
S. Kabini ↔ M. Lovik
Molde
🔄
73'
J. Abdullai ↔ T. Kone-Doherty
Molde
🟨
76'
Sivert Sira Hansen
Molde
76'
L. Alvheim
Kristiansund BK
🔄
80'
M. Linnes ↔ V. Bender
Molde
🔄
80'
D. Daga ↔ N. Odegard
Molde
🔄
83'
H. Bruseth ↔ A. Borset
Kristiansund BK
🔄
86'
S. Hansen ↔ E. Haugan
Molde
🟨
90+9'
Adrian Kurd Rønning
Kristiansund BK
🟨
90+7'
Dan Peter Ulvestad
Kristiansund BK
90+8'
Trent Kone Doherty
Molde
🟨
90+7'
Niklas Odegard
Molde
VAR
90+1'
Trent Kone Doherty
Molde
90'
T. Kone-Doherty · Assist: V. Bender
Molde

Kristiansund BK vs Molde Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 62.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
62.6%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Kristiansund BK Win 15%
Draw 22.4%
Molde Win 62.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kristiansund BK1.14
Molde1.64
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK
WWDLW
23 GF / 34 GA
Molde Molde
WLDWL
44 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
0.92
Average Goals Scored
1.83
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
1.46
12
BTTS Yes
17
12
Over 2.5
15
3.53
Shots on Goal
5.13

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 25 matches
Molde Molde 24 matches
Kristiansund BK Statistic Molde
6 Wins 10
7 Draws 6
12 Losses 8
23 Goals For 44
34 Goals Against 35
0.92 Avg Goals Scored 1.83
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 1.46
12 BTTS Yes 17
19 Over 1.5 19
12 Over 2.5 15
3 Over 3.5 10
5 Clean Sheets 4
11 Failed To Score 4
3.53 Shots On Goal 5.13
12 Total Shots 13.8
4.13 Corners 5.27
42.8% Ball Possession 58.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Molde's more proactive style and Kristiansund BK's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Molde. Kristiansund BK have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Molde carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 23 points while Kristiansund BK sit 15 on 12, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Kristiansund BK Analysis

Kristiansund BK sit 15 with 12 points after 14 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 12:23, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Leander Alvheim (5 goals), Sander Hestetun Kilen (1 goals), Wilfred George Igor (1 goals), with creative support from Alexander Munksgaard (2 assists), Sander Hestetun Kilen (1 assists), Mustapha Isah (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Molde Analysis

Molde arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 23 points after 14 matches. The record of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 25:19 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Emil Breivik (5 goals), Eirik Hestad (4 goals), Fredrik Gulbrandsen (4 goals), with creative support from Emil Breivik (3 assists), Sondre Milian Granaas (3 assists), Eirik Hestad (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Kristiansund BK won 5 times, Molde won 8 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:25 from Kristiansund BK's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (85%)
Predicted formations: Kristiansund BK 4-2-3-1 / Molde 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Kristiansund BK wins 5, draws 1, Molde wins 8

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 16 2 2 52:17 35 50
W W W W W
2 20 15 2 3 51:20 31 47
W D W L W
3
Molde Away
20 11 3 6 43:30 13 36
W W W W L
4 20 10 5 5 37:27 10 35
L L D L W
5 20 10 2 8 28:26 2 32
W W L D L
6 20 9 3 8 36:29 7 30
W W L W W
7 20 8 3 9 24:31 -7 27
D L W W W
8 20 8 2 10 37:31 6 26
L L D W W
9 20 6 7 7 23:26 -3 25
D D D L L
10 20 6 5 9 27:41 -14 23
L L D L D
11 20 6 4 10 33:42 -9 22
L D L D L
12 20 6 4 10 22:34 -12 22
W L L D W
13 20 5 5 10 18:27 -9 20
L D D W L
14 20 5 4 11 20:37 -17 19
L W D L W
15 20 3 9 8 31:45 -14 18
L W L D D
16 20 4 4 12 22:41 -19 16
W L W L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen