CYPRUS 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Ammochostos Stadium
Referee: C. Konstantinos
Krasava Ypsonas
Match Timeline
AEL
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
34'
Luiyi de Lucas
Krasava Ypsonas
🟨
52'
Vangelis Kyriakou
Krasava Ypsonas
54'
Sergio Conceicao
AEL
🟨
60'
Ivan Milosavljević
AEL
🔄
63'
E. Budnik ↔ A. Bah
Krasava Ypsonas
🔄
63'
D. Melnichenko ↔ I. Pankov
Krasava Ypsonas
🔄
63'
M. Koumouris ↔ Y. Bahassa
Krasava Ypsonas
🔄
69'
B. Z. Jradi ↔ P. Panagi
AEL
🔄
78'
D. Ankeye ↔ M. Do Couto
Krasava Ypsonas
🔄
78'
F. R. Mughe ↔ F. Forestieri
AEL
84'
M. Do Couto
Krasava Ypsonas
🔄
89'
D. Cheryshev ↔ E. Davidyan
Krasava Ypsonas
🔄
89'
A. Makris ↔ S. Christofi
AEL
🟨
90+2'
Thapelo Maseko
AEL

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 69.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 67.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
69.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
67.3%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
90.9%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Krasava Ypsonas Win 63.9%
Draw 5.5%
AEL Win 30.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Krasava Ypsonas1.21
AEL1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Krasava Ypsonas Krasava Ypsonas
WWDLW
33 GF / 38 GA
AEL AEL
WLDWL
37 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.1
Average Goals Scored
1.23
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
1.37
10
BTTS Yes
12
13
Over 2.5
16
1.07
Shots on Goal
1.7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Krasava Ypsonas Krasava Ypsonas 30 matches
AEL AEL 30 matches
Krasava Ypsonas Statistic AEL
11 Wins 12
5 Draws 4
14 Losses 14
33 Goals For 37
38 Goals Against 41
1.1 Avg Goals Scored 1.23
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 1.37
10 BTTS Yes 12
19 Over 1.5 23
13 Over 2.5 16
6 Over 3.5 7
10 Clean Sheets 8
11 Failed To Score 11
1.07 Shots On Goal 1.7
3.22 Total Shots 4.48
1.44 Corners 1.63
13.6% Ball Possession 20.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward AEL. Krasava Ypsonas come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Krasava Ypsonas Analysis

Krasava Ypsonas sit 9 with 38 points after 30 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 5 draws, and 14 losses, while the 33:38 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Going forward they rely heavily on Algassime Bah (7 goals), I. Christodoulou (4 goals), M. Do Couto (3 goals), with creative support from Y. Bahassa (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

AEL Analysis

AEL sit 7 with 40 points after 30 league matches. The record of 12 wins, 4 draws, and 14 defeats, together with a 37:41 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Luther Singh (9 goals), Z. Sawo (7 goals), Leo Natel (5 goals), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Krasava Ypsonas won 1 times, AEL won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:2 from Krasava Ypsonas's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.5%)
Predicted formations: Krasava Ypsonas 4-2-3-1 / AEL 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Krasava Ypsonas wins 1, draws 1, AEL wins 1

Lineups

Krasava Ypsonas
Formation
AEL
M. Zadro
M. Zadro
E. Kyriakou
E. Kyriakou
L. de Lucas
L. de Lucas
K. Da Graca
K. Da Graca
I. Chebake
I. Chebake
M. de Iriondo
M. de Iriondo
D. Cheryshev
D. Cheryshev
D. Ankeye
D. Ankeye
D. Melnichenko
D. Melnichenko
E. Budnik
E. Budnik
M. Koumouris
M. Koumouris
P. Kyriakou
P. Kyriakou
Sergio Conceicao
Sergio Conceicao
A. Panagiotou Filiotis
A. Panagiotou Filiotis
E. Imanishimwe
E. Imanishimwe
I. Milosavljevic
I. Milosavljevic
D. Zdravkovski
D. Zdravkovski
A. Makris
A. Makris
F. R. Mughe
F. R. Mughe
B. Z. Jradi
B. Z. Jradi
T. Maseko
T. Maseko
Z. Sawo
Z. Sawo
Krasava Ypsonas 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
91
M. Zadro
G
32
E. Kyriakou
3
L. de Lucas
🟨 34'
D
4
K. Da Graca
D
29
I. Chebake
D
23
M. de Iriondo
M
90
D. Cheryshev
↓ 89'
M
22
D. Ankeye
↓ 78'
F
18
D. Melnichenko
↓ 63'
M
9
E. Budnik
↓ 63'
14
M. Koumouris
↓ 63'
Substitutes
75
Y. Avramenko
G
33
Julio Cesar
D
15
D. Ouedraogo
D
10
M. Do Couto
⚽ 84' ↑ 78'
M
77
Thiago
M
12
A. Bah
↑ 63'
F
5
I. Christodoulou
16
E. Davidyan
↑ 89'
F
80
M. Camus
M
6
I. Pankov
↑ 63'
M
7
N. Trujic
F
28
Y. Bahassa
↑ 63'
M
AEL 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
98
P. Kyriakou
G
35
Sergio Conceicao
⚽ 54'
D
25
A. Panagiotou Filiotis
24
E. Imanishimwe
D
19
I. Milosavljevic
🟨 60'
M
6
D. Zdravkovski
M
33
A. Makris
↓ 89'
M
63
F. R. Mughe
↓ 78'
F
10
B. Z. Jradi
↓ 69'
M
40
T. Maseko
🟨 90+2'
M
27
Z. Sawo
F
Substitutes
99
A. Keravnos
G
14
S. Christofi
↑ 89'
90
P. Panagi
↑ 69'
45
F. Forestieri
↑ 78'
F
95
C. Neofytidis
G
26
N. Glavcic
M
8
V. Papafotis
M
29
D. Paroutis
M
Last matches: Krasava Ypsonas
17.05.26
1.
Krasava Ypsonas
Enosis
0
0
D
08.05.26
1.
Krasava Ypsonas
Anorthosis
2
5
L
25.04.26
1.
Krasava Ypsonas
Omonia Aradippou
1
1
D
19.04.26
1.
Krasava Ypsonas
Ethnikos Achna
3
1
W
06.04.26
1.
Krasava Ypsonas
Akritas
2
0
W
21.03.26
1.
Krasava Ypsonas
Olympiakos
1
0
W
16.03.26
1.
Krasava Ypsonas
Enosis
4
0
W
07.03.26
1.
Krasava Ypsonas
Pafos
0
7
L
01.03.26
1.
Krasava Ypsonas
Akritas
3
1
W
20.02.26
1.
Krasava Ypsonas
Aris
1
1
D
13.02.26
1.
Krasava Ypsonas
Anorthosis
1
1
D
09.02.26
1.
Krasava Ypsonas
AEL
3
0
W
01.02.26
1.
Krasava Ypsonas
Omonia Nicosia
0
1
L
24.01.26
1.
Krasava Ypsonas
Ethnikos Achna
1
0
W
18.01.26
1.
Krasava Ypsonas
AEK Larnaca
1
2
L
12.01.26
1.
Krasava Ypsonas
Olympiakos
1
0
W
02.01.26
1.
Krasava Ypsonas
Omonia Aradippou
0
1
L
21.12.25
1.
Krasava Ypsonas
Apollon Limassol
0
1
L
13.12.25
1.
Krasava Ypsonas
Apoel Nicosia
0
0
D
05.12.25
1.
Krasava Ypsonas
Enosis
1
0
W
Last matches: AEL
15.05.26
1.
AEL
Akritas
2
1
W
09.05.26
1.
AEL
Olympiakos
1
3
L
27.04.26
1.
AEL
Anorthosis
0
1
L
17.04.26
1.
AEL
Enosis
2
1
W
04.04.26
1.
AEL
Omonia Aradippou
3
0
W
22.03.26
1.
AEL
Ethnikos Achna
1
1
D
14.03.26
1.
AEL
Omonia Aradippou
1
2
L
08.03.26
1.
AEL
Apollon Limassol
1
2
L
28.02.26
1.
AEL
Apoel Nicosia
2
3
L
20.02.26
1.
AEL
Enosis
2
0
W
15.02.26
1.
AEL
Pafos
0
1
L
09.02.26
1.
AEL
Krasava Ypsonas
0
3
L
01.02.26
1.
AEL
Aris
2
1
W
25.01.26
1.
AEL
Anorthosis
1
2
L
17.01.26
1.
AEL
Akritas
2
0
W
09.01.26
1.
AEL
Omonia Nicosia
0
2
L
03.01.26
1.
AEL
Ethnikos Achna
1
0
W
22.12.25
1.
AEL
AEK Larnaca
0
1
L
14.12.25
1.
AEL
Olympiakos
0
0
D
07.12.25
1.
AEL
Omonia Aradippou
3
1
W
H2H: Krasava Ypsonas vs AEL
02.05.26
H2H
Krasava Ypsonas
AEL
1
1
D
09.02.26
H2H
Krasava Ypsonas
AEL
3
0
W
26.10.25
H2H
AEL
Krasava Ypsonas
1
0
L
Last matches: Krasava Ypsonas
17.05.26
1.
Krasava Ypsonas
Enosis
0
0
D
19.04.26
1.
Krasava Ypsonas
Ethnikos Achna
3
1
W
21.03.26
1.
Krasava Ypsonas
Olympiakos
1
0
W
16.03.26
1.
Krasava Ypsonas
Enosis
4
0
W
20.02.26
1.
Krasava Ypsonas
Aris
1
1
D
09.02.26
1.
Krasava Ypsonas
AEL
3
0
W
24.01.26
1.
Krasava Ypsonas
Ethnikos Achna
1
0
W
12.01.26
1.
Krasava Ypsonas
Olympiakos
1
0
W
21.12.25
1.
Krasava Ypsonas
Apollon Limassol
0
1
L
30.11.25
1.
Krasava Ypsonas
Pafos
2
3
L
24.11.25
1.
Krasava Ypsonas
Akritas
0
3
L
02.11.25
1.
Krasava Ypsonas
Anorthosis
0
1
L
19.10.25
1.
Krasava Ypsonas
Omonia Nicosia
1
2
L
27.09.25
1.
Krasava Ypsonas
AEK Larnaca
0
4
L
15.09.25
1.
Krasava Ypsonas
Omonia Aradippou
2
0
W
24.08.25
1.
Krasava Ypsonas
Apoel Nicosia
1
2
L
H2H at home: Krasava Ypsonas
02.05.26
H2H
Krasava Ypsonas
AEL
1
1
D
09.02.26
H2H
Krasava Ypsonas
AEL
3
0
W
Last matches: AEL
15.05.26
1.
AEL
Akritas
2
1
W
04.04.26
1.
AEL
Omonia Aradippou
3
0
W
08.03.26
1.
AEL
Apollon Limassol
1
2
L
20.02.26
1.
AEL
Enosis
2
0
W
09.02.26
1.
AEL
Krasava Ypsonas
0
3
L
25.01.26
1.
AEL
Anorthosis
1
2
L
17.01.26
1.
AEL
Akritas
2
0
W
03.01.26
1.
AEL
Ethnikos Achna
1
0
W
14.12.25
1.
AEL
Olympiakos
0
0
D
07.12.25
1.
AEL
Omonia Aradippou
3
1
W
23.11.25
1.
AEL
Apoel Nicosia
2
1
W
02.11.25
1.
AEL
Pafos
0
1
L
19.10.25
1.
AEL
Aris
0
4
L
22.09.25
1.
AEL
Omonia Nicosia
0
5
L
31.08.25
1.
AEL
AEK Larnaca
0
2
L
H2H away: AEL
02.05.26
H2H
Krasava Ypsonas
AEL
1
1
D
09.02.26
H2H
Krasava Ypsonas
AEL
3
0
L

Standings

1-division: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 19 4 3 63:17 46 61
W W D L W
2 26 16 5 5 49:22 27 53
W W D L L
3 26 16 5 5 36:22 14 53
D W D W W
4 26 16 3 7 53:24 29 51
W W D D W
5 26 13 6 7 45:27 18 45
W L W W L
6 26 12 7 7 48:26 22 43
L W D D D
7 26 10 4 12 23:31 -8 34
W L W W D
8
AEL Away
26 10 3 13 31:38 -7 33
L L L W L
9 26 7 11 8 23:33 -10 32
D W W D D
10 26 8 4 14 26:36 -10 28
W L W D D
11 26 6 10 10 22:37 -15 28
L W D L D
12 26 7 5 14 23:48 -25 26
L L L W D
13 26 7 2 17 25:44 -19 23
L L L L W
14 26 0 1 25 5:67 -62 1
L L L L L
Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)
Cyprus League (Relegation Group)