POLAND EKSTRAKLASA
22.08.2026 12:45
Exbud Arena
Referee: Damian Sylwestrzak, Poland
Korona Kielce
Match Timeline
Motor Lublin
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
11'
Slobodan Rubežić
Korona Kielce
19'
M. Stepinski · Assist: M. Remacle
Korona Kielce
🟨
28'
Makan Aïko
Motor Lublin
30'
K. Czubak · Assist: I. Rodrigues
Motor Lublin
🔄
46'
S. Davidovic ↔ Nono
Korona Kielce
🔄
46'
M. Aiko ↔ Fabio Ronaldo
Motor Lublin
🟨
54'
Kamil Jakubczyk
Korona Kielce
🟨
67'
Mbaye Ndiaye
Motor Lublin
🟨
72'
Morgan Fassbender
Korona Kielce
🟨
78'
Ivo Rodrigues
Motor Lublin
🔄
79'
T. Santos ↔ K. Lukoszek
Motor Lublin
🔄
80'
I. Rodrigues ↔ M. Legowski
Motor Lublin
🔄
85'
M. Ndiaye ↔ F. Haxha
Motor Lublin
🟨
87'
Wiktor Długosz
Korona Kielce
🟨
87'
Paskal Meyer
Motor Lublin
🔄
88'
M. Remacle ↔ D. Bak
Korona Kielce
🔄
90+1'
Kikis ↔ T. Plavotic
Motor Lublin

Korona Kielce vs Motor Lublin Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
66.7%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Korona Kielce Win 42.5%
Draw 24.2%
Motor Lublin Win 33.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Korona Kielce1.19
Motor Lublin1.78
Recent Form (Last 5)
Korona Kielce Korona Kielce
WWDLW
13 GF / 6 GA
Motor Lublin Motor Lublin
WLDWL
26 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
2.6
0.55
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
3
BTTS Yes
8
3
Over 2.5
8
3.33
Shots on Goal
5.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 11 matches
Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 10 matches
Korona Kielce Statistic Motor Lublin
5 Wins 7
4 Draws 1
2 Losses 2
13 Goals For 26
6 Goals Against 12
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 2.6
0.55 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
3 BTTS Yes 8
6 Over 1.5 9
3 Over 2.5 8
2 Over 3.5 6
6 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 0
3.33 Shots On Goal 5.25
15.33 Total Shots 15.75
5.33 Corners 3.75
45.7% Ball Possession 47.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Korona Kielce won 2 times, Motor Lublin won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:6 from Korona Kielce's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.86 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (75.8%)
Predicted formations: Korona Kielce 4-2-3-1 / Motor Lublin 4-3-3
H2H summary: Korona Kielce wins 2, draws 4, Motor Lublin wins 1

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 1 1 16:8 8 22
D W W W W
2 9 5 2 2 17:12 5 17
W W D W D
3 8 4 4 0 16:7 9 16
D W D D W
4 7 5 1 1 12:6 6 16
L W W W W
5 8 4 3 1 12:6 6 15
W W D D D
6 8 4 3 1 11:8 3 15
W W D D D
7 9 4 3 2 12:10 2 15
W L W D W
8 9 4 1 4 16:15 1 13
L W W W D
9 8 4 0 4 16:13 3 12
W L L W W
10 7 4 0 3 11:10 1 12
L W L W L
11 9 1 6 2 13:13 0 9
D D D L D
12 9 2 2 5 9:14 -5 8
L L L L W
13 7 2 2 3 7:12 -5 8
W D L L L
14 8 2 2 4 6:15 -9 8
L D W D L
15 9 1 3 5 11:15 -4 6
L L L D D
16 9 1 3 5 9:15 -6 6
D L L L D
17 8 1 2 5 11:17 -6 5
D L D L L
18 9 1 0 8 12:21 -9 3
L L W L L
Qualifying
EL Qualification
Play-offs
Relegation