Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
84.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
30.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Kitara
Police
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Kitara
28 matches
Police
29 matches
| Kitara | Statistic | Police |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wins | 13 |
| 7 | Draws | 7 |
| 6 | Losses | 9 |
| 38 | Goals For | 40 |
| 20 | Goals Against | 33 |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.38 |
| 0.71 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.14 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 13 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Police having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Police. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Kitara arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 55 points after 29 matches. The record of 16 wins, 7 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 41:20 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through P. Kaddu (9 goals), G. Ssenkaaba (4 goals), G. Wahab (4 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
So far, Police have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 46 points from 29 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses, while the 40:33 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on B. Ikamba (8 goals), L. Tezikya (5 goals), U. Kasumba (5 goals), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Kitara won 2 times, Police won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:13 from Kitara's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.17 goals per game.
Kitara
BUL
Kitara
Express
Kitara
NEC
Kitara
SC Villa
Kitara
Lugazi
Kitara
Calvary
Kitara
KCCA
Kitara
Vipers
Kitara
Buhimba Saints
Kitara
Mbarara City
Kitara
UPDF
Kitara
Entebbe UPPC
Kitara
URA
Kitara
Maroons
Kitara
Calvary
Kitara
Express
Kitara
NEC
Kitara
UPDF
Kitara
Entebbe UPPC
Kitara
Maroons
Police
Entebbe UPPC
Police
Vipers
Police
Calvary
Police
UPDF
Police
Maroons
Police
URA
Police
Mbarara City
Police
Express
Police
NEC
Police
SC Villa
Police
KCCA
Police
BUL
Police
Buhimba Saints
Police
Lugazi
Police
URA
Police
Vipers
Police
Calvary
Police
KCCA
Police
BUL
Police
Lugazi
Kitara
NEC
Kitara
SC Villa
Kitara
Calvary
Kitara
Buhimba Saints
Kitara
Entebbe UPPC
Kitara
URA
Kitara
Express
Kitara
UPDF
Kitara
Maroons
Kitara
BUL
Kitara
Lugazi
Kitara
Mbarara City
Kitara
KCCA
Police
Calvary
Police
Maroons
Police
Mbarara City
Police
Express
Police
KCCA
Police
Buhimba Saints
Police
URA
Police
Vipers
Police
BUL
Police
Lugazi
Police
Entebbe UPPC
Police
UPDF
Police
SC Villa
Police
NEC
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 55:17 | 38 | 67 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 46:22 | 24 | 62 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 47:17 | 30 | 61 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 4 |
Kitara
Home
|
30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:22 | 21 | 56 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
| 5 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 30:20 | 10 | 51 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 31:22 | 9 | 51 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 |
Police
Away
|
30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 42:35 | 7 | 47 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
| 8 | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 26:27 | -1 | 38 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 30:33 | -3 | 37 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 28:31 | -3 | 37 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 27:30 | -3 | 31 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 26:46 | -20 | 27 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 19:36 | -17 | 25 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 24:41 | -17 | 22 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 14:39 | -25 | 21 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 16:66 | -50 | 15 |
L
L
L
L
L
|