ICELAND ÚRVALSDEILD
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: G. F. Robertsson
Keflavik
Match Timeline
KR Reykjavik
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
10'
A. Traustason · Assist: A. Sigurdarson
KR Reykjavik
11'
M. Mudrazija · Assist: M. Al Ghoul
Keflavik
🟨
42'
A. Thordarson
KR Reykjavik
🔄
46'
A. Cosic ↔ G. Gudmundsson
KR Reykjavik
52'
M. Mudrazija · Assist: S. Magnusson
Keflavik
55'
E. Saebjornsson · Assist: A. Traustason
KR Reykjavik
🟨
57'
M. Akoto
KR Reykjavik
🔄
58'
M. Mudrazija ↔ E. Ragnarsson
Keflavik
🔄
62'
M. Akoto ↔ B. Styrmisson
KR Reykjavik
🔄
67'
A. Kralj ↔ A. Johannesson
Keflavik
🔄
67'
S. Magnusson ↔ D. Valsson
Keflavik
🔄
79'
E. Saebjornsson ↔ S. Geirsson
KR Reykjavik
🔄
79'
A. Traustason ↔ S. Karason
KR Reykjavik
🔄
87'
L. Rae ↔ G. Gudbrandsson
KR Reykjavik
89'
A. Conteh
Keflavik

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 69.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
69.8%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Keflavik Win 25.4%
Draw 4.8%
KR Reykjavik Win 69.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Keflavik1.69
KR Reykjavik2.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
Keflavik Keflavik
WWDLW
14 GF / 21 GA
KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik
WLDWL
43 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
3.58
1.91
Average Goals Conceded
2.33
9
BTTS Yes
11
7
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Keflavik Keflavik 11 matches
KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 12 matches
Keflavik Statistic KR Reykjavik
3 Wins 9
3 Draws 1
5 Losses 2
14 Goals For 43
21 Goals Against 28
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 3.58
1.91 Avg Goals Conceded 2.33
9 BTTS Yes 11
9 Over 1.5 12
7 Over 2.5 11
5 Over 3.5 11
2 Clean Sheets 0
1 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by KR Reykjavik's more proactive style and Keflavik's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward KR Reykjavik. KR Reykjavik carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 25 points while Keflavik sit 7 on 11, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward KR Reykjavik having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Keflavik Analysis

So far, Keflavik have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 11 points from 9 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 12:18 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by S. Ljubicic (5 goals), M. Al Ghoul (2 goals), M. Brigic (2 goals), with creative support from E. Ragnarsson (3 assists), B. Baxter (3 assists), M. Al Ghoul (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

KR Reykjavik Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 25 points from 10 games, KR Reykjavik bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 8 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with a 38:23 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on A. Sigurdarson (9 goals), L. Rae (5 goals), A. Cosic (4 goals), with creative support from L. Rae (6 assists), A. Sigurdarson (3 assists), E. Saebjornsson (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Keflavik won 1 times, KR Reykjavik won 9 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:24 from Keflavik's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.46 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
H2H summary: Keflavik wins 1, draws 3, KR Reykjavik wins 9

Standings

Úrvalsdeild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 16 3 1 64:18 46 51
W W D D W
2 21 13 5 3 54:40 14 44
D W W L W
3 20 13 4 3 72:45 27 43
W D W D W
4 20 8 6 6 42:37 5 30
L D L L W
5 21 8 4 9 32:36 -4 28
L W W L W
6 21 7 6 8 36:40 -4 27
D D W W D
7 21 7 3 11 37:44 -7 24
D L D W L
8 20 7 3 10 38:48 -10 24
W L W W L
9 21 4 9 8 27:38 -11 21
W D L W D
10 21 5 3 13 21:50 -29 18
W L L L W
11 21 4 5 12 30:43 -13 17
L L L D L
12 21 4 5 12 33:47 -14 17
D L D L L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs