TURKEY 1. LIG
28.08.2026 16:00
Aktepe Stadium
Referee: Muhammet Alperen Copur, Türkiye
Keçiörengücü
Match Timeline
Ümraniyespor
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
2'
O. Caliskan
Ümraniyespor
11'
A. Blanco · Assist: S. Goksu
Ümraniyespor
🟨
27'
İbrahim Akdağ
Keçiörengücü
34'
O. Caliskan
Keçiörengücü
🔄
46'
Y. Bahadir ↔ B. Keskin
Keçiörengücü
🔄
46'
I. Karaogul ↔ Jefferson
Keçiörengücü
🟨
52'
Serkan Göksu
Ümraniyespor
🔄
54'
S. Goksu ↔ A. Babacan
Ümraniyespor
🔄
59'
M. Fofana ↔ E. Yilmaz
Keçiörengücü
🔄
59'
H. Ayan ↔ A. Edumondo
Keçiörengücü
🟨
65'
Oğuz Yıldırım
Ümraniyespor
🔄
67'
O. Yildirim ↔ A. Yasar
Ümraniyespor
🔄
67'
A. Blanco ↔ T. Tasci
Ümraniyespor
71'
M. Diouf
Keçiörengücü
🟨
82'
Berkan Mahmut Keskin
Keçiörengücü
🔄
86'
M. Bostan ↔ D. Aksoy
Ümraniyespor
🔄
86'
S. Hostikka ↔ T. Ozdemir
Ümraniyespor
🔄
88'
F. Ezeh ↔ O. Roshi
Keçiörengücü
🟨
90+2'
Emre Satılmış
Keçiörengücü
🟨
90+1'
Atalay Babacan
Ümraniyespor

Keçiörengücü vs Ümraniyespor Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 74.9%
Odds 1.61
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.84
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
74.9%
1.61
BTTS Yes
86%
1.83
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.84
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.34
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Keçiörengücü Win 74.9%
Draw 4.2%
Ümraniyespor Win 20.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Keçiörengücü2.4
Ümraniyespor1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü
WWDLW
8 GF / 6 GA
Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor
WLDWL
3 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
2.67
Average Goals Scored
0.75
2
Average Goals Conceded
2
3
BTTS Yes
3
2
Over 2.5
2
4.67
Shots on Goal
5.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 3 matches
Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 4 matches
Keçiörengücü Statistic Ümraniyespor
1 Wins 0
1 Draws 2
1 Losses 2
8 Goals For 3
6 Goals Against 8
2.67 Avg Goals Scored 0.75
2 Avg Goals Conceded 2
3 BTTS Yes 3
3 Over 1.5 3
2 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 1
0 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 1
4.67 Shots On Goal 5.33
11.67 Total Shots 12.67
3.33 Corners 5.33
40% Ball Possession 48%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Keçiörengücü won 6 times, Ümraniyespor won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:20 from Keçiörengücü's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
Predicted formations: Keçiörengücü 4-2-3-1 / Ümraniyespor 4-3-3
H2H summary: Keçiörengücü wins 6, draws 2, Ümraniyespor wins 6

Standings

Lig A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 1 1 15:3 12 19
W W W D L
2 8 6 1 1 16:7 9 19
W D W W W
3 8 5 1 2 12:7 5 16
D W W W W
4 8 5 1 2 15:13 2 16
L L W W W
5 8 4 2 2 11:9 2 14
W D L W W
6 8 3 4 1 17:10 7 13
D D W W D
7 8 3 3 2 9:5 4 12
L L W D D
8 8 4 0 4 14:13 1 12
W W L W L
9 8 3 3 2 12:11 1 12
W D L D D
10 8 2 5 1 8:7 1 11
D D D W W
11 8 2 4 2 12:5 7 10
L D W L D
12 8 2 4 2 10:13 -3 10
D D W L D
13 8 2 3 3 12:12 0 9
L D L L D
14 8 1 5 2 7:6 1 8
D W L D D
15 8 1 5 2 9:11 -2 8
D D W D L
16 8 1 3 4 6:9 -3 6
W L L L D
17 8 0 5 3 4:10 -6 5
L D L D L
18 8 1 2 5 7:19 -12 5
W L L L D
19 8 1 3 4 8:17 -9 4
L D D L D
20 8 0 1 7 3:20 -17 1
L D L L L
Promotion - Super Lig
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation