Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
84%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
55.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
KCCA
Mbarara City
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
KCCA
29 matches
Mbarara City
29 matches
| KCCA | Statistic | Mbarara City |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wins | 6 |
| 5 | Draws | 9 |
| 6 | Losses | 14 |
| 42 | Goals For | 25 |
| 21 | Goals Against | 42 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.86 |
| 0.72 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.45 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 12 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by KCCA's more proactive style and Mbarara City's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Mbarara City. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Mbarara City having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. KCCA arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 59 points compared to Mbarara City in 12 on 27, which underlines the gap in season consistency.
Placed 2 with 59 points from 29 outings, KCCA continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 18 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, while the 42:21 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Ahimbisibwe Ivan (13 goals), S. Ssebaduka (6 goals), H. Achayi (5 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 11 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Mbarara City are currently 12 in the standings with 27 points from 29 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 9 draws, and 14 losses with goals at 25:42 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by C. Kamugisha (7 goals), M. Kanyike (5 goals), H. Kitegenyi (2 goals), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, KCCA won 8 times, Mbarara City won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:8 from KCCA's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.
KCCA
URA
KCCA
UPDF
KCCA
Maroons
KCCA
Vipers
KCCA
Calvary
KCCA
Entebbe UPPC
KCCA
Kitara
KCCA
SC Villa
KCCA
Lugazi
KCCA
Express
KCCA
Police
KCCA
Buhimba Saints
KCCA
BUL
KCCA
NEC
KCCA
Entebbe UPPC
KCCA
UPDF
KCCA
Maroons
KCCA
Police
KCCA
Buhimba Saints
KCCA
NEC
Mbarara City
Buhimba Saints
Mbarara City
SC Villa
Mbarara City
Lugazi
Mbarara City
Express
Mbarara City
NEC
Mbarara City
Maroons
Mbarara City
Police
Mbarara City
UPDF
Mbarara City
BUL
Mbarara City
Kitara
Mbarara City
Vipers
Mbarara City
URA
Mbarara City
Entebbe UPPC
Mbarara City
Calvary
Mbarara City
Maroons
Mbarara City
SC Villa
Mbarara City
Lugazi
Mbarara City
Vipers
Mbarara City
URA
Mbarara City
Calvary
KCCA
Maroons
KCCA
Vipers
KCCA
Kitara
KCCA
Express
KCCA
Police
KCCA
BUL
KCCA
Entebbe UPPC
KCCA
UPDF
KCCA
Buhimba Saints
KCCA
NEC
KCCA
URA
KCCA
Calvary
KCCA
Lugazi
KCCA
SC Villa
Mbarara City
Lugazi
Mbarara City
NEC
Mbarara City
UPDF
Mbarara City
BUL
Mbarara City
URA
Mbarara City
Entebbe UPPC
Mbarara City
Maroons
Mbarara City
SC Villa
Mbarara City
Vipers
Mbarara City
Calvary
Mbarara City
Buhimba Saints
Mbarara City
Express
Mbarara City
Kitara
Mbarara City
Police
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 55:17 | 38 | 67 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 2 |
KCCA
Home
|
30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 46:22 | 24 | 62 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
| 3 | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 47:17 | 30 | 61 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:22 | 21 | 56 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 30:20 | 10 | 51 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 31:22 | 9 | 51 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 42:35 | 7 | 47 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 26:27 | -1 | 38 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 30:33 | -3 | 37 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 28:31 | -3 | 37 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 27:30 | -3 | 31 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 12 |
Mbarara City
Away
|
30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 26:46 | -20 | 27 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
| 13 | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 19:36 | -17 | 25 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 24:41 | -17 | 22 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 14:39 | -25 | 21 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 16:66 | -50 | 15 |
L
L
L
L
L
|