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02.10.2026 14:00
Astana Arena
Referee: Marian Barbu, Romania
Kazakhstan
Match Timeline
Moldova
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
45+1'
Nicky Cleșcenco
Moldova
🔄
46'
Elkhan Astanov ↔ Azamat Tuyakbayev
Kazakhstan
🔄
46'
Ramazan Orazov ↔ Erkin Tapalov
Kazakhstan
🔄
46'
Vladimir Fratea ↔ Nikita Motpan
Moldova
⚽
50'
Petru Popescu · Assist: Sergiu Perciun
Moldova
🔄
59'
Ramazan Karimov ↔ Artur Shushenachev
Kazakhstan
🔄
59'
Nicky Cleșcenco ↔ Victor Stina
Moldova
⚽
64'
Nuraly Alip · Assist: Bauyrzhan Islamkhan
Kazakhstan
🔄
66'
Aleksandr Mrynskiy ↔ Nauryzbek Zhagorov
Kazakhstan
🔄
74'
Temirlan Yerlanov ↔ Sergey Maliy
Kazakhstan
🔄
75'
Oleg Reabciuk ↔ Mihail Stefan
Moldova
🟨
80'
Galymzhan Kenzhebek
Kazakhstan
🔄
86'
Vadim Rață ↔ Daniel Dumbrăvanu
Moldova
🔄
86'
Ioan-Calin Revenco ↔ Ovidiu David
Moldova
🟨
89'
Yan Vorogovskiy
Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan vs Moldova Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 84.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
84.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
87.8%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Kazakhstan Win 40.7%
Draw 44%
Moldova Win 15.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kazakhstan1.33
Moldova1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kazakhstan Kazakhstan
WWDLW
4 GF / 7 GA
Moldova Moldova
WLDWL
6 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1
1.75
Average Goals Conceded
1.83
4
BTTS Yes
4
2
Over 2.5
2
1.5
Shots on Goal
2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan 4 matches
Moldova Moldova 6 matches
Kazakhstan Statistic Moldova
0 Wins 0
2 Draws 3
2 Losses 3
4 Goals For 6
7 Goals Against 11
1 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.75 Avg Goals Conceded 1.83
4 BTTS Yes 4
4 Over 1.5 6
2 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 2
0 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 2
1.5 Shots On Goal 2
5.5 Total Shots 5
2.75 Corners 2
28% Ball Possession 33.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Kazakhstan won 2 times, Moldova won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from Kazakhstan's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (84.7%)
Predicted formations: Kazakhstan 4-2-3-1 / Moldova 5-3-2
H2H summary: Kazakhstan wins 2, draws 0, Moldova wins 1

Standings

League C - Group C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 3 1 0 9:2 7 10
W D W W
2 4 0 4 0 5:5 0 4
D D D D
3 4 1 1 2 3:8 -5 4
L W D L
4 4 0 2 2 5:7 -2 2
D L L D
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