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SWEDEN › ETTAN - NORRA
25.10.2026 14:00
Stadshagens IP

Karlberg vs Umeå FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 58.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
58.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Karlberg Win 31.6%
Draw 9.6%
Umeå FC Win 58.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Karlberg1.61
Umeå FC1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Karlberg Karlberg
WWDLW
65 GF / 64 GA
Umeå FC Umeå FC
WLDWL
59 GF / 56 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
1.55
1.68
Average Goals Conceded
1.47
24
BTTS Yes
22
26
Over 2.5
24
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Karlberg Karlberg 38 matches
Umeå FC Umeå FC 38 matches
Karlberg Statistic Umeå FC
16 Wins 16
7 Draws 6
15 Losses 16
65 Goals For 59
64 Goals Against 56
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 1.55
1.68 Avg Goals Conceded 1.47
24 BTTS Yes 22
33 Over 1.5 31
26 Over 2.5 24
18 Over 3.5 16
8 Clean Sheets 8
8 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Umeå FC look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Umeå FC. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Umeå FC having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Karlberg Analysis

Karlberg sit 10 with 33 points after 27 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 6 draws, and 12 losses, while the 37:47 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Umeå FC Analysis

Umeå FC are currently 9 in the standings with 35 points from 26 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses, while the 36:42 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Karlberg won 0 times, Umeå FC won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:7 from Karlberg's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.4%)
H2H summary: Karlberg wins 0, draws 1, Umeå FC wins 2

Standings

North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 19 4 4 64:22 42 61
D W W W W
2 27 15 5 7 52:37 15 50
W L D W L
3 27 14 6 7 53:27 26 48
W L L W L
4 27 14 6 7 47:34 13 48
L L W W W
5 27 15 3 9 42:41 1 48
W W W L D
6 27 13 7 7 44:37 7 46
W L D W D
7 27 12 8 7 41:27 14 44
L W D D D
8 27 11 5 11 39:43 -4 38
W W W L W
9 27 10 5 12 45:48 -3 35
L W L L W
10 27 9 6 12 37:47 -10 33
L D W D L
11 27 9 5 13 33:47 -14 32
D D L L W
12 27 6 10 11 28:37 -9 28
D W L L D
13 27 7 7 13 39:59 -20 28
L D L W L
14 27 5 9 13 34:50 -16 24
D D D W W
15 27 6 4 17 37:58 -21 22
W L D L L
16 27 3 6 18 46:67 -21 15
L L D L L