ICELAND ÚRVALSDEILD
06.09.2026 14:00
Referee: T. Ahmed
KA Akureyri
Match Timeline
Breidablik
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
10'
H. Gudmundsson · Assist: D. Djuric
KA Akureyri
12'
A. Orrason · Assist: J. Arnarsson
Breidablik
🟨
21'
A. Orrason
Breidablik
🟨
36'
S. Kristinsson
KA Akureyri
🟨
46'
K. Kristinsson
Breidablik
🟨
55'
J. Pedersen
KA Akureyri
🔄
62'
K. Kristinsson ↔ D. Fjeldsted
Breidablik
🔄
62'
H. Karlsson ↔ H. Gunnlaugsson
Breidablik
🔄
62'
A. Ludviksson ↔ V. Einarsson
Breidablik
64'
M. Thordarson · Assist: B. Baldvinsson
KA Akureyri
🔄
69'
A. Palsson ↔ D. Montiel
KA Akureyri
🔄
69'
D. Djuric ↔ J. Robertsson
KA Akureyri
🔄
78'
S. Kristinsson ↔ A. Sigurgeirsson
KA Akureyri
🔄
84'
T. Ulfarsson ↔ A. Gunnleifsson
Breidablik
🔄
84'
J. Arnarsson ↔ A. Bjarnason
Breidablik
🔄
90+1'
J. Pedersen ↔ B. Helgason
KA Akureyri

KA Akureyri vs Breidablik Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.44
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.30
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.31
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
75.1%
1.44
BTTS Yes
75%
1.30
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.31
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
1.24
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
KA Akureyri Win 24.9%
Draw 20.3%
Breidablik Win 54.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
KA Akureyri1.7
Breidablik2.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
KA Akureyri KA Akureyri
WWDLW
35 GF / 48 GA
Breidablik Breidablik
WLDWL
42 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
1.59
Average Goals Scored
2
2.18
Average Goals Conceded
1.86
15
BTTS Yes
14
15
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 22 matches
Breidablik Breidablik 21 matches
KA Akureyri Statistic Breidablik
5 Wins 8
5 Draws 6
12 Losses 7
35 Goals For 42
48 Goals Against 39
1.59 Avg Goals Scored 2
2.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1.86
15 BTTS Yes 14
18 Over 1.5 16
15 Over 2.5 14
11 Over 3.5 11
3 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Breidablik's more proactive style and KA Akureyri's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Breidablik. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Breidablik carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 30 points while KA Akureyri sit 12 on 16, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Breidablik having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

KA Akureyri Analysis

KA Akureyri sit 12 with 16 points after 20 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 12 defeats with a 31:45 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Breidablik Analysis

Breidablik approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 4 with 30 points from 20 matches. The overall return of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats with a 42:37 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, KA Akureyri won 1 times, Breidablik won 11 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:35 from KA Akureyri's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.7%)
H2H summary: KA Akureyri wins 1, draws 3, Breidablik wins 11

Standings

Úrvalsdeild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 5 1 67:21 46 53
W W D D W
2 22 13 6 3 56:42 14 45
D L D D W
3 22 13 5 4 74:49 25 44
L W L D W
4 22 8 6 8 43:41 2 30
L W L L L
5 22 8 6 8 39:41 -2 30
W L W D D
6 22 8 4 10 33:38 -5 28
D L L L W
7 22 8 4 10 42:50 -8 28
L W D W W
8 22 8 3 11 39:45 -6 27
D W W D L
9 22 4 9 9 27:39 -12 21
W W L W D
10 22 6 3 13 22:50 -28 21
L L W W L
11 22 5 5 12 35:48 -13 20
W L W D L
12 22 4 6 12 32:45 -13 18
D L D L L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs