BRAZIL SERIE B
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Estadio Alfredo Jaconi
Referee: R. Abatti

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.7%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.7%
-
BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 1-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Juventude Win 70.7%
Draw 4.2%
Atletico Goianiense Win 25.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Juventude1.02
Atletico Goianiense0.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Juventude Juventude
WWDLW
26 GF / 13 GA
Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense
WLDWL
28 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.08
Average Goals Scored
1.12
0.54
Average Goals Conceded
0.92
5
BTTS Yes
12
6
Over 2.5
9
4.38
Shots on Goal
4.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Juventude Juventude 24 matches
Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 25 matches
Juventude Statistic Atletico Goianiense
13 Wins 10
6 Draws 9
5 Losses 6
26 Goals For 28
13 Goals Against 23
1.08 Avg Goals Scored 1.12
0.54 Avg Goals Conceded 0.92
5 BTTS Yes 12
11 Over 1.5 16
6 Over 2.5 9
1 Over 3.5 2
17 Clean Sheets 9
7 Failed To Score 7
4.38 Shots On Goal 4.4
12.21 Total Shots 14.24
4.42 Corners 5.96
49.9% Ball Possession 49%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Juventude arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 45 points compared to Atletico Goianiense in 10 on 36, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Atletico Goianiense. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Juventude expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Atletico Goianiense in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atletico Goianiense having the stronger overall control. Juventude come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

Juventude Analysis

Juventude come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 45 points after 24 matches. The return of 13 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 26:13, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through Raí (5 goals), Alisson Safira (3 goals), Alan Kardec (2 goals), with creative support from Luan Martins Gonçalves (2 assists), Raí (1 assists), Alisson Safira (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 9 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Atletico Goianiense Analysis

From their first 24 matches, Atletico Goianiense have collected 36 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 9 draws, and 6 losses, while the 27:23 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Gustavo Coutinho (7 goals), Marrony (3 goals), Leo Jacó (3 goals), with creative support from Geovany Soares (3 assists), Guilherme Marques (3 assists), Marrony (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Juventude won 3 times, Atletico Goianiense won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:13 from Juventude's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
Predicted formations: Juventude 3-4-3 / Atletico Goianiense 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Juventude wins 3, draws 5, Atletico Goianiense wins 3

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 13 6 5 26:13 13 45
W W D W W
2 25 13 5 7 37:25 12 44
W D W W L
3 25 12 8 5 26:19 7 44
L L D W L
4 25 12 7 6 41:22 19 43
W W W D L
5 25 11 8 6 28:22 6 41
D W D D D
6 25 11 6 8 37:35 2 39
W L W D W
7 25 10 9 6 28:23 5 39
W W D L D
8 25 9 11 5 33:24 9 38
L W L W W
9 25 10 7 8 31:32 -1 37
D D L L L
10 25 10 6 9 25:30 -5 36
W D L L W
11 25 8 12 5 23:19 4 36
W D W W D
12 25 9 7 9 30:28 2 34
W D W D D
13 25 8 10 7 26:27 -1 34
L L L W W
14 25 8 8 9 34:29 5 32
L D D L W
15 25 8 7 10 29:28 1 31
L L D W W
16 25 8 5 12 27:31 -4 29
L W W W L
17 25 7 7 11 25:32 -7 28
L W L L W
18 24 5 6 13 29:36 -7 21
L D L L L
19 25 3 5 17 18:42 -24 14
W L L L L
20 25 2 4 19 16:52 -36 10
L L L D L
Promotion
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