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11.10.2026 14:00
Estadio Parque Artigas
Referee: Jose Burgos
Juventud
Match Timeline
Racing Montevideo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
6'
felipe alvarez
Racing Montevideo
🟨
12'
Agustín De la Cuesta Airoldi
Racing Montevideo
🟨
16'
Alex Vázquez
Racing Montevideo
🟨
25'
Patricio Ezequiel Pernicone
Juventud
🟨
26'
Racing Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
⚽
33'
Agustin Nicolas Alaniz Sani
Juventud
⚽
41'
Agustin Nicolas Alaniz Sani
Juventud
🔄
46'
felipe alvarez ↔ franco suarez
Racing Montevideo
🔄
60'
Sebastian Da Silva ↔ ivan manzur
Racing Montevideo
🔄
68'
Patricio Ezequiel Pernicone ↔ Emmanuel Más
Juventud
🔄
68'
Mirko Diaz ↔ Emanuel Cecchini
Juventud
🟨
73'
ramiro brazionis
Racing Montevideo
🟨
74'
Agustin Nicolas Alaniz Sani
Juventud
🟨
74'
Carlos Sosa
Juventud
🟨
78'
Federico Barrandeguy Martino
Juventud
🔄
78'
Carlos Sosa ↔ Fabrizio Correa
Juventud
🔄
78'
Alex Vázquez ↔ lucca loprete
Racing Montevideo
🔄
79'
Bruno Larregui ↔ facundo dominguez
Juventud
🔄
79'
Ramiro Miguel Peralta ↔ facundo perez
Juventud

Juventud vs Racing Montevideo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 67.4%
Odds 1.50
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.09
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
67.4%
1.50 ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
1.83 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
2.09 ▥
Corners O/U Under 8.5 Corners
92%
2.10 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
11.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Juventud Win 32.6%
Draw 25%
Racing Montevideo Win 42.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Juventud1.02
Racing Montevideo1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Juventud Juventud
WWDLW
43 GF / 47 GA
Racing Montevideo Racing Montevideo
WLDWL
36 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.16
Average Goals Scored
1.16
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
0.81
22
BTTS Yes
14
17
Over 2.5
9
2.9
Shots on Goal
1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Juventud Juventud 37 matches
Racing Montevideo Racing Montevideo 31 matches
Juventud Statistic Racing Montevideo
11 Wins 14
12 Draws 11
14 Losses 6
43 Goals For 36
47 Goals Against 25
1.16 Avg Goals Scored 1.16
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 0.81
22 BTTS Yes 14
24 Over 1.5 17
17 Over 2.5 9
9 Over 3.5 5
9 Clean Sheets 13
10 Failed To Score 8
2.9 Shots On Goal 1
8.8 Total Shots 1.67
3 Corners 1.33
36.1% Ball Possession 14.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Racing Montevideo's more proactive style and Juventud's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Racing Montevideo. Racing Montevideo arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Juventud expected to line up in 4-3-1-2 and Racing Montevideo in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Racing Montevideo having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Juventud Analysis

So far, Juventud have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 37 points from 31 matches. The record of 9 wins, 10 draws, and 12 defeats, together with a 35:39 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Racing Montevideo Analysis

With 53 points from 31 games and a place of 4, Racing Montevideo still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 14 wins, 11 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 36:25 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Juventud won 3 times, Racing Montevideo won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:3 from Juventud's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (75%)
Predicted formations: Juventud 4-3-1-2 / Racing Montevideo 4-4-2
H2H summary: Juventud wins 3, draws 1, Racing Montevideo wins 1

Standings

Primera: Torneo Intermedio
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 1 1 12:3 9 16
W W D W L
1 7 4 3 0 12:4 8 15
W W W D W
2 7 3 2 2 7:5 2 11
L W D D W
2 7 4 1 2 8:8 0 13
W L D W L
3 7 2 4 1 4:3 1 10
W L D D D
3 7 3 3 1 12:6 6 12
D L D W W
4 7 2 3 2 5:5 0 9
D W L D W
4 7 4 0 3 11:11 0 12
L W W L W
5 7 2 2 3 8:11 -3 8
D W L D L
5 7 2 3 2 4:4 0 9
D L D D W
6 7 1 3 3 6:8 -2 6
D L D W L
6 7 3 0 4 6:10 -4 9
L W W L L
7 7 2 0 5 6:11 -5 6
L W L L W
7 7 1 3 3 6:9 -3 6
W L D D D
8 7 0 4 3 5:9 -4 4
D L D D D
8 7 1 2 4 5:10 -5 5
L L D D L
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs: Final)