URUGUAY PRIMERA DIVISIóN
11.07.2026 13:00
Parque Artigas
Referee: H. Heras
Juventud
Match Timeline
Atletico Torque
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
16'
L. Roldan
Juventud
VAR
36'
G. Montes
Atletico Torque
41'
G. Pereiro
Juventud
🟨
45'
L. Andrade
Atletico Torque
🟨
52'
G. Montes
Atletico Torque
53'
E. Obregon
Atletico Torque
🟨
54'
E. Obregon
Atletico Torque
🟨
57'
S. Rodriguez
Atletico Torque
🟨
61'
R. Rabino
Juventud
🔄
64'
R. Chagas ↔ F. Perez
Juventud
🔄
64'
B. Larregui ↔ A. Alaniz
Juventud
🔄
73'
G. Pereiro ↔ P. Lago
Juventud
🔄
73'
F. Mimbacas ↔ M. Perez
Juventud
🔄
76'
G. Montes ↔ S. Caceres
Atletico Torque
🔄
79'
E. Aguero ↔ E. Busquets
Atletico Torque
🔄
79'
E. Obregon ↔ R. Lecchini
Atletico Torque
🔄
83'
L. Andrade ↔ D. Guzman
Atletico Torque
🔄
83'
F. Pizzichillo ↔ N. Da Silva
Atletico Torque
85'
G. Kagelmacher
Atletico Torque
🟨
90'
P. Siles
Atletico Torque
90'
E. Busquets
Atletico Torque

Juventud vs Atletico Torque Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 84.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
84.8%
-
BTTS Yes
88%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Juventud Win 37.8%
Draw 15.2%
Atletico Torque Win 47%
Expected Goals (xG)
Juventud1.3
Atletico Torque1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
Juventud Juventud
WWDLW
31 GF / 38 GA
Atletico Torque Atletico Torque
WLDWL
30 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.52
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
17
BTTS Yes
14
14
Over 2.5
12
4.33
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Juventud Juventud 25 matches
Atletico Torque Atletico Torque 20 matches
Juventud Statistic Atletico Torque
7 Wins 8
6 Draws 5
12 Losses 7
31 Goals For 30
38 Goals Against 28
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.52 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
17 BTTS Yes 14
18 Over 1.5 15
14 Over 2.5 12
6 Over 3.5 7
3 Clean Sheets 4
6 Failed To Score 3
4.33 Shots On Goal 0
13.5 Total Shots 0
4.33 Corners 0
51% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Atletico Torque's more proactive style and Juventud's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Atletico Torque. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Juventud expected to line up in 4-3-1-2 and Atletico Torque in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atletico Torque having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Juventud Analysis

Juventud approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 18 points from 18 matches. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 3 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 22:29 goal record continues to suggest good form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on F. Mimbacas (6 goals), Alejo Cruz (3 goals), Ramiro Peralta (3 goals), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Atletico Torque Analysis

Atletico Torque sit 7 with 29 points after 19 league matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 29:24 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by S. Rodriguez (9 goals), N. Da Silva (4 goals), E. Obregon (3 goals), with creative support from Gonzalo Montes (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Juventud won 2 times, Atletico Torque won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:19 from Juventud's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.8%)
Predicted formations: Juventud 4-3-1-2 / Atletico Torque 4-3-3
H2H summary: Juventud wins 2, draws 1, Atletico Torque wins 6

Standings

Primera: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 5 6 41:21 20 50
W L D W W
2 27 14 7 6 42:26 16 49
W L D W D
3 27 13 10 4 32:20 12 49
L W D W D
4 26 14 5 7 44:30 14 47
W W W W L
5 27 11 9 7 36:24 12 42
W D W W W
6 27 13 3 11 39:35 4 42
D W W L L
7 27 12 6 9 34:33 1 42
L W L D W
8 27 10 7 10 30:33 -3 37
D L L L W
9 26 9 7 10 35:31 4 34
L L L L D
10 27 8 8 11 28:30 -2 32
L D D D D
11 27 8 7 12 31:37 -6 31
D W W L D
12 27 8 6 13 25:35 -10 30
L D W D W
13 27 6 11 10 22:30 -8 29
D L D L L
14 27 8 5 14 19:40 -21 29
W D L W W
15 27 4 12 11 22:36 -14 24
L L D D L
16 26 5 4 17 19:38 -19 19
W L L L L
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