URUGUAY PRIMERA DIVISIóN - APERTURA
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Parque Artigas

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 84.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
84.8%
-
BTTS Yes
88%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Juventud Win 37.8%
Draw 15.2%
Atletico Torque Win 47%
Expected Goals (xG)
Juventud1.25
Atletico Torque1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
Juventud Juventud
WWDLW
31 GF / 38 GA
Atletico Torque Atletico Torque
WLDWL
29 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
1.53
1.52
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
17
BTTS Yes
13
14
Over 2.5
11
4.33
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Juventud Juventud 25 matches
Atletico Torque Atletico Torque 19 matches
Juventud Statistic Atletico Torque
7 Wins 8
6 Draws 5
12 Losses 6
31 Goals For 29
38 Goals Against 24
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.53
1.52 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
17 BTTS Yes 13
18 Over 1.5 14
14 Over 2.5 11
6 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 4
6 Failed To Score 3
4.33 Shots On Goal 0
13.5 Total Shots 0
4.33 Corners 0
51% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Atletico Torque's more proactive style and Juventud's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Atletico Torque. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Juventud expected to line up in 4-3-1-2 and Atletico Torque in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atletico Torque having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Juventud Analysis

Juventud approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 18 points from 18 matches. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 3 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 22:29 goal record continues to suggest good form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on F. Mimbacas (6 goals), Alejo Cruz (3 goals), Ramiro Peralta (3 goals), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Atletico Torque Analysis

Atletico Torque sit 7 with 29 points after 19 league matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 29:24 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by S. Rodriguez (9 goals), N. Da Silva (4 goals), E. Obregon (3 goals), with creative support from Gonzalo Montes (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Juventud won 2 times, Atletico Torque won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:15 from Juventud's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.57 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.8%)
Predicted formations: Juventud 4-3-1-2 / Atletico Torque 4-3-3
H2H summary: Juventud wins 2, draws 1, Atletico Torque wins 4
Last matches: Juventud
05.07.26
Pri
Juventud
Danubio
1
1
D
06.06.26
Pri
Juventud
Club Nacional
1
2
L
31.05.26
Pri
Juventud
Wanderers
2
5
L
16.05.26
Pri
Juventud
Progreso
2
0
W
10.05.26
Pri
Juventud
Defensor Sporting
2
1
W
02.05.26
Pri
Juventud
Wanderers
2
1
W
25.04.26
Pri
Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
1
1
D
20.04.26
Pri
Juventud
Penarol
2
2
D
12.04.26
Pri
Juventud
Progreso
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Juventud
Racing Montevideo
1
2
L
30.03.26
Pri
Juventud
Boston River
1
2
L
25.03.26
Pri
Juventud
Cerro
0
1
L
22.03.26
Pri
Juventud
Albion FC
0
1
L
16.03.26
Pri
Juventud
Danubio
1
4
L
13.03.26
CON
Juventud
Independiente Medellin
1
2
L
08.03.26
Pri
Juventud
Club Nacional
3
1
W
06.03.26
CON
Juventud
Independiente Medellin
1
1
D
02.03.26
Pri
Juventud
Deportivo Maldonado
1
2
L
26.02.26
CON
Juventud
Club Guarani
2
1
W
22.02.26
Pri
Juventud
Central Espanol
0
1
L
Last matches: Atletico Torque
06.06.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Deportivo Maldonado
2
4
L
31.05.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Albion FC
2
1
W
23.05.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Progreso
2
1
W
15.05.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
1
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Progreso
2
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
24.04.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Boston River
4
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Cerro
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Albion FC
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Danubio
1
1
D
28.03.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
2
3
L
24.03.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Central Espanol
2
1
W
16.03.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Liverpool Montevideo
0
0
D
09.03.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
26.02.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Defensor Sporting
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
4
0
W
17.02.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Juventud
2
2
D
07.02.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Penarol
1
3
L
09.11.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Penarol
0
2
L
H2H: Juventud vs Atletico Torque
17.02.26
H2H
Atletico Torque
Juventud
2
2
D
14.09.25
H2H
Juventud
Atletico Torque
0
1
L
24.05.25
H2H
Juventud
Atletico Torque
3
2
W
20.03.25
H2H
Atletico Torque
Juventud
2
4
W
30.09.24
H2H
Atletico Torque
Juventud
3
0
L
16.06.24
H2H
Juventud
Atletico Torque
1
3
L
04.05.24
H2H
Atletico Torque
Juventud
2
0
L
Last matches: Juventud
31.05.26
Pri
Juventud
Wanderers
2
5
L
16.05.26
Pri
Juventud
Progreso
2
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
Juventud
Wanderers
2
1
W
25.04.26
Pri
Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pri
Juventud
Progreso
1
0
W
30.03.26
Pri
Juventud
Boston River
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pri
Juventud
Albion FC
0
1
L
08.03.26
Pri
Juventud
Club Nacional
3
1
W
06.03.26
CON
Juventud
Independiente Medellin
1
1
D
22.02.26
Pri
Juventud
Central Espanol
0
1
L
19.02.26
CON
Juventud
Club Guarani
0
0
D
08.02.26
Pri
Juventud
Cerro Largo
0
1
L
06.02.26
CON
Juventud
Universidad Catolica
0
1
L
09.11.25
Pri
Juventud
Progreso
1
1
D
25.10.25
Pri
Juventud
Plaza Colonia
0
2
L
12.10.25
Pri
Juventud
CA River Plate
1
2
L
28.09.25
Pri
Juventud
Club Nacional
0
0
D
14.09.25
Pri
Juventud
Atletico Torque
0
1
L
31.08.25
Pri
Juventud
Cerro
1
0
W
16.08.25
Pri
Juventud
Miramar
2
1
W
H2H at home: Juventud
14.09.25
H2H
Juventud
Atletico Torque
0
1
L
24.05.25
H2H
Juventud
Atletico Torque
3
2
W
16.06.24
H2H
Juventud
Atletico Torque
1
3
L
Last matches: Atletico Torque
31.05.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Albion FC
2
1
W
23.05.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Progreso
2
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Cerro
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Danubio
1
1
D
24.03.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
16.03.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Liverpool Montevideo
0
0
D
09.03.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
4
0
W
07.02.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Penarol
1
3
L
01.11.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Progreso
5
0
W
24.10.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Defensor Sporting
1
0
W
28.09.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Danubio
0
2
L
14.09.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Juventud
1
0
W
31.08.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Plaza Colonia
4
2
W
17.08.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
CA River Plate
2
0
W
02.08.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
2
5
L
H2H away: Atletico Torque
14.09.25
H2H
Juventud
Atletico Torque
0
1
W
24.05.25
H2H
Juventud
Atletico Torque
3
2
L
16.06.24
H2H
Juventud
Atletico Torque
1
3
W

Standings

Primera: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 12 3 4 35:20 15 39
W W D W W
2 19 10 7 2 25:15 10 37
D D D W L
3 19 11 3 5 28:18 10 36
W L W W W
4 19 9 5 5 29:20 9 32
W L L D W
5 19 10 1 8 31:26 5 31
W L W W W
6 19 9 4 6 27:25 2 31
D W L W W
7 19 8 5 6 29:24 5 29
L W W L W
8 19 7 5 7 22:24 -2 26
D W D D W
9 19 6 7 6 22:20 2 25
D W D L L
10 19 7 3 9 21:20 1 24
D W W L L
11 19 5 8 6 15:16 -1 23
D D L L L
12 19 6 3 10 19:26 -7 21
D L L W L
13 18 4 7 7 19:26 -7 19
D L L L L
14 18 5 3 10 22:29 -7 18
L L W W W
15 19 3 4 12 16:30 -14 13
L W L L L
16 19 3 4 12 10:31 -21 13
L L W L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)