FINLAND YKKöSLIIGA
07.09.2026 16:00
Bolt Arena
Referee: P. Heiberg
Klubi-04
Match Timeline
KäPa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
6'
A. Berisha · Assist: R. Hudd
Klubi-04
🟨
43'
K. Isaksson
KäPa
44'
D. Olorunfem · Assist: N. Kroupkin
Klubi-04
63'
D. Ripatti · Assist: E. Lappalainen
KäPa
68'
Y. Lika · Assist: S. Sillah
KäPa
🟨
70'
I. Toivonen
Klubi-04
🔄
78'
R. Hudd ↔ P. Ndir
Klubi-04
🔄
78'
D. Olorunfem ↔ A. Haikala
Klubi-04
🟨
81'
M. Kuningas
KäPa
🔄
81'
V. Konttas ↔ J. De Nascimento
Klubi-04
🔄
82'
R. Huhtamaki ↔ E. Ahola
KäPa
🟨
86'
E. Ahola
KäPa
🔄
87'
M. Ameen ↔ D. Kesonen
Klubi-04
🔄
87'
E. Lappalainen ↔ T. Koivuranta
KäPa
🟨
90+2'
I. Nyback
Klubi-04
🔄
90+3'
S. Sillah ↔ O. Heinonen
KäPa

Klubi-04 vs KäPa Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.3%
Odds 2.19
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.44
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.54
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.3%
2.19
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.44
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.54
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.51
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Klubi-04 Win 70.3%
Draw 17.7%
KäPa Win 11.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Klubi-041.36
KäPa1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
Klubi-04 Klubi-04
WWDLW
29 GF / 35 GA
KäPa KäPa
WLDWL
25 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.21
Average Goals Scored
1.04
1.46
Average Goals Conceded
1.58
14
BTTS Yes
14
9
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Klubi-04 Klubi-04 24 matches
KäPa KäPa 24 matches
Klubi-04 Statistic KäPa
4 Wins 6
8 Draws 5
12 Losses 13
29 Goals For 25
35 Goals Against 38
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.04
1.46 Avg Goals Conceded 1.58
14 BTTS Yes 14
19 Over 1.5 17
9 Over 2.5 15
5 Over 3.5 8
2 Clean Sheets 4
8 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward KäPa. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward KäPa having the stronger overall control. KäPa arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Klubi-04 Analysis

Klubi-04 are currently 8 in the standings with 19 points from 21 matches. The record of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 25:29 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

KäPa Analysis

KäPa sit 9 with 17 points after 21 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 21:35, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Klubi-04 won 4 times, KäPa won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:14 from Klubi-04's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (88.1%)
H2H summary: Klubi-04 wins 4, draws 2, KäPa wins 4

Standings

Ykkösliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 18 3 3 44:21 23 57
W W W W W
2 24 14 6 4 41:18 23 48
L W D W W
3 24 13 5 6 45:26 19 44
W D L L W
4 24 11 7 6 32:21 11 40
L W L W W
5 24 11 2 11 22:34 -12 35
W L W D L
6 24 8 4 12 28:36 -8 28
L D D L L
7 24 8 4 12 26:34 -8 28
W D W L L
8
KäPa Away
24 5 6 13 27:43 -16 21
W L D D L
9 24 4 8 12 28:36 -8 20
L L D W W
10 24 2 7 15 16:40 -24 13
L D L L L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Promotion)
Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen