LITHUANIA A LYGA
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Raudondvario stadionas

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw
Probability 34.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw
34.5%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
54.1%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
-
Correct Score 1-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Hegelmann Litauen Win 31.2%
Draw 34.5%
Panevėžys Win 34.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hegelmann Litauen1.24
Panevėžys1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen
WWDLW
40 GF / 55 GA
Panevėžys Panevėžys
WLDWL
39 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1.11
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
23
BTTS Yes
19
17
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 35 matches
Panevėžys Panevėžys 35 matches
Hegelmann Litauen Statistic Panevėžys
8 Wins 13
14 Draws 8
13 Losses 14
40 Goals For 39
55 Goals Against 49
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
1.57 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
23 BTTS Yes 19
31 Over 1.5 27
17 Over 2.5 16
9 Over 3.5 7
5 Clean Sheets 7
10 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Hegelmann Litauen have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Panevėžys. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Panevėžys having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Hegelmann Litauen Analysis

Hegelmann Litauen approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 23 points from 25 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 11 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 27:42, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 8 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Panevėžys Analysis

From their first 25 matches, Panevėžys have collected 26 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Their overall return of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 13 losses with goals at 23:41 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses points toward a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Hegelmann Litauen won 7 times, Panevėžys won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:19 from Hegelmann Litauen's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (68.8%)
H2H summary: Hegelmann Litauen wins 7, draws 5, Panevėžys wins 3

Standings

A Lyga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 12 9 3 35:18 17 45
W W W W W
2 23 10 9 4 41:16 25 39
D D W W W
3 25 11 6 8 36:32 4 39
W D L W W
4 25 10 8 7 29:22 7 38
D D W L W
5 26 10 8 8 36:33 3 38
D L L W D
6 24 11 4 9 37:29 8 37
L W L W W
7 25 7 5 13 23:41 -18 26
W L L W D
8 26 4 12 10 29:44 -15 24
D D L L L
9 26 3 7 16 24:55 -31 16
L L W L L
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
L L L L L