Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
78.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
70.9%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Junior
Jaguares
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Junior
36 matches
Jaguares
25 matches
| Junior | Statistic | Jaguares |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wins | 6 |
| 8 | Draws | 5 |
| 14 | Losses | 14 |
| 48 | Goals For | 24 |
| 48 | Goals Against | 42 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.96 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.68 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 29 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.08 | Shots On Goal | 3.44 |
| 12.83 | Total Shots | 10.48 |
| 4.69 | Corners | 3.8 |
| 50.5% | Ball Possession | 43% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Junior's more proactive style and Jaguares's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Jaguares. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Junior expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Jaguares in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Jaguares having the stronger overall control. Junior arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 35 points compared to Jaguares in 16 on 18, which underlines the gap in season consistency. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Junior have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
With 35 points from 19 games and a place of 2, Junior still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 11 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 31:24, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Guillermo Paiva (2 goals), Luis Muriel (1 goals), Fabián Ángel (1 goals), with creative support from Déiber Caicedo (1 assists), Daniel Socarras (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.
Jaguares approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 18 points from 19 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 11 defeats with a 20:33 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Jerson Malagón (1 goals), Darwin Lopez (1 goals), Andrés Rentería (1 goals), with creative support from Royscer Colpa (1 assists), Wilfrido De la Rosa (1 assists), Carlos Cantillo (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Junior won 8 times, Jaguares won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:15 from Junior's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 |
Junior
Home
|
19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 35 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 10 | 33 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
D
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 31 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
D
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 26 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 23 |
D
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 |
Jaguares
Away
|
19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
| 17 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 20 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 |
W
D
D
L
L
|