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17.10.2026 14:00
Stadsparksvallen

Jonkopings Sodra vs AFC Malmo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 66.2%
Odds 1.70
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 1.83
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
66.2%
1.70 ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
2.00 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
1.83 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.50 ▥
Correct Score 0-3
-
34.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Jonkopings Sodra Win 33.8%
Draw 19.6%
AFC Malmo Win 46.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Jonkopings Sodra1.32
AFC Malmo1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
Jonkopings Sodra Jonkopings Sodra
WWDLW
44 GF / 35 GA
AFC Malmo AFC Malmo
WLDWL
49 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.26
Average Goals Scored
1.88
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
15
BTTS Yes
17
15
Over 2.5
18
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Jonkopings Sodra Jonkopings Sodra 35 matches
AFC Malmo AFC Malmo 26 matches
Jonkopings Sodra Statistic AFC Malmo
13 Wins 12
10 Draws 8
12 Losses 6
44 Goals For 49
35 Goals Against 37
1.26 Avg Goals Scored 1.88
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42
15 BTTS Yes 17
22 Over 1.5 22
15 Over 2.5 18
7 Over 3.5 12
12 Clean Sheets 6
12 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring AFC Malmo. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward AFC Malmo having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Jonkopings Sodra Analysis

Jonkopings Sodra sit 8 with 33 points after 25 league matches. The record of 9 wins, 6 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 29:26 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

AFC Malmo Analysis

AFC Malmo approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 41 points after 25 outings. They have recorded 11 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses, with a 45:35 goal return and good form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Jonkopings Sodra won 0 times, AFC Malmo won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:1 from Jonkopings Sodra's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.4%)
H2H summary: Jonkopings Sodra wins 0, draws 0, AFC Malmo wins 1

Standings

South
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 17 6 3 57:28 29 57
W W W W W
2 26 15 3 8 47:30 17 48
W W L L W
3 26 13 8 5 50:36 14 47
D D W W L
4 26 12 8 6 50:32 18 44
W L L L W
5 26 12 8 6 49:37 12 44
W W W W L
6 26 10 9 7 42:38 4 39
D L W D L
7 26 10 8 8 45:41 4 38
L D W W W
8 26 9 7 10 34:40 -6 34
D L L L L
9 26 9 6 11 29:27 2 33
L L L W W
10 26 10 3 13 48:50 -2 33
W L L D W
11 26 8 9 9 33:42 -9 33
L W W L L
12 26 9 5 12 42:51 -9 32
L W L D W
13 26 7 6 13 29:39 -10 27
L L W W L
14 26 7 5 14 33:44 -11 26
D W L L D
15 26 5 9 12 33:47 -14 24
W W L D L
16 26 2 6 18 23:62 -39 12
L L W L D