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SWEDEN › ETTAN - NORRA
11.10.2026 13:00
Jarfallavallen
Järfälla
Match Timeline
Umeå FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
3'
Umeå FC
Umeå FC
🟨
25'
F. Godwin
Umeå FC
⚽
40'
Umeå FC
Umeå FC
🔄
42'
M. Njie ↔ I. Johansson
Umeå FC
🟨
44'
Y. Aksoy
Järfälla
🟨
55'
N. Akdemir
Järfälla
🔄
61'
A. Khalil ↔ A. Sabery
Järfälla
🔄
61'
N. Akdemir ↔ D. Markovski
Järfälla
🔄
67'
A. Wurtz ↔ C. Fox
Järfälla
⚽
69'
Järfälla
Järfälla
🔄
70'
E. Drugge ↔ K. Dahir
Järfälla

Järfälla vs Umeå FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 69.8%
Odds 2.21
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.53
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
69.8%
2.21 ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.50 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.53 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.19 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
17.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Järfälla Win 20.6%
Draw 9.6%
Umeå FC Win 69.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Järfälla1.42
Umeå FC1.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Järfälla Järfälla
WWDLW
38 GF / 64 GA
Umeå FC Umeå FC
WLDWL
54 GF / 54 GA
Key Stats
1.36
Average Goals Scored
1.5
2.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
18
BTTS Yes
20
20
Over 2.5
22
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Järfälla Järfälla 28 matches
Umeå FC Umeå FC 36 matches
Järfälla Statistic Umeå FC
5 Wins 14
5 Draws 6
18 Losses 16
38 Goals For 54
64 Goals Against 54
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
2.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
18 BTTS Yes 20
26 Over 1.5 29
20 Over 2.5 22
16 Over 3.5 15
3 Clean Sheets 8
7 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Umeå FC. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Umeå FC having the stronger overall control. Järfälla have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Järfälla Analysis

Järfälla sit 15 with 19 points after 25 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 16 defeats with a 33:55 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Umeå FC Analysis

From their first 25 matches, Umeå FC have collected 32 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses, while the 34:41 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Järfälla won 1 times, Umeå FC won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:1 from Järfälla's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.4%)
H2H summary: Järfälla wins 1, draws 0, Umeå FC wins 0

Standings

North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 19 3 4 63:21 42 60
W W W W W
2 26 14 6 6 46:31 15 48
L W W W W
3 26 14 5 7 48:37 11 47
L D W L W
4 25 13 6 6 51:25 26 45
L W L D W
5 26 12 8 6 40:25 15 44
W D D D D
6 25 12 7 6 41:35 6 43
D W D D W
7 25 13 3 9 38:40 -2 42
W L D W W
8 26 9 6 11 36:44 -8 33
D W D L L
9 25 9 5 11 43:45 -2 32
L L W L L
10 25 9 5 11 34:41 -7 32
W L W W L
11 25 9 3 13 29:43 -14 30
L L W L W
12 26 7 7 12 39:55 -16 28
D L W L D
13 26 6 9 11 27:36 -9 27
W L L D L
14 25 5 7 13 30:46 -16 22
D W W L L
15 25 5 4 16 33:55 -22 19
D L L W L
16 26 3 6 17 45:64 -19 15
L D L L L