SWEDEN ETTAN - NORRA
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 57.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
57.3%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Järfälla Win 20.8%
Draw 21.9%
FBK Karlstad Win 57.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Järfälla1.38
FBK Karlstad1.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
Järfälla Järfälla
WWDLW
28 GF / 50 GA
FBK Karlstad FBK Karlstad
WLDWL
42 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
1.62
2.27
Average Goals Conceded
1.54
14
BTTS Yes
14
15
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Järfälla Järfälla 22 matches
FBK Karlstad FBK Karlstad 26 matches
Järfälla Statistic FBK Karlstad
4 Wins 12
4 Draws 4
14 Losses 10
28 Goals For 42
50 Goals Against 40
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.62
2.27 Avg Goals Conceded 1.54
14 BTTS Yes 14
20 Over 1.5 23
15 Over 2.5 15
12 Over 3.5 9
2 Clean Sheets 8
6 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward FBK Karlstad. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FBK Karlstad having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. FBK Karlstad carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 28 points while Järfälla sit 14 on 15, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Järfälla Analysis

Järfälla sit 14 with 15 points after 18 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 23:39, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

FBK Karlstad Analysis

With 28 points from 18 games and a place of 7, FBK Karlstad still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats with a 27:28 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Järfälla won 0 times, FBK Karlstad won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:2 from Järfälla's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (79.2%)
H2H summary: Järfälla wins 0, draws 0, FBK Karlstad wins 1
Last matches: Järfälla
29.08.26
Ett
Järfälla
Assyriska FF
0
2
L
21.08.26
Ett
Järfälla
Stockholm Internazionale
0
2
L
15.08.26
Ett
Järfälla
Sollentuna
1
2
L
08.08.26
Ett
Järfälla
IF Karlstad
1
4
L
01.08.26
Ett
Järfälla
Stockholm Internazionale
0
4
L
28.06.26
Ett
Järfälla
Umeå FC
3
1
W
18.06.26
Ett
Järfälla
Hammarby Talang
1
1
D
13.06.26
Ett
Järfälla
Arlanda
2
3
L
08.06.26
Ett
Järfälla
Stocksund
1
6
L
03.06.26
Ett
Järfälla
Vasalund
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ett
Järfälla
Gefle IF
4
0
W
16.05.26
Ett
Järfälla
Karlberg
3
1
W
13.05.26
Ett
Järfälla
Enköping
0
3
L
09.05.26
Ett
Järfälla
FBK Karlstad
0
2
L
03.05.26
Ett
Järfälla
Assyriska FF
3
3
D
26.04.26
Ett
Järfälla
Piteå
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ett
Järfälla
IF Karlstad
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ett
Järfälla
Sollentuna
0
1
L
04.04.26
Ett
Järfälla
AFC Eskilstuna
1
1
D
28.03.26
Fri
Järfälla
Enköping
2
2
D
Last matches: FBK Karlstad
23.08.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Arlanda
1
5
L
16.08.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Enköping
2
0
W
09.08.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Hammarby Talang
1
1
D
01.08.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Assyriska FF
0
2
L
26.06.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Hammarby Talang
0
7
L
18.06.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Sollentuna
2
0
W
14.06.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Stockholm Internazionale
1
3
L
05.06.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
IF Karlstad
2
3
L
31.05.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Karlberg
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Arlanda
0
0
D
17.05.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Umeå FC
1
1
D
14.05.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Piteå
5
1
W
09.05.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Järfälla
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
AFC Eskilstuna
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Stocksund
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Enköping
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Vasalund
3
1
W
03.04.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Gefle IF
2
1
W
29.03.26
Fri
FBK Karlstad
Trollhättan
1
2
L
14.03.26
Fri
FBK Karlstad
Trollhättan
3
0
W
H2H: Järfälla vs FBK Karlstad
09.05.26
H2H
FBK Karlstad
Järfälla
2
0
L
Last matches: Järfälla
29.08.26
Ett
Järfälla
Assyriska FF
0
2
L
08.08.26
Ett
Järfälla
IF Karlstad
1
4
L
01.08.26
Ett
Järfälla
Stockholm Internazionale
0
4
L
13.06.26
Ett
Järfälla
Arlanda
2
3
L
08.06.26
Ett
Järfälla
Stocksund
1
6
L
23.05.26
Ett
Järfälla
Gefle IF
4
0
W
13.05.26
Ett
Järfälla
Enköping
0
3
L
26.04.26
Ett
Järfälla
Piteå
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ett
Järfälla
Sollentuna
0
1
L
Last matches: FBK Karlstad
23.08.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Arlanda
1
5
L
09.08.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Hammarby Talang
1
1
D
18.06.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Sollentuna
2
0
W
14.06.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Stockholm Internazionale
1
3
L
31.05.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Karlberg
1
1
D
14.05.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Piteå
5
1
W
02.05.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
AFC Eskilstuna
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Enköping
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Vasalund
3
1
W
29.03.26
Fri
FBK Karlstad
Trollhättan
1
2
L
14.03.26
Fri
FBK Karlstad
Trollhättan
3
0
W
21.02.26
Fri
FBK Karlstad
AFC Eskilstuna
1
3
L
31.01.26
Fri
FBK Karlstad
Oddevold
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
FBK Karlstad
Orebro SK
0
3
L

Standings

North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 11 4 3 45:15 30 37
D L D W W
2 19 11 4 4 31:17 14 37
D L L W W
3 18 11 3 4 38:17 21 36
W W L W W
4 19 10 6 3 33:22 11 36
W W L D L
5 19 10 4 5 33:26 7 34
W W W W W
6 18 9 2 7 27:28 -1 29
D L W L L
7 18 8 4 6 27:28 -1 28
L W D L L
8 19 7 5 7 32:31 1 26
W L W W W
9 18 7 3 8 28:28 0 24
L W L W W
10 19 7 3 9 25:37 -12 24
D W W L W
11 18 6 5 7 28:35 -7 23
W D W D L
12 19 4 8 7 18:27 -9 20
L W W L D
13 18 4 5 9 21:30 -9 17
D L L L L
14 19 4 3 12 23:41 -18 15
L L L L L
15 18 2 6 10 18:36 -18 12
D D D L L
16 19 2 5 12 38:47 -9 11
L L L W L