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18.10.2026 12:30
Sarpsborg Stadion

Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 54.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
54.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Sarpsborg 08 FF Win 30.9%
Draw 14.2%
Rosenborg Win 54.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sarpsborg 08 FF1.44
Rosenborg1.59
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF
WWDLW
50 GF / 47 GA
Rosenborg Rosenborg
WLDWL
53 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.52
Average Goals Scored
1.71
1.42
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
20
BTTS Yes
14
20
Over 2.5
18
4.5
Shots on Goal
5.41

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF 33 matches
Rosenborg Rosenborg 31 matches
Sarpsborg 08 FF Statistic Rosenborg
14 Wins 16
8 Draws 5
11 Losses 10
50 Goals For 53
47 Goals Against 41
1.52 Avg Goals Scored 1.71
1.42 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32
20 BTTS Yes 14
26 Over 1.5 27
20 Over 2.5 18
12 Over 3.5 10
9 Clean Sheets 10
6 Failed To Score 9
4.5 Shots On Goal 5.41
13.27 Total Shots 13.95
5.23 Corners 6.14
45.2% Ball Possession 53%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Rosenborg's more proactive style and Sarpsborg 08 FF's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Rosenborg. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Sarpsborg 08 FF Analysis

So far, Sarpsborg 08 FF have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 25 points from 21 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 24:29 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by D. Karlsbakk (6 goals), S. Sørli (3 goals), A. Nibe (3 goals), with creative support from S. Sørli (4 assists), C. Niyukuri (4 assists), S. Christiansen (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Rosenborg Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 34 points from 22 games, Rosenborg bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 10 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats plus a goal balance of 40:31, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Amin Chiakha (13 goals), N. Sahsah (5 goals), E. Ceïde (4 goals), with creative support from O. Selnæs (8 assists), E. Ceïde (5 assists), M. Bomholt (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Sarpsborg 08 FF won 6 times, Rosenborg won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:18 from Sarpsborg 08 FF's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.75 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.8%)
Predicted formations: Sarpsborg 08 FF 4-4-2 / Rosenborg 4-4-2
H2H summary: Sarpsborg 08 FF wins 6, draws 4, Rosenborg wins 2

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 17 2 3 56:20 36 53
W W W D W
2 22 17 2 3 56:20 36 53
W L W W W
3 22 11 6 5 41:30 11 39
D W L L D
4 22 11 4 7 46:34 12 37
D L W W W
5 22 10 4 8 40:31 9 34
D W W W L
6 22 10 3 9 30:31 -1 33
D L W W L
7 22 9 2 11 39:34 5 29
L W L L D
8 22 8 5 9 26:33 -7 29
D D D L W
9 22 7 7 8 28:31 -3 28
W L D D D
10 22 8 4 10 27:36 -9 28
W W W L L
11 22 7 5 10 33:46 -13 26
W L L L D
12 22 6 6 10 22:28 -6 24
D W L D D
13 22 6 5 11 35:45 -10 23
L D L D L
14 22 4 9 9 35:50 -15 21
L W L W L
15 22 5 4 13 22:43 -21 19
L L L W D
16 22 4 4 14 24:48 -24 16
L L W L W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen