SENEGAL › LIGUE 1
10.05.2026 17:00
Stade de Diaraf

Jaraaf vs Sonacos Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 86.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 73.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
86.3%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
73.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
77.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Jaraaf Win 86.3%
Draw 6.9%
Sonacos Win 6.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Jaraaf0.91
Sonacos0.64
Recent Form (Last 5)
Jaraaf Jaraaf
WWDLW
16 GF / 16 GA
Sonacos Sonacos
WLDWL
16 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
0.64
Average Goals Scored
0.64
0.64
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
7
BTTS Yes
9
2
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Jaraaf Jaraaf 25 matches
Sonacos Sonacos 25 matches
Jaraaf Statistic Sonacos
7 Wins 4
11 Draws 10
7 Losses 11
16 Goals For 16
16 Goals Against 33
0.64 Avg Goals Scored 0.64
0.64 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32
7 BTTS Yes 9
11 Over 1.5 15
2 Over 2.5 9
0 Over 3.5 3
11 Clean Sheets 8
13 Failed To Score 14
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Sonacos having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sonacos. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Jaraaf Analysis

So far, Jaraaf have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 32 points from 25 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 11 draws, and 7 losses, while the 16:16 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sonacos Analysis

Sonacos sit 14 with 22 points after 25 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 10 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 16:33, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Jaraaf won 6 times, Sonacos won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:3 from Jaraaf's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.42 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (93.2%)
H2H summary: Jaraaf wins 6, draws 5, Sonacos wins 1

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 13 15 2 21:6 15 54
?
2 30 15 9 6 27:19 8 54
?
3 30 13 9 8 37:22 15 48
?
4 30 11 15 4 29:14 15 48
?
5 30 10 14 6 29:24 5 44
?
6 30 8 18 4 23:16 7 42
?
7 30 9 14 7 21:16 5 41
?
8 30 7 19 4 29:20 9 40
?
9 30 7 13 10 20:19 1 34
?
10 30 5 18 7 18:21 -3 33
?
11 30 5 18 7 18:24 -6 33
?
12 30 5 16 9 24:37 -13 31
?
13 30 7 8 15 29:34 -5 28
?
14 30 3 16 11 22:36 -14 25
?
15 30 4 13 13 18:39 -21 25
?
16 30 3 15 12 16:34 -18 24
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Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation