Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
54.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Jaguares
Atletico Nacional
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Jaguares
20 matches
Atletico Nacional
28 matches
| Jaguares | Statistic | Atletico Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 18 |
| 3 | Draws | 1 |
| 12 | Losses | 9 |
| 20 | Goals For | 51 |
| 35 | Goals Against | 28 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.82 |
| 1.75 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 19 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 3.35 | Shots On Goal | 6.12 |
| 10.85 | Total Shots | 16.52 |
| 3.95 | Corners | 4.92 |
| 45.8% | Ball Possession | 56.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Atletico Nacional's more proactive style and Jaguares's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Atletico Nacional. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Atletico Nacional carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 55 points while Jaguares sit 16 on 18, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Atletico Nacional look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.
Jaguares sit 16 with 18 points after 20 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 3 draws, and 12 defeats, and the 20:35 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, which indicates an unclear split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Operating from 1 place with 55 points from 25 games, Atletico Nacional bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 18 wins, 1 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 49:21, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of - wins, - draws, and - losses supports the view of an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Jaguares won 2 times, Atletico Nacional won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:28 from Jaguares's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
Jaguares
7
6
5
3
5
2
Lineups
Jaguares
Chico
Jaguares
Once Caldas
Jaguares
Internacional de Bogota
Jaguares
Deportivo Cali
Jaguares
Cucuta
Jaguares
Bucaramanga
Jaguares
Deportivo Pasto
Jaguares
Atletico Nacional
Jaguares
Millonarios
Jaguares
Deportes Tolima
Jaguares
Águilas Doradas
Jaguares
Alianza Valledupar
Jaguares
Independiente Medellin
Jaguares
Llaneros
Jaguares
Fortaleza FC
Jaguares
Junior
Jaguares
America de Cali
Jaguares
Santa Fe
Jaguares
Chico
Jaguares
Deportivo Pereira
Atletico Nacional
America de Cali
Atletico Nacional
Deportivo Tachira FC
Atletico Nacional
Junior
Atletico Nacional
Junior
Atletico Nacional
Deportes Tolima
Atletico Nacional
Deportes Tolima
Atletico Nacional
Internacional de Bogota
Atletico Nacional
Internacional de Bogota
Atletico Nacional
Once Caldas
Atletico Nacional
Deportivo Pereira
Atletico Nacional
Bucaramanga
Atletico Nacional
Independiente Medellin
Atletico Nacional
Jaguares
Atletico Nacional
Cucuta
Atletico Nacional
Deportivo Pasto
Atletico Nacional
Cruz Azul
Atletico Nacional
Internacional de Bogota
Atletico Nacional
Millonarios
Atletico Nacional
Llaneros
Atletico Nacional
Junior
Jaguares
Chico
Jaguares
Once Caldas
Jaguares
Cucuta
Jaguares
Deportivo Pasto
Jaguares
Millonarios
Jaguares
Águilas Doradas
Jaguares
Independiente Medellin
Jaguares
Junior
Jaguares
Santa Fe
Jaguares
Deportivo Pereira
Jaguares
Internacional de Bogota
Jaguares
Deportivo Cali
Jaguares
Huila
Jaguares
Cucuta
Jaguares
Internacional Palmira
Jaguares
Popayan
Jaguares
Leones FC
Jaguares
Real Cartagena
Jaguares
Bogota FC
Jaguares
Quindio
Atletico Nacional
America de Cali
Atletico Nacional
Junior
Atletico Nacional
Deportes Tolima
Atletico Nacional
Internacional de Bogota
Atletico Nacional
Once Caldas
Atletico Nacional
Deportivo Pereira
Atletico Nacional
Independiente Medellin
Atletico Nacional
Deportivo Pasto
Atletico Nacional
Cruz Azul
Atletico Nacional
Millonarios
Atletico Nacional
Junior
Atletico Nacional
Águilas Doradas
Atletico Nacional
Deportes Tolima
Atletico Nacional
Santa Fe
Atletico Nacional
Deportivo Cali
Atletico Nacional
America de Cali
Atletico Nacional
Junior
Atletico Nacional
Independiente Medellin
Atletico Nacional
Junior
Atletico Nacional
Llaneros
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Atletico Nacional
Away
|
19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 35 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 10 | 33 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 31 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
W
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 26 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 23 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 16 |
Jaguares
Home
|
19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
| 17 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
L
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 18 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 19 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 |
D
L
L
W
L
|