BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Jacuipense
Match Timeline
ASA
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
4'
Iarley
ASA
47'
Thiaguinho
Jacuipense

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 85.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
85.9%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Jacuipense Win 50.1%
Draw 14.1%
ASA Win 35.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Jacuipense1
ASA1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Jacuipense Jacuipense
WWDLW
11 GF / 13 GA
ASA ASA
WLDWL
10 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
1.11
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
6
BTTS Yes
4
5
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Jacuipense Jacuipense 9 matches
ASA ASA 9 matches
Jacuipense Statistic ASA
3 Wins 4
3 Draws 3
3 Losses 2
11 Goals For 10
13 Goals Against 6
1.22 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
6 BTTS Yes 4
6 Over 1.5 5
5 Over 2.5 4
4 Over 3.5 0
3 Clean Sheets 4
1 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between ASA's more proactive style and Jacuipense's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring ASA. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward ASA having the stronger overall control.

Jacuipense Analysis

Jacuipense come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 12 points from 9 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, while the 11:13 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Thiaguinho (3 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

ASA Analysis

ASA come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 15 points from 9 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, while the 10:6 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Alex Bruno (6 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Jacuipense won 3 times, ASA won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:11 from Jacuipense's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.92 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.9%)
H2H summary: Jacuipense wins 3, draws 5, ASA wins 4
Last matches: Jacuipense
28.06.26
Ser
Jacuipense
Treze
0
0
D
21.06.26
Ser
Jacuipense
Treze
1
3
L
31.05.26
Ser
Jacuipense
CSA
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Jacuipense
Juazeirense
2
2
D
17.05.26
Ser
Jacuipense
Atlético Alagoinhas
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Jacuipense
CSE
2
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
Jacuipense
CSE
2
3
L
26.04.26
Ser
Jacuipense
Atlético Alagoinhas
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Jacuipense
Juazeirense
1
3
L
11.04.26
Ser
Jacuipense
CSA
1
3
L
04.04.26
Ser
Jacuipense
ASA
0
0
D
Last matches: ASA
12.07.26
Ser
ASA
Ivinhema
4
0
W
06.07.26
Ser
ASA
Ivinhema
2
1
W
27.06.26
Ser
ASA
Sergipe
1
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
ASA
Sergipe
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
ASA
CSE
0
0
D
23.05.26
Ser
ASA
CSA
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
ASA
Juazeirense
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
ASA
Atlético Alagoinhas
3
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
ASA
Atlético Alagoinhas
1
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
ASA
Juazeirense
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
ASA
CSA
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
ASA
CSE
2
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
ASA
Jacuipense
0
0
D
06.09.25
Ser
ASA
Maranhão
0
3
L
30.08.25
Ser
ASA
Maranhão
0
1
L
23.08.25
Ser
ASA
Manauara
0
0
D
16.08.25
Ser
ASA
Manauara
1
0
W
09.08.25
Ser
ASA
Ferroviario
2
0
W
02.08.25
Ser
ASA
Ferroviario
1
0
W
27.07.25
Ser
ASA
Juazeirense
3
0
W
H2H: Jacuipense vs ASA
14.06.26
H2H
Jacuipense
ASA
1
1
D
04.04.26
H2H
ASA
Jacuipense
0
0
D
04.07.24
H2H
Jacuipense
ASA
1
0
W
18.05.24
H2H
ASA
Jacuipense
1
0
L
23.07.23
H2H
ASA
Jacuipense
3
2
L
07.05.23
H2H
Jacuipense
ASA
1
2
L
12.06.22
H2H
Jacuipense
ASA
0
0
D
22.05.22
H2H
ASA
Jacuipense
1
1
D
09.06.19
H2H
ASA
Jacuipense
1
0
L
05.05.19
H2H
Jacuipense
ASA
2
0
W
20.05.18
H2H
Jacuipense
ASA
3
1
W
29.04.18
H2H
ASA
Jacuipense
1
1
D
Last matches: Jacuipense
21.06.26
Ser
Jacuipense
Treze
1
3
L
24.05.26
Ser
Jacuipense
Juazeirense
2
2
D
10.05.26
Ser
Jacuipense
CSE
2
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Jacuipense
Atlético Alagoinhas
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Jacuipense
CSA
1
3
L
H2H at home: Jacuipense
14.06.26
H2H
Jacuipense
ASA
1
1
D
04.07.24
H2H
Jacuipense
ASA
1
0
W
07.05.23
H2H
Jacuipense
ASA
1
2
L
12.06.22
H2H
Jacuipense
ASA
0
0
D
05.05.19
H2H
Jacuipense
ASA
2
0
W
20.05.18
H2H
Jacuipense
ASA
3
1
W
Last matches: ASA
06.07.26
Ser
ASA
Ivinhema
2
1
W
27.06.26
Ser
ASA
Sergipe
1
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
ASA
CSA
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
ASA
Atlético Alagoinhas
1
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
ASA
Juazeirense
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
ASA
CSE
2
1
W
30.08.25
Ser
ASA
Maranhão
0
1
L
16.08.25
Ser
ASA
Manauara
1
0
W
02.08.25
Ser
ASA
Ferroviario
1
0
W
20.07.25
Ser
ASA
Jequié
0
0
D
13.07.25
Ser
ASA
Penedense
1
0
W
15.06.25
Ser
ASA
Barcelona BA
0
1
L
31.05.25
Ser
ASA
União Carmolandense
4
0
W
17.05.25
Ser
ASA
Lagarto
0
0
D
10.05.25
Ser
ASA
Sergipe
2
1
W
20.04.25
Ser
ASA
Juazeirense
3
0
W
H2H away: ASA
14.06.26
H2H
Jacuipense
ASA
1
1
D
04.07.24
H2H
Jacuipense
ASA
1
0
L
07.05.23
H2H
Jacuipense
ASA
1
2
W
12.06.22
H2H
Jacuipense
ASA
0
0
D
05.05.19
H2H
Jacuipense
ASA
2
0
L
20.05.18
H2H
Jacuipense
ASA
3
1
L

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3
ASA Away
10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)