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LATVIA › VIRSLIGA
19.10.2026 15:00
Stadions Celtnieks

BFC Daugavpils vs Auda Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 42.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
42.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
63.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
BFC Daugavpils Win 41.8%
Draw 16.1%
Auda Win 42.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
BFC Daugavpils1.09
Auda1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils
WWDLW
44 GF / 51 GA
Auda Auda
WLDWL
62 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
1.1
Average Goals Scored
1.55
1.28
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
20
BTTS Yes
20
17
Over 2.5
19
1.75
Shots on Goal
0.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 40 matches
Auda Auda 40 matches
BFC Daugavpils Statistic Auda
13 Wins 23
9 Draws 9
18 Losses 8
44 Goals For 62
51 Goals Against 43
1.1 Avg Goals Scored 1.55
1.28 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08
20 BTTS Yes 20
24 Over 1.5 29
17 Over 2.5 19
10 Over 3.5 10
10 Clean Sheets 16
14 Failed To Score 6
1.75 Shots On Goal 0.88
3 Total Shots 1.88
1.25 Corners 0.25
16.8% Ball Possession 17.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Auda. Auda carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 61 points while BFC Daugavpils sit 5 on 42, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with BFC Daugavpils expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Auda in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Auda having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

BFC Daugavpils Analysis

BFC Daugavpils come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 42 points from 32 matches. The record of 11 wins, 9 draws, and 12 defeats, together with a 37:36 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Auda Analysis

Auda arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 61 points after 31 matches. The record of 18 wins, 7 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 49:30 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, BFC Daugavpils won 4 times, Auda won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:22 from BFC Daugavpils's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.9%)
Predicted formations: BFC Daugavpils 4-2-3-1 / Auda 4-3-3
H2H summary: BFC Daugavpils wins 4, draws 2, Auda wins 9

Standings

Virsliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 25 5 2 79:24 55 80
W W D W D
2 32 23 7 2 88:30 58 76
W W W D D
3
Auda Away
32 19 7 6 52:32 20 64
W D W D W
4 32 12 7 13 43:46 -3 43
L D D D W
5 32 11 9 12 37:36 1 42
W D L D L
6 32 11 5 16 31:45 -14 38
L W L L W
7 32 8 8 16 34:53 -19 32
L L D L W
8 32 5 11 16 22:54 -32 26
L D D L W
9 32 5 9 18 44:63 -19 24
L D L W L
10 32 4 6 22 31:78 -47 18
L W L D L