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TURKEY › 1. LIG
10.10.2026 16:00
Esenyurt Necmi Kadioglu Stadium
Referee: Resat Onur Coskunses, Türkiye
İstanbulspor
Match Timeline
Esenler Erokspor
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
20'
Guélor Kanga · Assist: Mikail Okyar
Esenler Erokspor
🟨
58'
Yusuf Ozer
İstanbulspor
🔄
59'
Ömer Faruk Duymaz ↔ Alieu Cham
İstanbulspor
🔄
59'
Ilian Iliev ↔ Mamadou Fall
İstanbulspor
🔄
61'
Pape Habib Gueye ↔ Yusuf Erdoğan
Esenler Erokspor
🔄
61'
Guélor Kanga ↔ Tugay Kaçar
Esenler Erokspor
🟨
69'
Elvin Mendy
İstanbulspor
🔄
70'
Nicolas Janvier ↔ Recep Niyaz
Esenler Erokspor
🔄
70'
Burak Coban ↔ Kubilay Kanatsızkuş
Esenler Erokspor
🔄
77'
Berk Ali Nizam ↔ Aytaç Kara
İstanbulspor
🔄
77'
Yusuf Ozer ↔ Phellipe Cardoso Araújo
İstanbulspor
🔄
77'
Duran Şahin ↔ Kubilay Sönmez
İstanbulspor
🔄
87'
Mikail Okyar ↔ Ferhat Yazgan
Esenler Erokspor

İstanbulspor vs Esenler Erokspor Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.5%
Odds 3.91
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.76
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.5%
3.91 ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
2.10 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.76 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
75.8%
4.11 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
6.00 ▥
Correct Score 3-0
-
67.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
İstanbulspor Win 60.5%
Draw 12%
Esenler Erokspor Win 27.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
İstanbulspor0.92
Esenler Erokspor1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
İstanbulspor İstanbulspor
WWDLW
7 GF / 22 GA
Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor
WLDWL
4 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
0.7
Average Goals Scored
0.5
2.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
4
BTTS Yes
3
6
Over 2.5
2
3.5
Shots on Goal
2.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 10 matches
Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor 8 matches
İstanbulspor Statistic Esenler Erokspor
1 Wins 0
2 Draws 5
7 Losses 3
7 Goals For 4
22 Goals Against 10
0.7 Avg Goals Scored 0.5
2.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
4 BTTS Yes 3
8 Over 1.5 5
6 Over 2.5 2
4 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 5
3.5 Shots On Goal 2.88
10.25 Total Shots 11
3.13 Corners 5.13
42.6% Ball Possession 57.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with İstanbulspor expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Esenler Erokspor in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Esenler Erokspor having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Esenler Erokspor. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

İstanbulspor Analysis

İstanbulspor sit 18 with 5 points after 8 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 7:19, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Alieu Cham (1 goals), Ömer Faruk Duymaz (1 goals), Mustafa Sol (1 goals), with creative support from Alieu Cham (1 assists), Berk Ali Nizam (1 assists), Michael Ologo (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Esenler Erokspor Analysis

With 5 points from 8 games and a place of 17, Esenler Erokspor still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 0 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 4:10, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Mikail Okyar (1 goals), Y. Erdoğan (1 goals), with creative support from Guélor Kanga (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, İstanbulspor won 3 times, Esenler Erokspor won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:10 from İstanbulspor's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88%)
Predicted formations: İstanbulspor 4-4-2 / Esenler Erokspor 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: İstanbulspor wins 3, draws 0, Esenler Erokspor wins 2

Standings

Lig A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 1 1 22:5 17 25
W W W W W
2 10 7 1 2 20:9 11 22
W L W D W
3 10 6 2 2 14:8 6 20
D W D W W
4 10 6 1 3 20:17 3 19
W L L L W
5 10 5 3 2 12:6 6 18
W W L L W
6 10 4 5 1 19:10 9 17
D W D D W
7 10 4 3 3 13:14 -1 15
L D W D L
8 10 5 0 5 15:17 -2 15
L W W W L
9 10 3 5 2 15:6 9 14
D W L D W
10 10 3 4 3 13:13 0 13
L D W D L
11 10 2 6 2 14:13 1 12
D W D D W
12 10 2 6 2 9:11 -2 12
L D D D D
13 10 2 5 3 11:9 2 11
W L D W L
14 10 2 4 4 15:16 -1 10
D L L D L
15 10 2 4 4 12:19 -7 10
L L D D W
16 10 1 6 3 6:11 -5 9
D W L D L
17 9 1 4 4 7:10 -3 7
D W L L
18 10 2 3 5 10:20 -10 7
W L L D D
19 10 1 2 7 9:24 -15 5
L L W L L
20 9 0 1 8 3:21 -18 1
L L D L
Promotion - Super Lig
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation