ICELAND 1. DEILD
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 84.1%
Odds 1.18
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.40
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.36
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
84.1%
1.18
BTTS Yes
86%
1.40
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.36
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
4.50
HT / FT Home / Home
-
6.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
15.00
Probability Distribution
IR Reykjavik Win 36%
Draw 15.9%
Afturelding Win 48.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
IR Reykjavik1.91
Afturelding2.86
Recent Form (Last 5)
IR Reykjavik IR Reykjavik
WWDLW
23 GF / 29 GA
Afturelding Afturelding
WLDWL
33 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
2.09
Average Goals Scored
3
2.64
Average Goals Conceded
1.64
10
BTTS Yes
7
10
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

IR Reykjavik IR Reykjavik 11 matches
Afturelding Afturelding 11 matches
IR Reykjavik Statistic Afturelding
3 Wins 7
2 Draws 1
6 Losses 3
23 Goals For 33
29 Goals Against 18
2.09 Avg Goals Scored 3
2.64 Avg Goals Conceded 1.64
10 BTTS Yes 7
10 Over 1.5 10
10 Over 2.5 8
7 Over 3.5 6
0 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Afturelding's more proactive style and IR Reykjavik's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Afturelding carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 16 points while IR Reykjavik sit 9 on 11, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. IR Reykjavik have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Afturelding having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Afturelding.

IR Reykjavik Analysis

IR Reykjavik approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 11 points from 10 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats with a 22:27 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Afturelding Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 16 points from 9 games, Afturelding bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, with a 23:17 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, IR Reykjavik won 5 times, Afturelding won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:12 from IR Reykjavik's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 4.57 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.1%)
H2H summary: IR Reykjavik wins 5, draws 0, Afturelding wins 2
Last matches: IR Reykjavik
26.06.26
1.
IR Reykjavik
Leiknir R.
1
2
L
21.06.26
1.
IR Reykjavik
Völsungur
4
4
D
17.06.26
1.
IR Reykjavik
Grotta
2
1
W
05.06.26
1.
IR Reykjavik
Njardvik
1
5
L
31.05.26
1.
IR Reykjavik
Vestri
0
1
L
27.05.26
1.
IR Reykjavik
Ægir
1
4
L
22.05.26
1.
IR Reykjavik
HK Kopavogur
3
1
W
18.05.26
1.
IR Reykjavik
Fylkir
1
2
L
08.05.26
1.
IR Reykjavik
Grindavik
2
2
D
01.05.26
1.
IR Reykjavik
Throttur Reykjavik
1
3
L
24.04.26
1.
IR Reykjavik
Afturelding
7
4
W
Last matches: Afturelding
29.06.26
1.
Afturelding
Ægir
8
1
W
26.06.26
1.
Afturelding
Njardvik
2
0
W
21.06.26
1.
Afturelding
Vestri
0
2
L
05.06.26
1.
Afturelding
HK Kopavogur
1
2
L
31.05.26
1.
Afturelding
Fylkir
5
1
W
27.05.26
1.
Afturelding
Grindavik
3
1
W
22.05.26
1.
Afturelding
Throttur Reykjavik
4
3
W
18.05.26
1.
Afturelding
Grotta
3
1
W
08.05.26
1.
Afturelding
Leiknir R.
3
0
W
01.05.26
1.
Afturelding
Völsungur
0
0
D
24.04.26
1.
Afturelding
IR Reykjavik
4
7
L
H2H: IR Reykjavik vs Afturelding
24.04.26
H2H
Afturelding
IR Reykjavik
4
7
W
29.03.26
H2H
IR Reykjavik
Afturelding
2
3
L
21.02.25
H2H
IR Reykjavik
Afturelding
3
1
W
14.09.24
H2H
Afturelding
IR Reykjavik
3
0
L
04.07.24
H2H
IR Reykjavik
Afturelding
3
0
W
24.09.16
H2H
IR Reykjavik
Afturelding
3
1
W
14.07.16
H2H
Afturelding
IR Reykjavik
0
2
W
Last matches: IR Reykjavik
21.06.26
1.
IR Reykjavik
Völsungur
4
4
D
17.06.26
1.
IR Reykjavik
Grotta
2
1
W
31.05.26
1.
IR Reykjavik
Vestri
0
1
L
22.05.26
1.
IR Reykjavik
HK Kopavogur
3
1
W
08.05.26
1.
IR Reykjavik
Grindavik
2
2
D
H2H at home: IR Reykjavik
29.03.26
H2H
IR Reykjavik
Afturelding
2
3
L
21.02.25
H2H
IR Reykjavik
Afturelding
3
1
W
04.07.24
H2H
IR Reykjavik
Afturelding
3
0
W
24.09.16
H2H
IR Reykjavik
Afturelding
3
1
W
Last matches: Afturelding
21.06.26
1.
Afturelding
Vestri
0
2
L
05.06.26
1.
Afturelding
HK Kopavogur
1
2
L
27.05.26
1.
Afturelding
Grindavik
3
1
W
18.05.26
1.
Afturelding
Grotta
3
1
W
08.05.26
1.
Afturelding
Leiknir R.
3
0
W
H2H away: Afturelding
29.03.26
H2H
IR Reykjavik
Afturelding
2
3
W
21.02.25
H2H
IR Reykjavik
Afturelding
3
1
L
04.07.24
H2H
IR Reykjavik
Afturelding
3
0
L
24.09.16
H2H
IR Reykjavik
Afturelding
3
1
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.74
Draw 4.24
Home 3.72
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.16
Draw 2.68
Home 3.92
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.75 1.41
Over 3.0 1.50
Over 3.25 1.70
Over 3.5 1.90
Over 3.75 2.10
Over 4.0 2.42
Over 4.25 2.68
Under 2.75 2.78
Under 3.0 2.48
Under 3.25 2.12
Under 3.5 1.90
Under 3.75 1.71
Under 4.0 1.52
Under 4.25 1.43
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.67
Draw 3.80
Home 3.80
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.10
Draw 2.62
Home 3.75
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.10
Draw 2.88
Home 3.40
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.00
Over 1.5 1.10
Over 2.5 1.36
Over 3.5 1.83
Over 4.5 3.00
Over 5.5 4.50
Over 6.5 8.00
Over 7.5 11.00
Over 8.5 17.00
Over 9.5 21.00
Under 0.5 23.00
Under 1.5 6.50
Under 2.5 3.00
Under 3.5 1.83
Under 4.5 1.36
Under 5.5 1.17
Under 6.5 1.06
Under 7.5 1.02
Under 8.5 1.00
Under 9.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.72
Draw 4.00
Home 3.70
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.19
Draw 2.51
Home 3.92
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 1.99
Draw 2.98
Home 3.67
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.0 1.01
Over 1.5 1.06
Over 1.75 1.08
Over 2.0 1.09
Over 2.25 1.21
Over 2.5 1.31
Over 2.75 1.39
Over 3.0 1.46
Over 3.25 1.68
Over 3.5 1.85
Over 3.75 2.03
Over 4.0 2.30
Over 4.25 2.58
Over 4.5 2.78
Over 4.75 3.28
Over 5.0 4.20
Over 5.25 4.45
Over 5.5 4.75
Over 6.0 7.70
Over 6.5 8.00
Over 7.5 11.00
Over 8.5 17.00
Over 9.5 21.00
Under 0.5 17.50
Under 1.0 13.00
Under 1.5 6.15
Under 1.75 5.76
Under 2.0 5.30
Under 2.25 3.72
Under 2.5 2.92
Under 2.75 2.70
Under 3.0 2.38
Under 3.25 2.06
Under 3.5 1.85
Under 3.75 1.67
Under 4.0 1.49
Under 4.25 1.41
Under 4.5 1.34
Under 4.75 1.25
Under 5.0 1.16
Under 5.25 1.14
Under 5.5 1.12
Under 6.0 1.03
Under 6.5 1.06
Under 7.5 1.02
Under 8.5 1.00
Under 9.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.79
Draw 3.80
Home 3.40
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.23
Draw 2.60
Home 3.50
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.08
Draw 3.05
Home 3.35
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.08
Over 2.5 1.32
Over 3.5 1.82
Over 4.5 2.88
Over 5.5 4.75
Under 1.5 5.80
Under 2.5 2.90
Under 3.5 1.82
Under 4.5 1.33
Under 5.5 1.12

Standings

1. Deild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 7 2 2 25:12 13 23
D W W W W
2 11 7 1 3 33:18 15 22
W W L L W
3 11 7 0 4 19:15 4 21
L W W L L
4 12 6 2 4 22:20 2 20
D W W L W
5 11 6 1 4 20:18 2 19
W D L W L
6 11 5 3 3 14:12 2 18
W L W W W
7 11 4 2 5 13:11 2 14
L W L W L
8 10 4 1 5 19:24 -5 13
D L L W W
9 11 3 2 6 23:29 -6 11
L D W L L
10 10 1 6 3 9:12 -3 9
D D L L L
11 12 2 2 8 13:28 -15 8
L D L L L
12 11 1 4 6 13:24 -11 7
D D W L L
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs
Relegation