AUSTRALIA VICTORIA NPL 2
--.--.---- --:--
Melbourne Srbija
Match Timeline
North Geelong Warriors
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
49'
R. Brown
Melbourne Srbija
🟥
90+2'
L. Zivcic
North Geelong Warriors

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Melbourne Srbija Win 67%
Draw 7.3%
North Geelong Warriors Win 25.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Melbourne Srbija1.54
North Geelong Warriors1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Melbourne Srbija Melbourne Srbija
WWDLW
26 GF / 24 GA
North Geelong Warriors North Geelong Warriors
WLDWL
33 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.09
Average Goals Conceded
2.09
10
BTTS Yes
13
11
Over 2.5
17
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Melbourne Srbija Melbourne Srbija 22 matches
North Geelong Warriors North Geelong Warriors 22 matches
Melbourne Srbija Statistic North Geelong Warriors
10 Wins 9
2 Draws 1
10 Losses 12
26 Goals For 33
24 Goals Against 46
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.09 Avg Goals Conceded 2.09
10 BTTS Yes 13
14 Over 1.5 20
11 Over 2.5 17
3 Over 3.5 9
6 Clean Sheets 4
8 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Melbourne Srbija's more proactive style and North Geelong Warriors's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward North Geelong Warriors. North Geelong Warriors arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward North Geelong Warriors having the stronger overall control.

Melbourne Srbija Analysis

So far, Melbourne Srbija have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 32 points from 21 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, while the 26:23 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

North Geelong Warriors Analysis

With 28 points from 21 games and a place of 9, North Geelong Warriors still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 9 wins, 1 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 33:42, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Melbourne Srbija won 1 times, North Geelong Warriors won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:2 from Melbourne Srbija's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.8%)
H2H summary: Melbourne Srbija wins 1, draws 0, North Geelong Warriors wins 1
Last matches: Melbourne Srbija
15.08.26
Vic
Melbourne Srbija
Brunswick Juventus FC
1
1
D
03.08.26
Vic
Melbourne Srbija
Melbourne Victory II
0
1
L
24.07.26
Vic
Melbourne Srbija
Eltham Redbacks FC
2
0
W
18.07.26
Vic
Melbourne Srbija
Port Melbourne
0
1
L
11.07.26
Vic
Melbourne Srbija
Manningham United Blues
0
1
L
03.07.26
Vic
Melbourne Srbija
Northcote City
3
2
W
20.06.26
Vic
Melbourne Srbija
Melbourne Knights
2
0
W
13.06.26
Vic
Melbourne Srbija
North Sunshine Eagles
2
1
W
30.05.26
Vic
Melbourne Srbija
Langwarrin
0
0
D
23.05.26
Vic
Melbourne Srbija
Western United II
3
0
W
16.05.26
Vic
Melbourne Srbija
Brunswick City
2
1
W
09.05.26
Vic
Melbourne Srbija
Bulleen Lions
0
0
D
02.05.26
Vic
Melbourne Srbija
Brunswick Juventus FC
1
0
W
25.04.26
Vic
Melbourne Srbija
Melbourne Victory II
2
1
W
18.04.26
Vic
Melbourne Srbija
Eltham Redbacks FC
1
2
L
11.04.26
Vic
Melbourne Srbija
Port Melbourne
0
1
L
28.03.26
Vic
Melbourne Srbija
Manningham United Blues
2
1
W
21.03.26
Vic
Melbourne Srbija
Northcote City
1
2
L
13.03.26
Vic
Melbourne Srbija
Melbourne Knights
0
2
L
07.03.26
Vic
Melbourne Srbija
North Sunshine Eagles
3
2
W
Last matches: North Geelong Warriors
15.08.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Brunswick City
0
4
L
01.08.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Bulleen Lions
0
4
L
25.07.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Brunswick Juventus FC
0
3
L
18.07.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Melbourne Victory II
0
2
L
11.07.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Eltham Redbacks FC
1
3
L
04.07.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Port Melbourne
1
1
D
20.06.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Manningham United Blues
3
2
W
13.06.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Northcote City
2
1
W
30.05.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
North Sunshine Eagles
3
0
W
24.05.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Melbourne Knights
1
2
L
16.05.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Langwarrin
2
4
L
10.05.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Western United II
2
3
L
02.05.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Brunswick City
1
0
W
25.04.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Bulleen Lions
0
3
L
18.04.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Brunswick Juventus FC
3
4
L
11.04.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Melbourne Victory II
1
2
L
28.03.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Eltham Redbacks FC
3
2
W
21.03.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Port Melbourne
2
0
W
14.03.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Manningham United Blues
1
3
L
06.03.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Northcote City
0
3
L
H2H: Melbourne Srbija vs North Geelong Warriors
08.08.26
H2H
Melbourne Srbija
North Geelong Warriors
1
0
W
28.02.26
H2H
North Geelong Warriors
Melbourne Srbija
2
1
L
Last matches: Melbourne Srbija
18.07.26
Vic
Melbourne Srbija
Port Melbourne
0
1
L
11.07.26
Vic
Melbourne Srbija
Manningham United Blues
0
1
L
20.06.26
Vic
Melbourne Srbija
Melbourne Knights
2
0
W
30.05.26
Vic
Melbourne Srbija
Langwarrin
0
0
D
23.05.26
Vic
Melbourne Srbija
Western United II
3
0
W
16.05.26
Vic
Melbourne Srbija
Brunswick City
2
1
W
02.05.26
Vic
Melbourne Srbija
Brunswick Juventus FC
1
0
W
25.04.26
Vic
Melbourne Srbija
Melbourne Victory II
2
1
W
18.04.26
Vic
Melbourne Srbija
Eltham Redbacks FC
1
2
L
21.03.26
Vic
Melbourne Srbija
Northcote City
1
2
L
07.03.26
Vic
Melbourne Srbija
North Sunshine Eagles
3
2
W
16.08.25
Vic
Melbourne Srbija
Sunshine Georgies
0
2
L
26.07.25
Vic
Melbourne Srbija
Western United II
1
1
D
19.07.25
Vic
Melbourne Srbija
North Sunshine Eagles
2
1
W
28.06.25
Vic
Melbourne Srbija
Melbourne City II
1
1
D
07.06.25
Vic
Melbourne Srbija
Bentleigh Greens
1
2
L
31.05.25
Vic
Melbourne Srbija
Manningham United Blues
5
0
W
24.05.25
Vic
Melbourne Srbija
Brunswick City
3
0
W
17.05.25
Vic
Melbourne Srbija
Kingston City
3
2
W
10.05.25
Vic
Melbourne Srbija
Bulleen Lions
0
2
L
H2H at home: Melbourne Srbija
08.08.26
H2H
Melbourne Srbija
North Geelong Warriors
1
0
W
Last matches: North Geelong Warriors
15.08.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Brunswick City
0
4
L
25.07.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Brunswick Juventus FC
0
3
L
11.07.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Eltham Redbacks FC
1
3
L
20.06.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Manningham United Blues
3
2
W
24.05.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Melbourne Knights
1
2
L
10.05.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Western United II
2
3
L
25.04.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Bulleen Lions
0
3
L
11.04.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Melbourne Victory II
1
2
L
21.03.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Port Melbourne
2
0
W
06.03.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Northcote City
0
3
L
21.02.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
North Sunshine Eagles
4
3
W
17.08.24
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Melbourne City II
2
2
D
28.07.24
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Kingston City
2
3
L
20.07.24
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Eastern Lions
1
2
L
06.07.24
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Preston Lions
2
3
L
29.06.24
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Northcote City
3
2
W
23.06.24
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Western United II
2
2
D
08.06.24
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Bulleen Lions
0
1
L
25.05.24
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Brunswick City
2
0
W
04.05.24
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Sunshine Georgies
1
2
L
H2H away: North Geelong Warriors
08.08.26
H2H
Melbourne Srbija
North Geelong Warriors
1
0
L