BRAZIL SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio Beira-Rio
Referee: R. Abatti
Internacional
Match Timeline
Vasco DA Gama
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
11'
Gabriel Mercado
Internacional
21'
J. Carbonero · Assist: A. Bernabei
Internacional
🟨
22'
Johan Carbonero
Internacional
24'
Alerrandro · Assist: J. Carbonero
Internacional
🟨
32'
Nuno Moreira
Vasco DA Gama
🟨
45+3'
Matheus Bahia
Internacional
🟨
45+3'
Andrés Gómez
Vasco DA Gama
62'
A. Bernabei · Assist: J. Carbonero
Internacional
🔄
63'
N. Moreira ↔ David
Vasco DA Gama
71'
J. Carbonero · Assist: Alerrandro
Internacional
🔄
74'
Brenner ↔ Ramon Rique
Vasco DA Gama
🔄
74'
Tche Tche ↔ M. Hinestroza
Vasco DA Gama
🔄
78'
Alerrandro ↔ R. Borre
Internacional
🔄
78'
J. Carbonero ↔ Allex
Internacional
85'
Andres Gomez · Assist: Ramon Rique
Vasco DA Gama
🔄
86'
Matheus Bahia ↔ L. F. de Morais Francisco
Internacional
🔄
86'
Bruno Henrique ↔ Ronaldo
Internacional
🟥
90+2'
Carlos Cuesta
Vasco DA Gama
🔄
90+1'
A. Bernabei ↔ B. Arhin
Internacional

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 17.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
17.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Internacional Win 53.6%
Draw 5.5%
Vasco DA Gama Win 41%
Expected Goals (xG)
Internacional1.2
Vasco DA Gama1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Internacional Internacional
WWDLW
16 GF / 16 GA
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
WLDWL
21 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.07
Average Goals Scored
1.4
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
8
BTTS Yes
12
5
Over 2.5
9
5.2
Shots on Goal
5.47

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Internacional Internacional 15 matches
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 15 matches
Internacional Statistic Vasco DA Gama
4 Wins 5
6 Draws 5
5 Losses 5
16 Goals For 21
16 Goals Against 21
1.07 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
1.07 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
8 BTTS Yes 12
10 Over 1.5 12
5 Over 2.5 9
3 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 1
4 Failed To Score 2
5.2 Shots On Goal 5.47
15.53 Total Shots 17.73
7.93 Corners 5.53
51.3% Ball Possession 53.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Internacional expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Vasco DA Gama in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Vasco DA Gama having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Vasco DA Gama. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Internacional Analysis

Internacional approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 18 points from 15 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats with a 16:16 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Alan Patrick (3 goals), Alexandro Bernabei (3 goals), Alerrandro (2 goals), with creative support from Vitinho (3 assists), Alerrandro (2 assists), J. Carbonero (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Vasco DA Gama Analysis

From their first 15 matches, Vasco DA Gama have collected 20 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, while the 21:21 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Thiago Mendes (4 goals), Cauan Barros (3 goals), Andres Gomez (2 goals), with creative support from J. Rodriguez (4 assists), Cuiabano (4 assists), Paulo Henrique (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Internacional won 8 times, Vasco DA Gama won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:17 from Internacional's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.5%)
Predicted formations: Internacional 5-4-1 / Vasco DA Gama 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Internacional 3, Vasco DA Gama 8
H2H summary: Internacional wins 8, draws 3, Vasco DA Gama wins 4
Stats
Internacional Internacional
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
4
3 Corner Kicks 4
17 Fouls 11
4 Offsides 0
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Goal 3
5 Shots off Goal 7
0 Blocked Shots 4
9 Shots insidebox 7
3 Shots outsidebox 7
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
342 Total passes 509
271 Passes accurate 450
1.11 expected_goals 0.41
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Internacional
Formation
Vasco DA Gama
Anthoni
Anthoni
Bruno Gomes
Bruno Gomes
G. Mercado
G. Mercado
Juninho
Juninho
Matheus Bahia
Matheus Bahia
Vitinho
Vitinho
Bruno Henrique
Bruno Henrique
R. Villagra
R. Villagra
A. Bernabei
🎯
A. Bernabei
J. Carbonero
⚽ 2 🎯
J. Carbonero
Alerrandro
🎯
Alerrandro
Leo Jardim
Leo Jardim
J. Rodriguez
J. Rodriguez
C. Cuesta
C. Cuesta
Robert Renan
Robert Renan
Lucas Piton
Lucas Piton
Cauan Barros
Cauan Barros
Hugo Moura
Hugo Moura
Tche Tche
Tche Tche
N. Moreira
N. Moreira
Andres Gomez
Andres Gomez
Brenner
Brenner
Internacional 4-4-2
Starting XI
12
Anthoni
G
15
Bruno Gomes
D
25
G. Mercado
D
18
Juninho
D
6
Matheus Bahia
↓ 86' 🟨 45+3'
D
28
Vitinho
M
8
Bruno Henrique
↓ 86'
M
5
R. Villagra
M
26
A. Bernabei
⚽ 62' 🎯 21' ↓ 90+1'
M
7
J. Carbonero
⚽ 21' ⚽ 71' 🎯 24' 🎯 62' ↓ 78' 🟨 22'
F
9
Alerrandro
⚽ 24' 🎯 71' ↓ 78'
F
Substitutes
22
Kauan Jesus
G
10
Alan Patrick
M
17
Bruno Tabata
F
20
Clayton Sampaio
D
35
B. Aguirre
D
33
B. Arhin
↑ 90+1'
M
53
L. F. de Morais Francisco
↑ 86'
D
19
R. Borre
↑ 78'
F
16
Ronaldo
↑ 86'
M
11
Kayky
F
31
Allex
↑ 78'
M
46
Pedro Kaua
D
Vasco DA Gama 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Leo Jardim
G
2
J. Rodriguez
D
46
C. Cuesta
🟥 90+2'
D
30
Robert Renan
D
6
Lucas Piton
D
88
Cauan Barros
M
25
Hugo Moura
M
3
Tche Tche
↓ 74'
M
17
N. Moreira
↓ 63' 🟨 32'
M
11
Andres Gomez
⚽ 85' 🟨 45+3'
M
20
Brenner
↓ 74'
F
Substitutes
13
Daniel Fuzato
G
37
Pablo
G
9
Matheus Franca
F
83
Ramon Rique
🎯 85' ↑ 74'
M
43
Lucas Freitas
D
7
David
↑ 63'
F
18
M. Hinestroza
↑ 74'
F
4
A. Saldivia
D
98
JP
M
82
Riquelme Avellar
D
64
Walace Fernandes
D
Last matches: Internacional
31.05.26
Ser
Internacional
RB Bragantino
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Internacional
Vitoria
0
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Internacional
Coritiba
2
2
D
03.05.26
Ser
Internacional
Fluminense
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Internacional
Botafogo
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ser
Internacional
Mirassol
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Internacional
Gremio
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Internacional
Corinthians
1
0
W
01.04.26
Ser
Internacional
Sao Paulo
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Internacional
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
19.03.26
Ser
Internacional
Santos
2
1
W
15.03.26
Ser
Internacional
Bahia
0
1
L
11.03.26
Ser
Internacional
Atletico-MG
0
1
L
25.02.26
Ser
Internacional
Remo
1
1
D
13.02.26
Ser
Internacional
Palmeiras
1
3
L
04.02.26
Ser
Internacional
Flamengo
1
1
D
28.01.26
Ser
Internacional
Atletico Paranaense
0
1
L
Last matches: Vasco DA Gama
31.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
RB Bragantino
0
3
L
10.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico Paranaense
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Flamengo
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Corinthians
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
2
1
W
11.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Remo
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Botafogo
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Coritiba
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
2
1
W
19.03.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Fluminense
3
2
W
15.03.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Cruzeiro
3
3
D
12.03.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Palmeiras
2
1
W
26.02.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Santos
1
2
L
12.02.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Bahia
0
1
L
05.02.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
29.01.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Mirassol
1
2
L
H2H: Internacional vs Vasco DA Gama
16.05.26
H2H
Internacional
Vasco DA Gama
4
1
W
28.11.25
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Internacional
5
1
L
27.07.25
H2H
Internacional
Vasco DA Gama
1
1
D
21.11.24
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Internacional
0
1
W
07.07.24
H2H
Internacional
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
27.10.23
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Internacional
1
2
W
11.06.23
H2H
Internacional
Vasco DA Gama
2
1
W
14.02.21
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Internacional
0
2
W
18.10.20
H2H
Internacional
Vasco DA Gama
2
0
W
20.10.19
H2H
Internacional
Vasco DA Gama
0
1
L
07.06.19
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Internacional
2
1
L
27.10.18
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Internacional
1
1
D
14.06.18
H2H
Internacional
Vasco DA Gama
3
1
W
02.09.15
H2H
Internacional
Vasco DA Gama
6
0
W
23.05.15
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Internacional
1
1
D
Last matches: Internacional
03.05.26
Ser
Internacional
Fluminense
2
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Internacional
Mirassol
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Internacional
Gremio
0
0
D
01.04.26
Ser
Internacional
Sao Paulo
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Internacional
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
15.03.26
Ser
Internacional
Bahia
0
1
L
13.02.26
Ser
Internacional
Palmeiras
1
3
L
28.01.26
Ser
Internacional
Atletico Paranaense
0
1
L
H2H at home: Internacional
16.05.26
H2H
Internacional
Vasco DA Gama
4
1
W
27.07.25
H2H
Internacional
Vasco DA Gama
1
1
D
07.07.24
H2H
Internacional
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
11.06.23
H2H
Internacional
Vasco DA Gama
2
1
W
18.10.20
H2H
Internacional
Vasco DA Gama
2
0
W
20.10.19
H2H
Internacional
Vasco DA Gama
0
1
L
14.06.18
H2H
Internacional
Vasco DA Gama
3
1
W
02.09.15
H2H
Internacional
Vasco DA Gama
6
0
W
Last matches: Vasco DA Gama
03.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Flamengo
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Corinthians
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Remo
1
1
D
01.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Coritiba
1
1
D
15.03.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Cruzeiro
3
3
D
26.02.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Santos
1
2
L
29.01.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Mirassol
1
2
L
H2H away: Vasco DA Gama
16.05.26
H2H
Internacional
Vasco DA Gama
4
1
L
27.07.25
H2H
Internacional
Vasco DA Gama
1
1
D
07.07.24
H2H
Internacional
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
W
11.06.23
H2H
Internacional
Vasco DA Gama
2
1
L
18.10.20
H2H
Internacional
Vasco DA Gama
2
0
L
20.10.19
H2H
Internacional
Vasco DA Gama
0
1
W
14.06.18
H2H
Internacional
Vasco DA Gama
3
1
L
02.09.15
H2H
Internacional
Vasco DA Gama
6
0
L

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 12 5 1 30:13 17 41
?
2 17 10 4 3 31:16 15 34
?
3 18 9 4 5 28:23 5 31
?
4 18 9 3 6 24:18 6 30
?
5 18 9 2 7 25:19 6 29
?
6 17 7 5 5 25:23 2 26
?
7 18 7 5 6 24:24 0 26
?
8 18 7 4 7 23:20 3 25
?
9 18 7 3 8 22:23 -1 24
?
10 18 6 6 6 18:19 -1 24
?
11 18 6 6 6 24:28 -4 24
?
12 17 6 4 7 31:31 0 22
?
13 17 6 4 7 21:25 -4 22
?
14 18 5 6 7 21:22 -1 21
?
15 18 5 6 7 26:29 -3 21
?
16 18 5 6 7 20:23 -3 21
?
17 18 5 5 8 22:29 -7 20
?
18 18 4 6 8 21:29 -8 18
?
19 17 4 4 9 18:24 -6 16
?
20 17 1 6 10 17:33 -16 9
?
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B

Missing Players

Internacional 3 missing
-
F. Torres
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
Victor Gabriel
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
Paulinho Paula
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
Vasco DA Gama 8 missing
-
Jair
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
Mateus Carvalho
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
Cuiabano
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
Thiago Mendes
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
C. Spinelli
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
Paulo Henrique
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
J. Rojas
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
Adson
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT