COLOMBIA › PRIMERA A
02.10.2026 01:00
Estadio Metropolitano de Techo

Internacional de Bogota vs Once Caldas Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Internacional de Bogota Win 53.2%
Draw 5.9%
Once Caldas Win 40.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Internacional de Bogota1.22
Once Caldas1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Internacional de Bogota Internacional de Bogota
WWDLW
42 GF / 52 GA
Once Caldas Once Caldas
WLDWL
47 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
1.42
1.58
Average Goals Conceded
1.15
21
BTTS Yes
23
19
Over 2.5
14
4.44
Shots on Goal
5.68

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Internacional de Bogota Internacional de Bogota 33 matches
Once Caldas Once Caldas 33 matches
Internacional de Bogota Statistic Once Caldas
10 Wins 11
12 Draws 15
11 Losses 7
42 Goals For 47
52 Goals Against 38
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.42
1.58 Avg Goals Conceded 1.15
21 BTTS Yes 23
26 Over 1.5 26
19 Over 2.5 14
11 Over 3.5 7
7 Clean Sheets 6
9 Failed To Score 6
4.44 Shots On Goal 5.68
12.41 Total Shots 15.19
4.75 Corners 5.13
43.8% Ball Possession 53.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Once Caldas's more proactive style and Internacional de Bogota's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Internacional de Bogota expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Once Caldas in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Once Caldas having the stronger overall control. Once Caldas arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Once Caldas.

Internacional de Bogota Analysis

Internacional de Bogota are currently 8 in the standings with 28 points from 19 matches. The record of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 26:26 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through F. Sanguinetti (7 goals), F. Boné (5 goals), Dereck Moncada (5 goals), with creative support from F. Sanguinetti (7 assists), F. Boné (2 assists), Dereck Moncada (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses fits a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Once Caldas Analysis

With 33 points from 19 games and a place of 5, Once Caldas still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 8 wins, 9 draws, and 2 defeats with a 31:22 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on D. Moreno (12 goals), J. Zapata (11 goals), Pipe Gómez (4 goals), with creative support from J. Cuesta (8 assists), A. Correa (4 assists), Pipe Gómez (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Internacional de Bogota won 2 times, Once Caldas won 8 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:19 from Internacional de Bogota's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.1%)
Predicted formations: Internacional de Bogota 5-4-1 / Once Caldas 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Internacional de Bogota wins 2, draws 5, Once Caldas wins 8

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
L W W W W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
W L D D L
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
W W D L D
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
W D L W D
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
L W L L W
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
D L L W W
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
L W W D W
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
L L W D D
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W W W D D
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
W W D D L
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
W D L W W
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
L D L D D
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W D W D D
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
W L L L L
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
L D D L D
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
L D D D W
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
L W W L L
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
L L W W D
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
L L D L W
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
D L D L W
Post season qualification