Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Independiente Win 0%
Draw 0%
San Lorenzo Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Independiente1.17
San Lorenzo1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Independiente
WWDLW
37 GF / 32 GA
San Lorenzo
WLDWL
23 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.42
Average Goals Scored
0.92
1.23
Average Goals Conceded
0.8
14
BTTS Yes
8
10
Over 2.5
4
3.83
Shots on Goal
3.83
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Independiente
26 matches
San Lorenzo
25 matches
| Independiente | Statistic | San Lorenzo |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 8 |
| 7 | Draws | 10 |
| 8 | Losses | 7 |
| 37 | Goals For | 23 |
| 32 | Goals Against | 20 |
| 1.42 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.92 |
| 1.23 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.8 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 13 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 3.83 | Shots On Goal | 3.83 |
| 12.35 | Total Shots | 10.7 |
| 5.57 | Corners | 3.65 |
| 49.8% | Ball Possession | 50.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Independiente won 3 times, San Lorenzo won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:10 from Independiente's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Independiente 4-1-4-1 / San Lorenzo 4-4-2
H2H summary: Independiente wins 3, draws 6, San Lorenzo wins 3
Last matches: Independiente
22.08.26
Lig
Independiente
Independ. Rivadavia
0
0
D
17.08.26
Lig
Independiente
Lanus
3
1
W
12.08.26
Cop
Independiente
Atletico Tucuman
0
4
L
09.08.26
Lig
Independiente
Platense
0
1
L
03.08.26
Lig
Independiente
Velez Sarsfield
0
1
L
31.07.26
Lig
Independiente
Newells Old Boys
1
0
W
26.07.26
Lig
Independiente
Estudiantes L.P.
2
0
W
22.05.26
Cop
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
2
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
Independiente
Rosario Central
1
3
L
02.05.26
Lig
Independiente
San Lorenzo
2
1
W
24.04.26
Lig
Independiente
Deportivo Riestra
0
2
L
18.04.26
Lig
Independiente
Defensa Y Justicia
3
1
W
11.04.26
Lig
Independiente
Boca Juniors
1
1
D
04.04.26
Lig
Independiente
Racing Club
1
0
W
27.03.26
Cop
Independiente
Atenas
4
2
W
21.03.26
Lig
Independiente
Talleres Cordoba
1
2
L
17.03.26
Lig
Independiente
Instituto Cordoba
1
2
L
10.03.26
Lig
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
4
4
D
28.02.26
Lig
Independiente
Central Cordoba de Santiago
2
0
W
25.02.26
Lig
Independiente
Gimnasia M.
1
1
D
Last matches: San Lorenzo
21.08.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
0
0
D
15.08.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Union Santa Fe
1
0
W
09.08.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Huracan
0
2
L
04.08.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Central Cordoba de Santiago
0
1
L
28.07.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Gimnasia M.
1
0
W
26.07.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Lanus
0
1
L
17.07.26
Cop
San Lorenzo
Deportivo Riestra
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
River Plate
1
1
D
02.05.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Independiente
1
2
L
25.04.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Platense
1
0
W
20.04.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Velez Sarsfield
0
0
D
12.04.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Newells Old Boys
0
0
D
03.04.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Estudiantes L.P.
1
0
W
25.03.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Deportivo Riestra
1
1
D
21.03.26
Cop
San Lorenzo
Deportivo Rincon
5
0
W
16.03.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Defensa Y Justicia
2
5
L
11.03.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Boca Juniors
1
1
D
01.03.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Talleres Cordoba
0
0
D
24.02.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Instituto Cordoba
1
1
D
22.02.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
2
0
W
H2H: Independiente vs San Lorenzo
02.05.26
H2H
San Lorenzo
Independiente
1
2
W
21.09.25
H2H
Independiente
San Lorenzo
1
1
D
08.03.25
H2H
San Lorenzo
Independiente
1
2
W
03.08.24
H2H
Independiente
San Lorenzo
0
0
D
01.04.23
H2H
San Lorenzo
Independiente
0
0
D
04.06.22
H2H
San Lorenzo
Independiente
1
1
D
05.12.21
H2H
Independiente
San Lorenzo
1
1
D
26.04.20
H2H
San Lorenzo
Independiente
0
0
D
03.11.19
H2H
Independiente
San Lorenzo
2
1
W
02.02.19
H2H
San Lorenzo
Independiente
0
0
D
04.04.18
H2H
Independiente
San Lorenzo
0
1
L
20.11.16
H2H
Independiente
San Lorenzo
1
2
L
11.04.15
H2H
San Lorenzo
Independiente
1
0
L
Last matches: Independiente
22.08.26
Lig
Independiente
Independ. Rivadavia
0
0
D
09.08.26
Lig
Independiente
Platense
0
1
L
31.07.26
Lig
Independiente
Newells Old Boys
1
0
W
18.04.26
Lig
Independiente
Defensa Y Justicia
3
1
W
04.04.26
Lig
Independiente
Racing Club
1
0
W
27.03.26
Cop
Independiente
Atenas
4
2
W
21.03.26
Lig
Independiente
Talleres Cordoba
1
2
L
10.03.26
Lig
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
4
4
D
28.02.26
Lig
Independiente
Central Cordoba de Santiago
2
0
W
13.02.26
Lig
Independiente
Lanus
2
0
W
31.01.26
Lig
Independiente
Velez Sarsfield
1
1
D
23.01.26
Lig
Independiente
Estudiantes L.P.
1
1
D
H2H at home: Independiente
21.09.25
H2H
Independiente
San Lorenzo
1
1
D
03.08.24
H2H
Independiente
San Lorenzo
0
0
D
05.12.21
H2H
Independiente
San Lorenzo
1
1
D
03.11.19
H2H
Independiente
San Lorenzo
2
1
W
04.04.18
H2H
Independiente
San Lorenzo
0
1
L
20.11.16
H2H
Independiente
San Lorenzo
1
2
L
Last matches: San Lorenzo
21.08.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
0
0
D
04.08.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Central Cordoba de Santiago
0
1
L
26.07.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Lanus
0
1
L
10.05.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
River Plate
1
1
D
25.04.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Platense
1
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Newells Old Boys
0
0
D
25.03.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Deportivo Riestra
1
1
D
11.03.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Boca Juniors
1
1
D
01.03.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Talleres Cordoba
0
0
D
14.02.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Union Santa Fe
0
0
D
08.02.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Huracan
0
1
L
27.01.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Gimnasia M.
1
0
W
H2H away: San Lorenzo
21.09.25
H2H
Independiente
San Lorenzo
1
1
D
03.08.24
H2H
Independiente
San Lorenzo
0
0
D
05.12.21
H2H
Independiente
San Lorenzo
1
1
D
03.11.19
H2H
Independiente
San Lorenzo
2
1
L
04.04.18
H2H
Independiente
San Lorenzo
0
1
W
20.11.16
H2H
Independiente
San Lorenzo
1
2
W
Standings
Apertura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 12 | 31 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 30 |
D
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 3 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 28 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 5 |
Independiente
Home
|
16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 24 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
| 6 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 24 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 7 |
San Lorenzo
Away
|
16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
| 8 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
Knockout Phase