Independiente Medellin vs Millonarios H2H Stats
Compare football head-to-head records, previous meetings, wins, draws, BTTS and Over 2.5 trends before reading the match prediction.
View today's football H2H statsIndependiente Medellin vs Millonarios Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
49.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Independiente Medellin
Millonarios
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Independiente Medellin
40 matches
Millonarios
35 matches
| Independiente Medellin | Statistic | Millonarios |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wins | 12 |
| 9 | Draws | 11 |
| 13 | Losses | 12 |
| 58 | Goals For | 47 |
| 51 | Goals Against | 36 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.34 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.03 |
| 27 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 31 | Over 1.5 | 25 |
| 24 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 4.58 | Shots On Goal | 5.84 |
| 13.53 | Total Shots | 15.39 |
| 4.87 | Corners | 5.77 |
| 49.7% | Ball Possession | 49.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Millonarios. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Independiente Medellin are currently 11 in the standings with 26 points from 19 matches. The record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 26:24 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Montaño (7 goals), J. Medina (3 goals), Y. González (2 goals), with creative support from J. Montaño (4 assists), Frank Fabra (3 assists), Y. González (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Millonarios sit 10 with 26 points after 19 league matches. The record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 31:23 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Estupiñán (15 goals), R. Contreras (10 goals), L. Castro (8 goals), with creative support from Sebastián Valencia Isaza (4 assists), A. Estupiñán (3 assists), F. Chaverra (3 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Independiente Medellin won 2 times, Millonarios won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:6 from Independiente Medellin's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 35 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 10 | 33 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 31 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 10 |
Millonarios
Away
|
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 26 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
| 11 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 23 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
D
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 20 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 |
D
W
D
D
L
|