WORLD CONMEBOL LIBERTADORES
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Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Referee: J. Valenzuela

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 85.8%
Odds 1.28
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 78.4%
Odds 1.95
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 69.6%
Odds 2.14
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
85.8%
1.28
BTTS BTTS Yes
78.4%
1.95
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
69.6%
2.14
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89.7%
1.31
HT / FT Home / Home
-
7.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
15.00
Probability Distribution
Independiente Medellin Win 41.7%
Draw 14.2%
Flamengo Win 44.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Independiente Medellin1.17
Flamengo1.74
Recent Form (Last 5)
Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin
WWDLW
38 GF / 35 GA
Flamengo Flamengo
WLDWL
33 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.36
Average Goals Scored
2.06
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
20
BTTS Yes
9
16
Over 2.5
10
4.62
Shots on Goal
5.56

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 28 matches
Flamengo Flamengo 16 matches
Independiente Medellin Statistic Flamengo
11 Wins 10
8 Draws 4
9 Losses 2
38 Goals For 33
35 Goals Against 14
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 2.06
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
20 BTTS Yes 9
22 Over 1.5 16
16 Over 2.5 10
7 Over 3.5 4
7 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 1
4.62 Shots On Goal 5.56
14.19 Total Shots 14.31
5.38 Corners 3.94
52.3% Ball Possession 52.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Independiente Medellin won 0 times, Flamengo won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:7 from Independiente Medellin's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.8%)
Predicted formations: Independiente Medellin 4-2-3-1 / Flamengo 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Independiente Medellin wins 0, draws 0, Flamengo wins 2

Lineups

Independiente Medellin
Formation
Flamengo
Eder Chaux
Eder Chaux
Esneyder Mena
Esneyder Mena
José Ortiz
José Ortiz
Daniel Londoño
Daniel Londoño
Frank Fabra
Frank Fabra
Didier Moreno
Didier Moreno
Halam Loboa
Halam Loboa
Léyser Chaverra
Léyser Chaverra
Alexis Serna
Alexis Serna
Yony González
Yony González
Francisco Fydriszewski
Francisco Fydriszewski
Agustín Rossi
Agustín Rossi
Emerson Royal
Emerson Royal
Danilo
Danilo
Léo Pereira
Léo Pereira
Alex Sandro
Alex Sandro
Evertton Araujo
Evertton Araujo
Jorginho
Jorginho
Luiz Araújo
Luiz Araújo
Jorge Carrascal
Jorge Carrascal
Samuel Lino
Samuel Lino
Bruno Henrique
Bruno Henrique
Independiente Medellin 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
25
Eder Chaux
G
26
Esneyder Mena
D
24
José Ortiz
D
33
Daniel Londoño
D
18
Frank Fabra
D
6
Didier Moreno
M
16
Halam Loboa
M
2
Léyser Chaverra
M
8
Alexis Serna
M
11
Yony González
M
19
Francisco Fydriszewski
F
Substitutes
1
Salvador Ichazo
G
5
Luis Escorcia
D
23
Málcom Palacios
D
30
Hayen Palacios
D
10
Daniel Cataño
M
13
Francisco Chaverra
M
14
Baldomero Perlaza
M
31
Diego Moreno
M
20
John Edwin Montaño
F
17
Geronimo Mancilla
D
28
Andrés Dávila
F
Flamengo 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Agustín Rossi
G
22
Emerson Royal
D
13
Danilo
D
4
Léo Pereira
D
26
Alex Sandro
D
52
Evertton Araujo
M
21
Jorginho
M
7
Luiz Araújo
M
15
Jorge Carrascal
M
16
Samuel Lino
M
27
Bruno Henrique
F
Substitutes
42
Andrew
G
49
Dyogo Alves
G
3
Léo Ortiz
D
2
Guillermo Varela
D
44
Vitão
D
6
Ayrton Lucas
D
11
Everton
F
19
Gonzalo Plata
F
18
Nicolás de la Cruz
M
75
Luiz Felipe
M
8
Saúl Ñíguez
M
9
Pedro
F
Last matches: Independiente Medellin
27.05.26
CON
Independiente Medellin
Estudiantes L.P.
0
1
L
21.05.26
CON
Independiente Medellin
Cusco
3
2
W
03.05.26
Pri
Independiente Medellin
Águilas Doradas
1
2
L
01.05.26
CON
Independiente Medellin
Cusco
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Independiente Medellin
Fortaleza FC
1
0
W
22.04.26
Pri
Independiente Medellin
Chico
2
0
W
19.04.26
Pri
Independiente Medellin
Alianza Valledupar
1
0
W
17.04.26
CON
Independiente Medellin
Flamengo
1
4
L
12.04.26
Pri
Independiente Medellin
Atletico Nacional
2
3
L
09.04.26
CON
Independiente Medellin
Estudiantes L.P.
1
1
D
03.04.26
Pri
Independiente Medellin
Once Caldas
1
1
D
30.03.26
Pri
Independiente Medellin
America de Cali
2
1
W
23.03.26
Pri
Independiente Medellin
Santa Fe
1
2
L
20.03.26
Pri
Independiente Medellin
Junior
2
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Independiente Medellin
Jaguares
2
1
W
13.03.26
CON
Independiente Medellin
Juventud
2
1
W
06.03.26
CON
Independiente Medellin
Juventud
1
1
D
01.03.26
Pri
Independiente Medellin
Bucaramanga
1
2
L
25.02.26
CON
Independiente Medellin
Liverpool Montevideo
0
0
D
20.02.26
Pri
Independiente Medellin
Llaneros
2
2
D
Last matches: Flamengo
23.07.26
Ser
Flamengo
Chapecoense-sc
4
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Flamengo
Olimpia
4
2
W
11.07.26
Fri
Flamengo
Benfica
2
1
W
08.07.26
Fri
Flamengo
Lausanne
2
0
W
03.07.26
Fri
Flamengo
River Plate
2
2
D
30.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Coritiba
3
0
W
27.05.26
CON
Flamengo
Cusco
3
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Palmeiras
0
3
L
21.05.26
CON
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Atletico Paranaense
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Gremio
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Vasco DA Gama
2
2
D
30.04.26
CON
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
Atletico-MG
4
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
Bahia
2
0
W
17.04.26
CON
Flamengo
Independiente Medellin
4
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
Fluminense
2
1
W
09.04.26
CON
Flamengo
Cusco
2
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
Santos
3
1
W
03.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
RB Bragantino
0
3
L
H2H: Independiente Medellin vs Flamengo
08.05.26
H2H
Independiente Medellin
Flamengo
0
3
L
17.04.26
H2H
Flamengo
Independiente Medellin
4
1
L
Last matches: Independiente Medellin
03.05.26
Pri
Independiente Medellin
Águilas Doradas
1
2
L
01.05.26
CON
Independiente Medellin
Cusco
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Independiente Medellin
Fortaleza FC
1
0
W
22.04.26
Pri
Independiente Medellin
Chico
2
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Independiente Medellin
Atletico Nacional
2
3
L
09.04.26
CON
Independiente Medellin
Estudiantes L.P.
1
1
D
30.03.26
Pri
Independiente Medellin
America de Cali
2
1
W
20.03.26
Pri
Independiente Medellin
Junior
2
0
W
13.03.26
CON
Independiente Medellin
Juventud
2
1
W
01.03.26
Pri
Independiente Medellin
Bucaramanga
1
2
L
25.02.26
CON
Independiente Medellin
Liverpool Montevideo
0
0
D
14.02.26
Pri
Independiente Medellin
Deportivo Pereira
1
1
D
07.02.26
Pri
Independiente Medellin
Internacional de Bogota
1
2
L
28.01.26
Pri
Independiente Medellin
Deportes Tolima
2
2
D
13.01.26
Fri
Independiente Medellin
Bucaramanga
3
1
W
08.12.25
Pri
Independiente Medellin
Junior
2
1
W
02.12.25
Pri
Independiente Medellin
America de Cali
1
1
D
23.11.25
Pri
Independiente Medellin
Atletico Nacional
0
0
D
14.11.25
Pri
Independiente Medellin
America de Cali
3
0
W
29.10.25
Pri
Independiente Medellin
Bucaramanga
3
0
W
H2H at home: Independiente Medellin
08.05.26
H2H
Independiente Medellin
Flamengo
0
3
L
Last matches: Flamengo
23.07.26
Ser
Flamengo
Chapecoense-sc
4
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Flamengo
Benfica
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Atletico Paranaense
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Gremio
1
0
W
30.04.26
CON
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
Atletico-MG
4
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
Fluminense
2
1
W
09.04.26
CON
Flamengo
Cusco
2
0
W
03.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
RB Bragantino
0
3
L
22.03.26
Ser
Flamengo
Corinthians
1
1
D
14.03.26
Ser
Flamengo
Botafogo
3
0
W
11.02.26
Ser
Flamengo
Vitoria
2
1
W
29.01.26
Ser
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
1
2
L
H2H away: Flamengo
08.05.26
H2H
Independiente Medellin
Flamengo
0
3
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 4.43
Draw 3.43
Away 1.91
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 4.81
Draw 2.18
Away 2.64
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.38
Under 1.5 3.09
Over 1.75 1.47
Under 1.75 2.74
Over 2.0 1.61
Under 2.0 2.36
Over 2.25 1.89
Under 2.25 1.98
Over 2.5 2.14
Under 2.5 1.74
Over 2.75 2.50
Under 2.75 1.56
Over 3.5 3.96
Under 3.5 1.26
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 4.00
Draw 3.20
Away 1.80
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 5.50
Draw 2.20
Away 2.30
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 4.50
Draw 2.40
Away 2.10
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.33
Under 1.5 3.25
Over 2.5 2.08
Under 2.5 1.73
Over 3.5 3.75
Under 3.5 1.25
Over 0.5 1.07
Under 0.5 8.50
Over 4.5 8.00
Under 4.5 1.08
Over 5.5 19.00
Under 5.5 1.02
Over 6.5 41.00
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 4.32
Draw 3.44
Away 1.92
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 4.85
Draw 2.01
Away 2.49
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 4.25
Draw 2.40
Away 2.21
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.31
Under 1.5 2.94
Over 1.75 1.41
Under 1.75 2.63
Over 2.0 1.53
Under 2.0 2.29
Over 2.25 1.87
Under 2.25 1.97
Over 2.5 2.12
Under 2.5 1.75
Over 2.75 2.33
Under 2.75 1.51
Over 3.5 3.54
Under 3.5 1.22
Over 0.5 1.02
Under 0.5 7.90
Over 0.75 1.03
Under 0.75 7.30
Over 1.0 1.05
Under 1.0 6.70
Over 1.25 1.18
Under 1.25 3.92
Over 3.0 2.90
Under 3.0 1.34
Over 4.5 7.00
Under 4.5 1.04
Over 3.25 3.22
Under 3.25 1.26
Over 3.75 4.44
Under 3.75 1.14
Over 4.0 6.25
Under 4.0 1.06
Over 4.25 6.60
Under 4.25 1.05
Over 4.75 7.60
Under 4.75 1.05
Over 5.0 8.60
Under 5.0 1.03
Over 5.5 15.00
Under 5.5 1.02
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 4.70
Draw 3.45
Away 1.78
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 4.70
Draw 2.18
Away 2.33
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 4.30
Draw 2.50
Away 2.18
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.32
Under 1.5 3.30
Over 1.75 1.42
Under 1.75 2.88
Over 2.0 1.54
Under 2.0 2.48
Over 2.25 1.80
Under 2.25 2.00
Over 2.5 2.06
Under 2.5 1.76
Over 2.75 2.38
Under 2.75 1.58
Over 3.5 3.70
Under 3.5 1.26
Over 0.5 1.04
Under 0.5 9.50
Over 3.0 2.95
Under 3.0 1.38
Over 4.5 7.50
Under 4.5 1.07
Over 3.25 3.30
Under 3.25 1.33