Independiente Medellin vs Flamengo Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
No Draw
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
85.8%
|
1.28 | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
78.4%
|
1.95 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
69.6%
|
2.14 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
89.7%
|
1.31 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
7.50 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
15.00 |
Probability Distribution
Independiente Medellin Win 41.7%
Draw 14.2%
Flamengo Win 44.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Independiente Medellin1.17
Flamengo1.74
Recent Form (Last 5)
Independiente Medellin
WWDLW
38 GF / 35 GA
Flamengo
WLDWL
33 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.36
Average Goals Scored
2.06
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
20
BTTS Yes
9
16
Over 2.5
10
4.62
Shots on Goal
5.56
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Independiente Medellin
28 matches
Flamengo
16 matches
| Independiente Medellin | Statistic | Flamengo |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 10 |
| 8 | Draws | 4 |
| 9 | Losses | 2 |
| 38 | Goals For | 33 |
| 35 | Goals Against | 14 |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.06 |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.88 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 4.62 | Shots On Goal | 5.56 |
| 14.19 | Total Shots | 14.31 |
| 5.38 | Corners | 3.94 |
| 52.3% | Ball Possession | 52.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Independiente Medellin won 0 times, Flamengo won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:7 from Independiente Medellin's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.
1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.8%)
Predicted formations: Independiente Medellin 4-2-3-1 / Flamengo 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Independiente Medellin wins 0, draws 0, Flamengo wins 2
Standings
Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Flamengo
Away
|
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14:2 | 12 | 16 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
| 2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 7 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4:12 | -8 | 1 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
Copa Sudamericana 1/16-finals